ADBLD83

Bond

10.35% Agricultural Bank Debenture 2083

Rs. 1040.00 +0.10 (+0.01%)

Open: 1039
High: 1040
Low: 1039
Prev close: 1039.9
Volume: --
Turnover: 239,179
52W high: 1132.90
52W low: 1015.00

52-week range1015.00 – 1132.90

NSA Score

Sell

Buy

Neutral

Sell

Trend · Neutral 48

Momentum · Slightly Bearish 40

Volume · Slightly Bearish 38

Volatility · Slightly Bullish 61

Fibonacci Retracement (60-day swing)

Swing High 1101.0 · Swing Low 1015.0

0	1101.0
0.236	1080.7
0.382	1068.15
0.5	1058.0
0.618	1047.85
0.786	1033.4
1.0	1015.0

Pivot Points

1041.33

1040.67

1040.33

1039.33

1038.67

1038.33

Pivot Point

1039.67

Indicator	Category	Value	Signal	Why
EMA 13	Moving Averages	1037.03	Buy	Price is NPR 2.97 (0.29%) above EMA 13. 13-day Exponential MA. Optimal for NEPSE (30% CAGR in backtest). Reacts fast to price changes.
EMA 20	Moving Averages	1038.57	Buy	Price is NPR 1.43 (0.14%) above EMA 20. 20-day EMA. Standard short-term trend filter used by most traders.
EMA 50	Moving Averages	1049.42	Sell	Price is NPR 9.42 (0.9%) below EMA 50. 50-day EMA. Medium-term trend. A cross of EMA 13 above EMA 50 is a strong buy signal for NEPSE.
SMA 13	Moving Averages	1036.35	Buy	Price is NPR 3.65 (0.35%) above SMA 13. 13-day Simple MA. Research shows this period gives the best risk-adjusted return on NEPSE (Sharpe 1.71).
SMA 20	Moving Averages	1032.21	Buy	Price is NPR 7.8 (0.76%) above SMA 20. 20-day SMA. Also the mid-line of Bollinger Bands. Acts as dynamic support/resistance.
SMA 50	Moving Averages	1051.79	Sell	Price is NPR 11.79 (1.12%) below SMA 50. 50-day SMA. Institutional-level trend gauge. Widely watched by NEPSE fund managers.
SMA 200	Moving Averages	—	—	Not enough data to compute. 200-day SMA. The dividing line between bull and bear markets. Price above = long-term bullish.
MACD (12,26,9)	Trend	2.16	Buy	MACD line (-3.63) is above Signal (-5.79). Histogram: 2.16 (expanding). Bullish momentum is building — MACD crossing above signal is a buy trigger. Note: Standard 12-26-9 parameters tend to underperform buy-and-hold on NEPSE. Check the optimized MACD below.
MACD (34,72,3)	Trend	0.21	Buy	MACD(-12.58) vs Signal(-12.78), Histogram: 0.21. Bullish — momentum favors buyers. These parameters (34,72,3) were validated on frontier markets like Dubai (85% hit ratio) and are better suited for NEPSE's slower cycles than standard MACD.
SuperTrend (7,3)	Trend	1022.22	Buy	SuperTrend line is at NPR 1022.22 (support). Price is NPR 17.78 above the line. Uptrend confirmed — the line acts as trailing support. A break below would flip to Sell. SuperTrend works well in trending NEPSE markets driven by herd behavior.
Parabolic SAR	Trend	1041.87	Buy	SAR dot is below price at NPR 1041.87 (bullish). Acts as a trailing stop — if price drops below 1041.87, the trend flips bearish. Good for setting stop-loss levels.
ADX (14)	Trend	16.85	Sell	ADX is 16.8 (Weak/absent trend). +DI=39.3, -DI=44.7. Bears dominate — -DI is above +DI. The trend is weak — range-bound strategies may work better than trend-following.
Ichimoku Cloud	Trend	1035.60	Sell	Tenkan=1035.60, Kijun=1057.50 (bearish cross). Price is below the cloud (bearish). All signals align bearish — consider reducing positions.
Aroon (25)	Trend	-44.00	Neutral	Aroon Up=0, Down=44. No clear trend. Aroon measures how recently the price hit a 25-day high (Up) or low (Down). Values above 70 confirm a trend.
DPO (20)	Trend	6.80	Buy	DPO is 6.79. Positive — price is above its 20-day detrended average, suggesting current cycle is in an upswing. DPO removes long-term trend to show underlying cycles. Useful for timing entries within an existing trend.
RSI (14)	Momentum	49.51	Neutral	RSI is 49.5 — neutral zone. Standard zones are 70/30 but NEPSE research shows 60/40 zones work better due to strong momentum/herd behavior in Nepal's market. No extreme reading — RSI is not giving a strong signal on its own. Use with other indicators. RSI was the 2nd most important feature in ML models predicting NEPSE (arXiv 2026).
Stochastic (14,3,3)	Momentum	65.08	Buy	%K=65.1, %D=61.6. Bullish — %K is above %D, suggesting upward momentum. Stochastic compares closing price to its range over 14 days.
Stochastic RSI	Momentum	73.97	Neutral	StochRSI %K=74.0, %D=70.5. Mid-range — no extreme signal. StochRSI is a momentum indicator of RSI itself, making it more responsive than plain RSI.
CCI (20)	Momentum	63.58	Neutral	CCI is 63.6 (normal range). Between -100 and +100 is normal — no extreme deviation from average price. CCI measures how far price has deviated from its mean. Works well for identifying cyclical stocks in NEPSE.
