GMFIL

Finance

Guheshowori Merchant Bank & Finance

Rs. 410.70 -1.70 (-0.41%)

Open: 410.1
High: 420
Low: 410.1
Prev close: 412.4
Volume: 6,720
Turnover: 2,775,871
52W high: 540.00
52W low: 393.10

52-week range393.10 – 540.00

NSA Score

Neutral

Buy

Neutral

Sell

Trend · Slightly Bearish 40

Momentum · Slightly Bullish 56

Volume · Neutral 48

Volatility · Neutral 48

Fibonacci Retracement (60-day swing)

Swing High 498.0 · Swing Low 400.0

0	498.0
0.236	474.87
0.382	460.56
0.5	449.0
0.618	437.44
0.786	420.97
1.0	400.0

Pivot Points

427.0

423.5

417.1

407.2

403.7

397.3

Pivot Point

413.6

Indicator	Category	Value	Signal	Why
EMA 13	Moving Averages	415.29	Sell	Price is NPR 4.59 (1.11%) below EMA 13. 13-day Exponential MA. Optimal for NEPSE (30% CAGR in backtest). Reacts fast to price changes.
EMA 20	Moving Averages	418.02	Sell	Price is NPR 7.32 (1.75%) below EMA 20. 20-day EMA. Standard short-term trend filter used by most traders.
EMA 50	Moving Averages	430.68	Sell	Price is NPR 19.98 (4.64%) below EMA 50. 50-day EMA. Medium-term trend. A cross of EMA 13 above EMA 50 is a strong buy signal for NEPSE.
SMA 13	Moving Averages	416.45	Sell	Price is NPR 5.75 (1.38%) below SMA 13. 13-day Simple MA. Research shows this period gives the best risk-adjusted return on NEPSE (Sharpe 1.71).
SMA 20	Moving Averages	418.55	Sell	Price is NPR 7.85 (1.88%) below SMA 20. 20-day SMA. Also the mid-line of Bollinger Bands. Acts as dynamic support/resistance.
SMA 50	Moving Averages	433.63	Sell	Price is NPR 22.93 (5.29%) below SMA 50. 50-day SMA. Institutional-level trend gauge. Widely watched by NEPSE fund managers.
SMA 200	Moving Averages	463.63	Sell	Price is NPR 52.93 (11.42%) below SMA 200. 200-day SMA. The dividing line between bull and bear markets. Price above = long-term bullish. Being below 200 SMA is bearish — historically NEPSE struggles to rally when below this level.
MACD (12,26,9)	Trend	0.14	Buy	MACD line (-5.68) is above Signal (-5.82). Histogram: 0.14 (narrowing). Bullish momentum is building — MACD crossing above signal is a buy trigger. Note: Standard 12-26-9 parameters tend to underperform buy-and-hold on NEPSE. Check the optimized MACD below.
MACD (34,72,3)	Trend	-0.05	Sell	MACD(-13.64) vs Signal(-13.59), Histogram: -0.05. Bearish — sellers in control. These parameters (34,72,3) were validated on frontier markets like Dubai (85% hit ratio) and are better suited for NEPSE's slower cycles than standard MACD.
SuperTrend (7,3)	Trend	441.90	Sell	SuperTrend line is at NPR 441.90 (resistance). Price is NPR 31.2 below the line. Downtrend active — the line acts as resistance overhead. A break above would flip to Buy. SuperTrend works well in trending NEPSE markets driven by herd behavior.
Parabolic SAR	Trend	416.20	Buy	SAR dot is below price at NPR 416.20 (bullish). Acts as a trailing stop — if price drops below 416.20, the trend flips bearish. Good for setting stop-loss levels.
ADX (14)	Trend	17.73	Buy	ADX is 17.7 (Weak/absent trend). +DI=20.8, -DI=14.9. Bulls dominate — +DI is above -DI. The trend is weak — range-bound strategies may work better than trend-following.
Ichimoku Cloud	Trend	416.00	Sell	Tenkan=416.00, Kijun=426.00 (bearish cross). Price is below the cloud (bearish). All signals align bearish — consider reducing positions.
Aroon (25)	Trend	32.00	Neutral	Aroon Up=56, Down=24. No clear trend. Aroon measures how recently the price hit a 25-day high (Up) or low (Down). Values above 70 confirm a trend.
DPO (20)	Trend	7.46	Buy	DPO is 7.46. Positive — price is above its 20-day detrended average, suggesting current cycle is in an upswing. DPO removes long-term trend to show underlying cycles. Useful for timing entries within an existing trend.
RSI (14)	Momentum	38.63	Buy	RSI is 38.6 — oversold (NEPSE-adjusted zone). Standard zones are 70/30 but NEPSE research shows 60/40 zones work better due to strong momentum/herd behavior in Nepal's market. Price may be undervalued — look for reversal confirmation before buying. RSI was the 2nd most important feature in ML models predicting NEPSE (arXiv 2026).
Stochastic (14,3,3)	Momentum	12.20	Buy	%K=12.2, %D=13.8. Oversold — price is near the bottom of its 14-day range. Watch for %K crossing above %D for a buy entry.
Stochastic RSI	Momentum	5.35	Buy	StochRSI %K=5.4. Oversold — momentum is deeply stretched to the downside. A rise above 20 would confirm a buy signal.
CCI (20)	Momentum	-56.45	Neutral	CCI is -56.4 (normal range). Between -100 and +100 is normal — no extreme deviation from average price. CCI measures how far price has deviated from its mean. Works well for identifying cyclical stocks in NEPSE.
