BOKD86

Bond

8.5% BOK Debenture 2086

Rs. 1120.00 +25.00 (+2.28%)

Open: 1120
High: 1120
Low: 1120
Prev close: 1095
Volume: --
Turnover: 28,000
52W high: 1145.00
52W low: 1053.10

52-week range1053.10 – 1145.00

NSA Score

Neutral

Buy

Neutral

Sell

Trend · Slightly Bullish 60

Momentum · Neutral 48

Volume · Slightly Bearish 39

Volatility · Neutral 53

Fibonacci Retracement (60-day swing)

Swing High 1145.0 · Swing Low 1053.1

0	1145.0
0.236	1123.31
0.382	1109.89
0.5	1099.05
0.618	1088.21
0.786	1072.77
1.0	1053.1

Pivot Points

1120.0

Pivot Point

1120.0

Indicator	Category	Value	Signal	Why
EMA 13	Moving Averages	1098.14	Buy	Price is NPR 21.86 (1.99%) above EMA 13. 13-day Exponential MA. Optimal for NEPSE (30% CAGR in backtest). Reacts fast to price changes.
EMA 20	Moving Averages	1097.97	Buy	Price is NPR 22.03 (2.01%) above EMA 20. 20-day EMA. Standard short-term trend filter used by most traders.
EMA 50	Moving Averages	1099.73	Buy	Price is NPR 20.27 (1.84%) above EMA 50. 50-day EMA. Medium-term trend. A cross of EMA 13 above EMA 50 is a strong buy signal for NEPSE.
SMA 13	Moving Averages	1101.45	Buy	Price is NPR 18.55 (1.68%) above SMA 13. 13-day Simple MA. Research shows this period gives the best risk-adjusted return on NEPSE (Sharpe 1.71).
SMA 20	Moving Averages	1102.23	Buy	Price is NPR 17.78 (1.61%) above SMA 20. 20-day SMA. Also the mid-line of Bollinger Bands. Acts as dynamic support/resistance.
SMA 50	Moving Averages	1096.59	Buy	Price is NPR 23.41 (2.13%) above SMA 50. 50-day SMA. Institutional-level trend gauge. Widely watched by NEPSE fund managers.
SMA 200	Moving Averages	—	—	Not enough data to compute. 200-day SMA. The dividing line between bull and bear markets. Price above = long-term bullish.
MACD (12,26,9)	Trend	0.17	Buy	MACD line (0.32) is above Signal (0.14). Histogram: 0.17 (narrowing). Bullish momentum is building — MACD crossing above signal is a buy trigger. Note: Standard 12-26-9 parameters tend to underperform buy-and-hold on NEPSE. Check the optimized MACD below.
MACD (34,72,3)	Trend	—	—	Insufficient data. This MACD uses longer periods (34,72,3) optimized for frontier markets like NEPSE.
SuperTrend (7,3)	Trend	1145.92	Sell	SuperTrend line is at NPR 1145.92 (resistance). Price is NPR 25.92 below the line. Downtrend active — the line acts as resistance overhead. A break above would flip to Buy. SuperTrend works well in trending NEPSE markets driven by herd behavior.
Parabolic SAR	Trend	1069.56	Buy	SAR dot is below price at NPR 1069.56 (bullish). Acts as a trailing stop — if price drops below 1069.56, the trend flips bearish. Good for setting stop-loss levels.
ADX (14)	Trend	11.94	Buy	ADX is 11.9 (Weak/absent trend). +DI=40.5, -DI=39.1. Bulls dominate — +DI is above -DI. The trend is weak — range-bound strategies may work better than trend-following.
Ichimoku Cloud	Trend	1099.05	Neutral	Tenkan=1099.05, Kijun=1099.05 (bearish cross). Price is above the cloud (bullish). Mixed signals — wait for clearer direction.
Aroon (25)	Trend	-8.00	Neutral	Aroon Up=68, Down=76. No clear trend. Aroon measures how recently the price hit a 25-day high (Up) or low (Down). Values above 70 confirm a trend.
DPO (20)	Trend	16.78	Buy	DPO is 16.77. Positive — price is above its 20-day detrended average, suggesting current cycle is in an upswing. DPO removes long-term trend to show underlying cycles. Useful for timing entries within an existing trend.
RSI (14)	Momentum	55.24	Neutral	RSI is 55.2 — neutral zone. Standard zones are 70/30 but NEPSE research shows 60/40 zones work better due to strong momentum/herd behavior in Nepal's market. No extreme reading — RSI is not giving a strong signal on its own. Use with other indicators. RSI was the 2nd most important feature in ML models predicting NEPSE (arXiv 2026).
Stochastic (14,3,3)	Momentum	52.85	Buy	%K=52.8, %D=42.2. Bullish — %K is above %D, suggesting upward momentum. Stochastic compares closing price to its range over 14 days.
Stochastic RSI	Momentum	50.62	Neutral	StochRSI %K=50.6, %D=40.5. Mid-range — no extreme signal. StochRSI is a momentum indicator of RSI itself, making it more responsive than plain RSI.
CCI (20)	Momentum	69.72	Neutral	CCI is 69.7 (normal range). Between -100 and +100 is normal — no extreme deviation from average price. CCI measures how far price has deviated from its mean. Works well for identifying cyclical stocks in NEPSE.
