CKHL

HydroPower

Chirkhwa Hydropower Limited

Rs. 522.00 -9.00 (-1.69%)

Open: 515.1
High: 522
Low: 490
Prev close: 531
Volume: 4,236
Turnover: 2,177,188
52W high: 804.00
52W low: 479.80

52-week range479.80 – 804.00

NSA Score

Neutral

Buy

Neutral

Sell

Trend · Slightly Bearish 31

Momentum · Neutral 47

Volume · Slightly Bullish 64

Volatility · Slightly Bearish 37

Fibonacci Retracement (60-day swing)

Swing High 676.0 · Swing Low 479.8

0	676.0
0.236	629.7
0.382	601.05
0.5	577.9
0.618	554.75
0.786	521.79
1.0	479.8

Pivot Points

564.67

543.33

532.67

500.67

479.33

468.67

Pivot Point

511.33

Indicator	Category	Value	Signal	Why
EMA 13	Moving Averages	539.29	Sell	Price is NPR 17.29 (3.21%) below EMA 13. 13-day Exponential MA. Optimal for NEPSE (30% CAGR in backtest). Reacts fast to price changes.
EMA 20	Moving Averages	550.24	Sell	Price is NPR 28.24 (5.13%) below EMA 20. 20-day EMA. Standard short-term trend filter used by most traders.
EMA 50	Moving Averages	575.11	Sell	Price is NPR 53.11 (9.23%) below EMA 50. 50-day EMA. Medium-term trend. A cross of EMA 13 above EMA 50 is a strong buy signal for NEPSE.
SMA 13	Moving Averages	543.51	Sell	Price is NPR 21.51 (3.96%) below SMA 13. 13-day Simple MA. Research shows this period gives the best risk-adjusted return on NEPSE (Sharpe 1.71).
SMA 20	Moving Averages	561.45	Sell	Price is NPR 39.45 (7.03%) below SMA 20. 20-day SMA. Also the mid-line of Bollinger Bands. Acts as dynamic support/resistance.
SMA 50	Moving Averages	579.12	Sell	Price is NPR 57.12 (9.86%) below SMA 50. 50-day SMA. Institutional-level trend gauge. Widely watched by NEPSE fund managers.
SMA 200	Moving Averages	648.05	Sell	Price is NPR 126.05 (19.45%) below SMA 200. 200-day SMA. The dividing line between bull and bear markets. Price above = long-term bullish. Being below 200 SMA is bearish — historically NEPSE struggles to rally when below this level.
MACD (12,26,9)	Trend	-4.69	Sell	MACD line (-19.64) is below Signal (-14.95). Histogram: -4.69 (expanding). Bearish pressure — MACD below signal suggests selling momentum. Note: Standard 12-26-9 parameters tend to underperform buy-and-hold on NEPSE. Check the optimized MACD below.
MACD (34,72,3)	Trend	-0.83	Sell	MACD(-23.39) vs Signal(-22.56), Histogram: -0.83. Bearish — sellers in control. These parameters (34,72,3) were validated on frontier markets like Dubai (85% hit ratio) and are better suited for NEPSE's slower cycles than standard MACD.
SuperTrend (7,3)	Trend	586.37	Sell	SuperTrend line is at NPR 586.37 (resistance). Price is NPR 64.37 below the line. Downtrend active — the line acts as resistance overhead. A break above would flip to Buy. SuperTrend works well in trending NEPSE markets driven by herd behavior.
Parabolic SAR	Trend	569.85	Buy	SAR dot is below price at NPR 569.85 (bullish). Acts as a trailing stop — if price drops below 569.85, the trend flips bearish. Good for setting stop-loss levels.
ADX (14)	Trend	19.98	Sell	ADX is 20.0 (Weak/absent trend). +DI=15.5, -DI=18.4. Bears dominate — -DI is above +DI. The trend is weak — range-bound strategies may work better than trend-following.
Ichimoku Cloud	Trend	526.90	Sell	Tenkan=526.90, Kijun=557.90 (bearish cross). Price is below the cloud (bearish). All signals align bearish — consider reducing positions.
Aroon (25)	Trend	-80.00	Sell	Aroon Up=16, Down=96. Strong downtrend — recent new lows with no new highs. Selling pressure dominates.
DPO (20)	Trend	25.56	Buy	DPO is 25.55. Positive — price is above its 20-day detrended average, suggesting current cycle is in an upswing. DPO removes long-term trend to show underlying cycles. Useful for timing entries within an existing trend.
RSI (14)	Momentum	35.89	Buy	RSI is 35.9 — oversold (NEPSE-adjusted zone). Standard zones are 70/30 but NEPSE research shows 60/40 zones work better due to strong momentum/herd behavior in Nepal's market. Price may be undervalued — look for reversal confirmation before buying. RSI was the 2nd most important feature in ML models predicting NEPSE (arXiv 2026).
Stochastic (14,3,3)	Momentum	24.37	Buy	%K=24.4, %D=17.9. Bullish — %K is above %D, suggesting upward momentum. Stochastic compares closing price to its range over 14 days.
Stochastic RSI	Momentum	31.34	Neutral	StochRSI %K=31.3, %D=16.1. Mid-range — no extreme signal. StochRSI is a momentum indicator of RSI itself, making it more responsive than plain RSI.
CCI (20)	Momentum	-92.65	Neutral	CCI is -92.6 (normal range). Between -100 and +100 is normal — no extreme deviation from average price. CCI measures how far price has deviated from its mean. Works well for identifying cyclical stocks in NEPSE.
