BHCL

HydroPower

Bikash Hydropower Company Limited

Rs. 538.00 +18.60 (+3.58%)

Open: 515
High: 544
Low: 510.4
Prev close: 519.4
Volume: 99,899
Turnover: 53,046,782
52W high: 634.86
52W low: 357.85

52-week range357.85 – 634.86

NSA Score

Buy

Neutral

Sell

Trend · Bullish 75

Momentum · Neutral 46

Volume · Bullish 76

Volatility · Neutral 46

Fibonacci Retracement (60-day swing)

Swing High 544.0 · Swing Low 395.17

0	544.0
0.236	508.88
0.382	487.15
0.5	469.59
0.618	452.03
0.786	427.02
1.0	395.17

Pivot Points

584.8

564.4

551.2

517.6

497.2

484.0

Pivot Point

530.8

Indicator	Category	Value	Signal	Why
EMA 13	Moving Averages	514.72	Buy	Price is NPR 23.28 (4.52%) above EMA 13. 13-day Exponential MA. Optimal for NEPSE (30% CAGR in backtest). Reacts fast to price changes.
EMA 20	Moving Averages	509.02	Buy	Price is NPR 28.98 (5.69%) above EMA 20. 20-day EMA. Standard short-term trend filter used by most traders.
EMA 50	Moving Averages	495.06	Buy	Price is NPR 42.94 (8.67%) above EMA 50. 50-day EMA. Medium-term trend. A cross of EMA 13 above EMA 50 is a strong buy signal for NEPSE.
SMA 13	Moving Averages	515.81	Buy	Price is NPR 22.19 (4.3%) above SMA 13. 13-day Simple MA. Research shows this period gives the best risk-adjusted return on NEPSE (Sharpe 1.71).
SMA 20	Moving Averages	504.33	Buy	Price is NPR 33.67 (6.68%) above SMA 20. 20-day SMA. Also the mid-line of Bollinger Bands. Acts as dynamic support/resistance.
SMA 50	Moving Averages	486.21	Buy	Price is NPR 51.79 (10.65%) above SMA 50. 50-day SMA. Institutional-level trend gauge. Widely watched by NEPSE fund managers.
SMA 200	Moving Averages	496.62	Buy	Price is NPR 41.38 (8.33%) above SMA 200. 200-day SMA. The dividing line between bull and bear markets. Price above = long-term bullish.
MACD (12,26,9)	Trend	1.47	Buy	MACD line (10.69) is above Signal (9.22). Histogram: 1.47 (expanding). Bullish momentum is building — MACD crossing above signal is a buy trigger. Note: Standard 12-26-9 parameters tend to underperform buy-and-hold on NEPSE. Check the optimized MACD below.
MACD (34,72,3)	Trend	0.70	Buy	MACD(9.13) vs Signal(8.43), Histogram: 0.70. Bullish — momentum favors buyers. These parameters (34,72,3) were validated on frontier markets like Dubai (85% hit ratio) and are better suited for NEPSE's slower cycles than standard MACD.
SuperTrend (7,3)	Trend	466.32	Buy	SuperTrend line is at NPR 466.32 (support). Price is NPR 71.68 above the line. Uptrend confirmed — the line acts as trailing support. A break below would flip to Sell. SuperTrend works well in trending NEPSE markets driven by herd behavior.
Parabolic SAR	Trend	498.59	Buy	SAR dot is below price at NPR 498.59 (bullish). Acts as a trailing stop — if price drops below 498.59, the trend flips bearish. Good for setting stop-loss levels.
ADX (14)	Trend	26.31	Buy	ADX is 26.3 (Strong trend). +DI=23.7, -DI=8.9. Bulls dominate — +DI is above -DI. The trend is strong enough to trade with confidence.
Ichimoku Cloud	Trend	520.09	Buy	Tenkan=520.09, Kijun=500.65 (bullish cross). Price is above the cloud (bullish). All signals align bullish — Tenkan above Kijun and price above cloud is the strongest Ichimoku buy signal.
Aroon (25)	Trend	76.00	Buy	Aroon Up=100, Down=24. Strong uptrend — the stock recently hit a new 25-day high and hasn't made a new low recently. Momentum clearly favors buyers.
DPO (20)	Trend	3.38	Buy	DPO is 3.38. Positive — price is above its 20-day detrended average, suggesting current cycle is in an upswing. DPO removes long-term trend to show underlying cycles. Useful for timing entries within an existing trend.
RSI (14)	Momentum	71.41	Sell	RSI is 71.4 — heavily overbought. Standard zones are 70/30 but NEPSE research shows 60/40 zones work better due to strong momentum/herd behavior in Nepal's market. Price may be stretched — a pullback is likely. Consider taking profits. RSI was the 2nd most important feature in ML models predicting NEPSE (arXiv 2026).
Stochastic (14,3,3)	Momentum	84.00	Sell	%K=84.0, %D=79.6. Overbought — price is near the top of its 14-day range. A %K crossing below %D here would be a strong sell signal.
Stochastic RSI	Momentum	77.03	Neutral	StochRSI %K=77.0, %D=67.1. Mid-range — no extreme signal. StochRSI is a momentum indicator of RSI itself, making it more responsive than plain RSI.
CCI (20)	Momentum	125.81	Sell	CCI is 125.8 (overbought). Above +100 means price is well above its statistical average — potential topping. CCI measures how far price has deviated from its mean. Works well for identifying cyclical stocks in NEPSE.
Williams %R (14)	Momentum	-9.75	Sell	Williams %R is -9.7. Overbought zone (above -20). Price is near the top of its 14-day range. Often signals a short-term pullback is coming.
