CIZBD86

Bond

10.25% Citizens Bank Debenture 2086

Rs. 1174.20 +34.20 (+3.00%)

Open: 1174.2
High: 1174.2
Low: 1174.2
Prev close: 1140
Volume: --
Turnover: 29,355
52W high: 1320.90
52W low: 1112.30

52-week range1112.30 – 1320.90

NSA Score

Neutral

Buy

Neutral

Sell

Trend · Slightly Bearish 38

Momentum · Slightly Bullish 57

Volume · Neutral 48

Volatility · Neutral 48

Fibonacci Retracement (60-day swing)

Swing High 1320.9 · Swing Low 1112.3

0	1320.9
0.236	1271.67
0.382	1241.21
0.5	1216.6
0.618	1191.99
0.786	1156.94
1.0	1112.3

Pivot Points

1174.2

Pivot Point

1174.2

Indicator	Category	Value	Signal	Why
EMA 13	Moving Averages	1184.24	Sell	Price is NPR 10.04 (0.85%) below EMA 13. 13-day Exponential MA. Optimal for NEPSE (30% CAGR in backtest). Reacts fast to price changes.
EMA 20	Moving Averages	1184.00	Sell	Price is NPR 9.8 (0.83%) below EMA 20. 20-day EMA. Standard short-term trend filter used by most traders.
EMA 50	Moving Averages	—	—	Not enough data to compute. 50-day EMA. Medium-term trend. A cross of EMA 13 above EMA 50 is a strong buy signal for NEPSE.
SMA 13	Moving Averages	1185.05	Sell	Price is NPR 10.85 (0.92%) below SMA 13. 13-day Simple MA. Research shows this period gives the best risk-adjusted return on NEPSE (Sharpe 1.71).
SMA 20	Moving Averages	1179.75	Sell	Price is NPR 5.55 (0.47%) below SMA 20. 20-day SMA. Also the mid-line of Bollinger Bands. Acts as dynamic support/resistance.
SMA 50	Moving Averages	—	—	Not enough data to compute. 50-day SMA. Institutional-level trend gauge. Widely watched by NEPSE fund managers.
SMA 200	Moving Averages	—	—	Not enough data to compute. 200-day SMA. The dividing line between bull and bear markets. Price above = long-term bullish.
MACD (12,26,9)	Trend	-1.23	Sell	MACD line (0.37) is below Signal (1.60). Histogram: -1.23 (expanding). Bearish pressure — MACD below signal suggests selling momentum. Note: Standard 12-26-9 parameters tend to underperform buy-and-hold on NEPSE. Check the optimized MACD below.
MACD (34,72,3)	Trend	—	—	Insufficient data. This MACD uses longer periods (34,72,3) optimized for frontier markets like NEPSE.
SuperTrend (7,3)	Trend	1248.81	Sell	SuperTrend line is at NPR 1248.81 (resistance). Price is NPR 74.61 below the line. Downtrend active — the line acts as resistance overhead. A break above would flip to Buy. SuperTrend works well in trending NEPSE markets driven by herd behavior.
Parabolic SAR	Trend	1130.00	Buy	SAR dot is below price at NPR 1130.00 (bullish). Acts as a trailing stop — if price drops below 1130.00, the trend flips bearish. Good for setting stop-loss levels.
ADX (14)	Trend	9.74	Sell	ADX is 9.7 (Weak/absent trend). +DI=24.3, -DI=39.6. Bears dominate — -DI is above +DI. The trend is weak — range-bound strategies may work better than trend-following.
Ichimoku Cloud	Trend	—	—	Ichimoku Cloud is a complete trend system showing support, resistance, momentum and trend direction in one view.
Aroon (25)	Trend	-12.00	Neutral	Aroon Up=44, Down=56. No clear trend. Aroon measures how recently the price hit a 25-day high (Up) or low (Down). Values above 70 confirm a trend.
DPO (20)	Trend	10.25	Buy	DPO is 10.25. Positive — price is above its 20-day detrended average, suggesting current cycle is in an upswing. DPO removes long-term trend to show underlying cycles. Useful for timing entries within an existing trend.
RSI (14)	Momentum	48.78	Neutral	RSI is 48.8 — neutral zone. Standard zones are 70/30 but NEPSE research shows 60/40 zones work better due to strong momentum/herd behavior in Nepal's market. No extreme reading — RSI is not giving a strong signal on its own. Use with other indicators. RSI was the 2nd most important feature in ML models predicting NEPSE (arXiv 2026).
Stochastic (14,3,3)	Momentum	37.17	Sell	%K=37.2, %D=50.0. Bearish — %K is below %D, suggesting downward pressure. Stochastic compares closing price to its range over 14 days.
Stochastic RSI	Momentum	40.13	Neutral	StochRSI %K=40.1, %D=56.2. Mid-range — no extreme signal. StochRSI is a momentum indicator of RSI itself, making it more responsive than plain RSI.
CCI (20)	Momentum	-28.26	Neutral	CCI is -28.3 (normal range). Between -100 and +100 is normal — no extreme deviation from average price. CCI measures how far price has deviated from its mean. Works well for identifying cyclical stocks in NEPSE.
Williams %R (14)	Momentum	-62.86	Neutral	Williams %R is -62.9. Mid-range — no extreme reading. Ranges from 0 to -100 where -50 is the midpoint.