Williams %R (14)	Momentum	-27.20	Neutral	Williams %R is -27.2. Mid-range — no extreme reading. Ranges from 0 to -100 where -50 is the midpoint.
ROC (12)	Momentum	2.28	Buy	ROC is 2.28%. Price has gained 2.28% over the last 12 days. Positive momentum — buyers have been in control recently.
TRIX (15)	Momentum	0.01	Buy	TRIX is 0.0078. Positive — triple-smoothed momentum confirms uptrend. TRIX filters out minor price fluctuations by applying three rounds of smoothing. Good for confirming the major trend direction and filtering noise in NEPSE's often-volatile daily movements.
Awesome Oscillator	Momentum	0.71	Buy	AO is 0.71. Positive — short-term momentum (5-bar) exceeds long-term (34-bar), indicating bullish pressure. Watch for zero-line crossovers — crossing above zero is a buy, below is a sell. Twin peaks divergence is also a strong signal.
Ultimate Osc (7,14,28)	Momentum	53.45	Neutral	UO is 53.5. Mid-range. The Ultimate Oscillator blends 7, 14, and 28-day periods to reduce false signals that plague single-period oscillators.
PPO (12,26)	Momentum	0.45	Buy	PPO is 0.45%, Histogram: -0.02. Positive — 12-day EMA is above 26-day EMA in percentage terms, confirming upward momentum. PPO is like MACD but expressed as a percentage, making it easier to compare across different price levels.
Coppock Curve	Momentum	-0.83	Sell	Coppock is -0.83. Negative — long-term momentum is bearish. Wait for it to turn positive before considering long positions. This indicator was designed for monthly charts but works on daily data too. Best for identifying major trend changes in NEPSE.
10d Rolling Mean	Momentum	1100.18	Buy	10-day rolling mean is NPR 1100.18. Price is NPR 19.82 above. This was the #1 most predictive feature in XGBoost ML models for NEPSE (arXiv 2026). Price above the 10-day mean suggests short-term bullish momentum.
ATR (14)	Volatility	19.13	—	ATR is NPR 19.13 (1.71% of price). This means the stock typically moves NPR 19.13 per day. Moderate volatility — normal trading conditions. Use ATR to set stop-losses: a common approach is 2x ATR (NPR 38.26) below entry.
Bollinger %B	Volatility	0.70	Neutral	BB %B is 0.70 (band position 70%). Bandwidth: 7.98%. Price is within normal range of the bands.
BB/KC Squeeze	Volatility		—	No squeeze — Bollinger Bands are outside Keltner Channels, normal volatility conditions. The Squeeze indicator is widely used to anticipate explosive moves. When the squeeze releases, the direction of the breakout determines whether to go long or short.
5d Rolling Vol	Volatility	1.07	—	5-day rolling volatility is 1.07%. Normal (1-2%) — typical daily fluctuation. This was the 5th most important ML feature for predicting NEPSE returns.
Mass Index	Volatility	26.21	—	Mass Index is 26.21. Below 27 — no reversal bulge detected. Mass Index identifies trend reversals by measuring the range between high and low prices.
Ulcer Index	Volatility	4.12	—	Ulcer Index is 4.12 (low drawdown stress). It measures downside volatility by tracking the depth and duration of drawdowns from recent highs. Lower is better — values below 5 indicate a smooth uptrend, above 10 suggests painful drawdowns.
Donchian (20)	Volatility	1145.00	Neutral	Price is at 72.8% of the 20-day Donchian Channel (Upper: 1145.00, Lower: 1053.10). Mid-channel — no extreme position. Donchian channels show the highest high and lowest low over 20 days.
MFI (14)	Volume	99.82	Sell	MFI is 99.8. Overbought — heavy buying volume has driven the indicator above 80. Smart money may start selling. MFI is like RSI but weighted by volume, making it more reliable for confirming price moves.
CMF (20)	Volume	-0.53	Sell	CMF is -0.5334. Negative — money is flowing OUT of the stock ({strength} distribution). Sellers dominate with volume support. CMF above +0.1 or below -0.1 is a strong signal. Near zero means balanced buying/selling.
OBV Trend	Volume	—	Buy	OBV is rising over the last 20 days. Rising OBV confirms price increases are backed by volume — the uptrend is healthy. OBV adds volume on up-days and subtracts on down-days. The direction matters more than the absolute number.
VWAP	Volume	1120.00	Sell	VWAP is NPR 1120.00. Price is NPR 0.0 below VWAP. Price below VWAP means the average buyer is at a loss — bearish. VWAP acts as resistance.
Elder Force (13)	Volume	6061.64	Buy	EFI is 6,062. Positive — buying force (price change x volume) exceeds selling force. Large positive values mean strong institutional buying. Elder Force Index combines price direction with volume to measure the force behind moves.