ROC (12)	Momentum	9.72	Buy	ROC is 9.72%. Price has gained 9.72% over the last 12 days. Positive momentum — buyers have been in control recently. Strong momentum (>5%) suggests trend acceleration.
TRIX (15)	Momentum	0.27	Buy	TRIX is 0.2744. Positive — triple-smoothed momentum confirms uptrend. TRIX filters out minor price fluctuations by applying three rounds of smoothing. Good for confirming the major trend direction and filtering noise in NEPSE's often-volatile daily movements.
Awesome Oscillator	Momentum	17.48	Buy	AO is 17.48. Positive — short-term momentum (5-bar) exceeds long-term (34-bar), indicating bullish pressure. Watch for zero-line crossovers — crossing above zero is a buy, below is a sell. Twin peaks divergence is also a strong signal.
Ultimate Osc (7,14,28)	Momentum	62.92	Neutral	UO is 62.9. Mid-range. The Ultimate Oscillator blends 7, 14, and 28-day periods to reduce false signals that plague single-period oscillators.
PPO (12,26)	Momentum	3.32	Buy	PPO is 3.32%, Histogram: 1.29. Positive — 12-day EMA is above 26-day EMA in percentage terms, confirming upward momentum. PPO is like MACD but expressed as a percentage, making it easier to compare across different price levels.
Coppock Curve	Momentum	13.41	Buy	Coppock is 13.41. Positive — originally designed to identify long-term buying opportunities. A turn from negative to positive is historically one of the most reliable buy signals. This indicator was designed for monthly charts but works on daily data too. Best for identifying major trend changes in NEPSE.
10d Rolling Mean	Momentum	518.54	Buy	10-day rolling mean is NPR 518.54. Price is NPR 19.46 above. This was the #1 most predictive feature in XGBoost ML models for NEPSE (arXiv 2026). Price above the 10-day mean suggests short-term bullish momentum.
ATR (14)	Volatility	21.49	—	ATR is NPR 21.49 (3.99% of price). This means the stock typically moves NPR 21.49 per day. High volatility (>3%) — wider stop-losses needed, larger position risk. Use ATR to set stop-losses: a common approach is 2x ATR (NPR 42.98) below entry.
Bollinger %B	Volatility	0.96	Sell	BB %B is 0.96 — price is in the upper 20% of the bands. Approaching overbought. Bandwidth: 14.62%.
BB/KC Squeeze	Volatility		—	SQUEEZE ACTIVE — Bollinger Bands are inside Keltner Channels. This means volatility is very low and a big move is coming. Prepare for a breakout. The Squeeze indicator is widely used to anticipate explosive moves. When the squeeze releases, the direction of the breakout determines whether to go long or short.
5d Rolling Vol	Volatility	1.39	—	5-day rolling volatility is 1.39%. Normal (1-2%) — typical daily fluctuation. This was the 5th most important ML feature for predicting NEPSE returns.
Mass Index	Volatility	24.28	—	Mass Index is 24.28. Below 27 — no reversal bulge detected. Mass Index identifies trend reversals by measuring the range between high and low prices.
Ulcer Index	Volatility	1.23	—	Ulcer Index is 1.23 (low drawdown stress). It measures downside volatility by tracking the depth and duration of drawdowns from recent highs. Lower is better — values below 5 indicate a smooth uptrend, above 10 suggests painful drawdowns.
Donchian (20)	Volatility	544.00	Sell	Price is at 93.1% of the 20-day Donchian Channel (Upper: 544.00, Lower: 457.30). Near the top of the channel — a breakout above could signal continuation, but also overbought risk.
MFI (14)	Volume	61.23	Neutral	MFI is 61.2. Normal range. Money Flow Index combines price and volume to measure buying/selling pressure. Unlike RSI which only uses price, MFI factors in volume for stronger signals.
CMF (20)	Volume	0.23	Buy	CMF is 0.2289. Positive — money is flowing INTO the stock ({strength} accumulation). Buyers are in control with volume backing them. CMF above +0.1 or below -0.1 is a strong signal. Near zero means balanced buying/selling.
OBV Trend	Volume	—	Buy	OBV is rising over the last 20 days. Rising OBV confirms price increases are backed by volume — the uptrend is healthy. OBV adds volume on up-days and subtracts on down-days. The direction matters more than the absolute number.
VWAP	Volume	530.80	Buy	VWAP is NPR 530.80. Price is NPR 7.2 above VWAP. Price above VWAP means the average buyer is in profit — bullish. Institutional traders often use VWAP as a benchmark.
Elder Force (13)	Volume	374452.59	Buy	EFI is 374,453. Positive — buying force (price change x volume) exceeds selling force. Large positive values mean strong institutional buying. Elder Force Index combines price direction with volume to measure the force behind moves.