ROC (12)	Momentum	3.91	Buy	ROC is 3.91%. Price has gained 3.91% over the last 12 days. Positive momentum — buyers have been in control recently.
TRIX (15)	Momentum	0.03	Buy	TRIX is 0.0288. Positive — triple-smoothed momentum confirms uptrend. TRIX filters out minor price fluctuations by applying three rounds of smoothing. Good for confirming the major trend direction and filtering noise in NEPSE's often-volatile daily movements.
Awesome Oscillator	Momentum	6.99	Buy	AO is 6.99. Positive — short-term momentum (5-bar) exceeds long-term (34-bar), indicating bullish pressure. Watch for zero-line crossovers — crossing above zero is a buy, below is a sell. Twin peaks divergence is also a strong signal.
Ultimate Osc (7,14,28)	Momentum	47.51	Neutral	UO is 47.5. Mid-range. The Ultimate Oscillator blends 7, 14, and 28-day periods to reduce false signals that plague single-period oscillators.
PPO (12,26)	Momentum	0.58	Buy	PPO is 0.58%, Histogram: 0.28. Positive — 12-day EMA is above 26-day EMA in percentage terms, confirming upward momentum. PPO is like MACD but expressed as a percentage, making it easier to compare across different price levels.
Coppock Curve	Momentum	2.66	Buy	Coppock is 2.66. Positive — originally designed to identify long-term buying opportunities. A turn from negative to positive is historically one of the most reliable buy signals. This indicator was designed for monthly charts but works on daily data too. Best for identifying major trend changes in NEPSE.
10d Rolling Mean	Momentum	1187.57	Sell	10-day rolling mean is NPR 1187.57. Price is NPR 13.37 below. This was the #1 most predictive feature in XGBoost ML models for NEPSE (arXiv 2026). Price below the 10-day mean suggests short-term bearish momentum.
ATR (14)	Volatility	30.89	—	ATR is NPR 30.89 (2.63% of price). This means the stock typically moves NPR 30.89 per day. Moderate volatility — normal trading conditions. Use ATR to set stop-losses: a common approach is 2x ATR (NPR 61.78) below entry.
Bollinger %B	Volatility	0.45	Neutral	BB %B is 0.45 (band position 45%). Bandwidth: 8.97%. Price is within normal range of the bands.
BB/KC Squeeze	Volatility		—	SQUEEZE ACTIVE — Bollinger Bands are inside Keltner Channels. This means volatility is very low and a big move is coming. Prepare for a breakout. The Squeeze indicator is widely used to anticipate explosive moves. When the squeeze releases, the direction of the breakout determines whether to go long or short.
5d Rolling Vol	Volatility	3.54	—	5-day rolling volatility is 3.54%. Elevated (>2%) — above-normal swings. Be cautious with position sizes. This was the 5th most important ML feature for predicting NEPSE returns.
Mass Index	Volatility	23.60	—	Mass Index is 23.60. Below 27 — no reversal bulge detected. Mass Index identifies trend reversals by measuring the range between high and low prices.
Ulcer Index	Volatility	3.31	—	Ulcer Index is 3.31 (low drawdown stress). It measures downside volatility by tracking the depth and duration of drawdowns from recent highs. Lower is better — values below 5 indicate a smooth uptrend, above 10 suggests painful drawdowns.
Donchian (20)	Volatility	1251.00	Neutral	Price is at 36.5% of the 20-day Donchian Channel (Upper: 1251.00, Lower: 1130.00). Mid-channel — no extreme position. Donchian channels show the highest high and lowest low over 20 days.
MFI (14)	Volume	43.80	Neutral	MFI is 43.8. Normal range. Money Flow Index combines price and volume to measure buying/selling pressure. Unlike RSI which only uses price, MFI factors in volume for stronger signals.
CMF (20)	Volume	0.51	Buy	CMF is 0.5072. Positive — money is flowing INTO the stock ({strength} accumulation). Buyers are in control with volume backing them. CMF above +0.1 or below -0.1 is a strong signal. Near zero means balanced buying/selling.
OBV Trend	Volume	—	Sell	OBV is falling over the last 20 days. Falling OBV suggests volume is declining or moving to sellers — bearish divergence if price is still rising. OBV adds volume on up-days and subtracts on down-days. The direction matters more than the absolute number.
VWAP	Volume	1174.20	Sell	VWAP is NPR 1174.20. Price is NPR 0.0 below VWAP. Price below VWAP means the average buyer is at a loss — bearish. VWAP acts as resistance.
Elder Force (13)	Volume	-59362.80	Sell	EFI is -59,363. Negative — selling force exceeds buying force. Large negative values indicate aggressive selling. Elder Force Index combines price direction with volume to measure the force behind moves.