Williams %R (14)	Momentum	-35.39	Neutral	Williams %R is -35.4. Mid-range — no extreme reading. Ranges from 0 to -100 where -50 is the midpoint.
ROC (12)	Momentum	0.10	Buy	ROC is 0.10%. Price has gained 0.10% over the last 12 days. Positive momentum — buyers have been in control recently.
TRIX (15)	Momentum	-0.09	Sell	TRIX is -0.0880. Negative — triple-smoothed momentum confirms downtrend. TRIX filters out minor price fluctuations by applying three rounds of smoothing. Good for confirming the major trend direction and filtering noise in NEPSE's often-volatile daily movements.
Awesome Oscillator	Momentum	-9.17	Sell	AO is -9.17. Negative — long-term momentum exceeds short-term, indicating bearish pressure. Watch for zero-line crossovers — crossing above zero is a buy, below is a sell. Twin peaks divergence is also a strong signal.
Ultimate Osc (7,14,28)	Momentum	38.71	Neutral	UO is 38.7. Mid-range. The Ultimate Oscillator blends 7, 14, and 28-day periods to reduce false signals that plague single-period oscillators.
PPO (12,26)	Momentum	-0.10	Sell	PPO is -0.10%, Histogram: 0.76. Negative — short-term EMA is below long-term, indicating downward pressure. PPO is like MACD but expressed as a percentage, making it easier to compare across different price levels.
Coppock Curve	Momentum	2.11	Buy	Coppock is 2.11. Positive — originally designed to identify long-term buying opportunities. A turn from negative to positive is historically one of the most reliable buy signals. This indicator was designed for monthly charts but works on daily data too. Best for identifying major trend changes in NEPSE.
10d Rolling Mean	Momentum	1035.47	Buy	10-day rolling mean is NPR 1035.47. Price is NPR 4.53 above. This was the #1 most predictive feature in XGBoost ML models for NEPSE (arXiv 2026). Price above the 10-day mean suggests short-term bullish momentum.
ATR (14)	Volatility	8.68	—	ATR is NPR 8.68 (0.83% of price). This means the stock typically moves NPR 8.68 per day. Low volatility (<1.5%) — calm market, tighter stop-losses work. Use ATR to set stop-losses: a common approach is 2x ATR (NPR 17.36) below entry.
Bollinger %B	Volatility	0.72	Neutral	BB %B is 0.72 (band position 72%). Bandwidth: 3.44%. Price is within normal range of the bands.
BB/KC Squeeze	Volatility		—	No squeeze — Bollinger Bands are outside Keltner Channels, normal volatility conditions. The Squeeze indicator is widely used to anticipate explosive moves. When the squeeze releases, the direction of the breakout determines whether to go long or short.
5d Rolling Vol	Volatility	0.24	—	5-day rolling volatility is 0.24%. Very low (<1%) — market is calm. Breakout may be imminent. This was the 5th most important ML feature for predicting NEPSE returns.
Mass Index	Volatility	14.87	—	Mass Index is 14.87. Below 27 — no reversal bulge detected. Mass Index identifies trend reversals by measuring the range between high and low prices.
Ulcer Index	Volatility	2.81	—	Ulcer Index is 2.81 (low drawdown stress). It measures downside volatility by tracking the depth and duration of drawdowns from recent highs. Lower is better — values below 5 indicate a smooth uptrend, above 10 suggests painful drawdowns.
Donchian (20)	Volatility	1050.90	Neutral	Price is at 69.6% of the 20-day Donchian Channel (Upper: 1050.90, Lower: 1015.00). Mid-channel — no extreme position. Donchian channels show the highest high and lowest low over 20 days.
MFI (14)	Volume	46.42	Neutral	MFI is 46.4. Normal range. Money Flow Index combines price and volume to measure buying/selling pressure. Unlike RSI which only uses price, MFI factors in volume for stronger signals.
CMF (20)	Volume	-0.37	Sell	CMF is -0.3663. Negative — money is flowing OUT of the stock ({strength} distribution). Sellers dominate with volume support. CMF above +0.1 or below -0.1 is a strong signal. Near zero means balanced buying/selling.
OBV Trend	Volume	—	Buy	OBV is rising over the last 20 days. Rising OBV confirms price increases are backed by volume — the uptrend is healthy. OBV adds volume on up-days and subtracts on down-days. The direction matters more than the absolute number.
VWAP	Volume	1039.67	Buy	VWAP is NPR 1039.67. Price is NPR 0.33 above VWAP. Price above VWAP means the average buyer is in profit — bullish. Institutional traders often use VWAP as a benchmark.
Elder Force (13)	Volume	2943.73	Buy	EFI is 2,944. Positive — buying force (price change x volume) exceeds selling force. Large positive values mean strong institutional buying. Elder Force Index combines price direction with volume to measure the force behind moves.