Williams %R (14)	Momentum	-68.32	Neutral	Williams %R is -68.3. Mid-range — no extreme reading. Ranges from 0 to -100 where -50 is the midpoint.
ROC (12)	Momentum	-11.22	Sell	ROC is -11.22%. Price has lost 11.22% over the last 12 days. Negative momentum — selling pressure over the past 12 trading sessions. Strong momentum (>5%) suggests trend acceleration.
TRIX (15)	Momentum	-0.35	Sell	TRIX is -0.3511. Negative — triple-smoothed momentum confirms downtrend. TRIX filters out minor price fluctuations by applying three rounds of smoothing. Good for confirming the major trend direction and filtering noise in NEPSE's often-volatile daily movements.
Awesome Oscillator	Momentum	-59.53	Sell	AO is -59.53. Negative — long-term momentum exceeds short-term, indicating bearish pressure. Watch for zero-line crossovers — crossing above zero is a buy, below is a sell. Twin peaks divergence is also a strong signal.
Ultimate Osc (7,14,28)	Momentum	75.10	Sell	UO is 75.1. Overbought (>70). Combines three timeframes (7, 14, 28 days) for a more reliable overbought reading than single-period oscillators.
PPO (12,26)	Momentum	-4.52	Sell	PPO is -4.52%, Histogram: -2.10. Negative — short-term EMA is below long-term, indicating downward pressure. PPO is like MACD but expressed as a percentage, making it easier to compare across different price levels.
Coppock Curve	Momentum	-23.83	Sell	Coppock is -23.83. Negative — long-term momentum is bearish. Wait for it to turn positive before considering long positions. This indicator was designed for monthly charts but works on daily data too. Best for identifying major trend changes in NEPSE.
10d Rolling Mean	Momentum	530.82	Sell	10-day rolling mean is NPR 530.82. Price is NPR 8.82 below. This was the #1 most predictive feature in XGBoost ML models for NEPSE (arXiv 2026). Price below the 10-day mean suggests short-term bearish momentum.
ATR (14)	Volatility	32.05	—	ATR is NPR 32.05 (6.14% of price). This means the stock typically moves NPR 32.05 per day. High volatility (>3%) — wider stop-losses needed, larger position risk. Use ATR to set stop-losses: a common approach is 2x ATR (NPR 64.11) below entry.
Bollinger %B	Volatility	0.21	Neutral	BB %B is 0.21 (band position 21%). Bandwidth: 23.98%. Price is within normal range of the bands.
BB/KC Squeeze	Volatility		—	No squeeze — Bollinger Bands are outside Keltner Channels, normal volatility conditions. The Squeeze indicator is widely used to anticipate explosive moves. When the squeeze releases, the direction of the breakout determines whether to go long or short.
5d Rolling Vol	Volatility	3.11	—	5-day rolling volatility is 3.11%. Elevated (>2%) — above-normal swings. Be cautious with position sizes. This was the 5th most important ML feature for predicting NEPSE returns.
Mass Index	Volatility	26.48	—	Mass Index is 26.48. Below 27 — no reversal bulge detected. Mass Index identifies trend reversals by measuring the range between high and low prices.
Ulcer Index	Volatility	10.72	—	Ulcer Index is 10.72 (high drawdown stress — significant pain for holders). It measures downside volatility by tracking the depth and duration of drawdowns from recent highs. Lower is better — values below 5 indicate a smooth uptrend, above 10 suggests painful drawdowns.
Donchian (20)	Volatility	635.00	Neutral	Price is at 27.2% of the 20-day Donchian Channel (Upper: 635.00, Lower: 479.80). Mid-channel — no extreme position. Donchian channels show the highest high and lowest low over 20 days.
MFI (14)	Volume	13.23	Buy	MFI is 13.2. Oversold — selling pressure with volume is extreme. Potential buying opportunity as selling may be exhausted.
CMF (20)	Volume	0.50	Buy	CMF is 0.4968. Positive — money is flowing INTO the stock ({strength} accumulation). Buyers are in control with volume backing them. CMF above +0.1 or below -0.1 is a strong signal. Near zero means balanced buying/selling.
OBV Trend	Volume	—	Sell	OBV is falling over the last 20 days. Falling OBV suggests volume is declining or moving to sellers — bearish divergence if price is still rising. OBV adds volume on up-days and subtracts on down-days. The direction matters more than the absolute number.
VWAP	Volume	511.33	Buy	VWAP is NPR 511.33. Price is NPR 10.67 above VWAP. Price above VWAP means the average buyer is in profit — bullish. Institutional traders often use VWAP as a benchmark.
Elder Force (13)	Volume	-3041.26	Sell	EFI is -3,041. Negative — selling force exceeds buying force. Large negative values indicate aggressive selling. Elder Force Index combines price direction with volume to measure the force behind moves.