Williams %R (14)	Momentum	-89.32	Buy	Williams %R is -89.3. Oversold zone (below -80). Price is near the bottom of its 14-day range. May bounce — but confirm with other indicators before buying.
ROC (12)	Momentum	-4.91	Sell	ROC is -4.91%. Price has lost 4.91% over the last 12 days. Negative momentum — selling pressure over the past 12 trading sessions.
TRIX (15)	Momentum	-0.19	Sell	TRIX is -0.1940. Negative — triple-smoothed momentum confirms downtrend. TRIX filters out minor price fluctuations by applying three rounds of smoothing. Good for confirming the major trend direction and filtering noise in NEPSE's often-volatile daily movements.
Awesome Oscillator	Momentum	-8.65	Sell	AO is -8.65. Negative — long-term momentum exceeds short-term, indicating bearish pressure. Watch for zero-line crossovers — crossing above zero is a buy, below is a sell. Twin peaks divergence is also a strong signal.
Ultimate Osc (7,14,28)	Momentum	26.14	Buy	UO is 26.1. Oversold (<30). Multi-timeframe confirmation of oversold conditions makes this a higher-confidence buy signal than single-timeframe indicators.
PPO (12,26)	Momentum	-0.59	Sell	PPO is -0.59%, Histogram: -0.27. Negative — short-term EMA is below long-term, indicating downward pressure. PPO is like MACD but expressed as a percentage, making it easier to compare across different price levels.
Coppock Curve	Momentum	-5.28	Sell	Coppock is -5.28. Negative — long-term momentum is bearish. Wait for it to turn positive before considering long positions. This indicator was designed for monthly charts but works on daily data too. Best for identifying major trend changes in NEPSE.
10d Rolling Mean	Momentum	413.50	Sell	10-day rolling mean is NPR 413.50. Price is NPR 2.8 below. This was the #1 most predictive feature in XGBoost ML models for NEPSE (arXiv 2026). Price below the 10-day mean suggests short-term bearish momentum.
ATR (14)	Volatility	11.70	—	ATR is NPR 11.70 (2.85% of price). This means the stock typically moves NPR 11.70 per day. Moderate volatility — normal trading conditions. Use ATR to set stop-losses: a common approach is 2x ATR (NPR 23.39) below entry.
Bollinger %B	Volatility	0.23	Neutral	BB %B is 0.23 (band position 23%). Bandwidth: 6.93%. Price is within normal range of the bands.
BB/KC Squeeze	Volatility		—	SQUEEZE ACTIVE — Bollinger Bands are inside Keltner Channels. This means volatility is very low and a big move is coming. Prepare for a breakout. The Squeeze indicator is widely used to anticipate explosive moves. When the squeeze releases, the direction of the breakout determines whether to go long or short.
5d Rolling Vol	Volatility	0.45	—	5-day rolling volatility is 0.45%. Very low (<1%) — market is calm. Breakout may be imminent. This was the 5th most important ML feature for predicting NEPSE returns.
Mass Index	Volatility	24.60	—	Mass Index is 24.60. Below 27 — no reversal bulge detected. Mass Index identifies trend reversals by measuring the range between high and low prices.
Ulcer Index	Volatility	3.97	—	Ulcer Index is 3.97 (low drawdown stress). It measures downside volatility by tracking the depth and duration of drawdowns from recent highs. Lower is better — values below 5 indicate a smooth uptrend, above 10 suggests painful drawdowns.
Donchian (20)	Volatility	450.00	Buy	Price is at 18.1% of the 20-day Donchian Channel (Upper: 450.00, Lower: 402.00). Near the bottom — potential support area. A break below could signal a new downtrend.
MFI (14)	Volume	49.64	Neutral	MFI is 49.6. Normal range. Money Flow Index combines price and volume to measure buying/selling pressure. Unlike RSI which only uses price, MFI factors in volume for stronger signals.
CMF (20)	Volume	-0.01	Sell	CMF is -0.0057. Negative — money is flowing OUT of the stock ({strength} distribution). Sellers dominate with volume support. CMF above +0.1 or below -0.1 is a strong signal. Near zero means balanced buying/selling.
OBV Trend	Volume	—	Buy	OBV is rising over the last 20 days. Rising OBV confirms price increases are backed by volume — the uptrend is healthy. OBV adds volume on up-days and subtracts on down-days. The direction matters more than the absolute number.
VWAP	Volume	413.60	Sell	VWAP is NPR 413.60. Price is NPR 2.9 below VWAP. Price below VWAP means the average buyer is at a loss — bearish. VWAP acts as resistance.
Elder Force (13)	Volume	-3539.74	Sell	EFI is -3,540. Negative — selling force exceeds buying force. Large negative values indicate aggressive selling. Elder Force Index combines price direction with volume to measure the force behind moves.