HDL

Manu.& Pro.

Himalayan Distillery

Rs. 1300.00 +26.00 (+2.04%)

Open: 1275
High: 1301
Low: 1272.09
Prev close: 1274
Volume: 145,707
Turnover: 188,730,723
52W high: 1363.20
52W low: 1079.51

52-week range1079.51 – 1363.20

NSA Score

Strong Buy

Buy

Neutral

Sell

Trend · Bullish 75

Momentum · Slightly Bullish 59

Volume · Bullish 71

Volatility · Slightly Bullish 58

Fibonacci Retracement (60-day swing)

Swing High 1363.2 · Swing Low 1120.0

0	1363.2
0.236	1305.8
0.382	1270.3
0.5	1241.6
0.618	1212.9
0.786	1172.04
1.0	1120.0

Pivot Points

1338.87

1319.93

1309.97

1281.07

1262.13

1252.17

Pivot Point

1291.03

Indicator	Category	Value	Signal	Why
EMA 13	Moving Averages	1273.30	Buy	Price is NPR 26.7 (2.1%) above EMA 13. 13-day Exponential MA. Optimal for NEPSE (30% CAGR in backtest). Reacts fast to price changes.
EMA 20	Moving Averages	1259.95	Buy	Price is NPR 40.05 (3.18%) above EMA 20. 20-day EMA. Standard short-term trend filter used by most traders.
EMA 50	Moving Averages	1221.41	Buy	Price is NPR 78.59 (6.43%) above EMA 50. 50-day EMA. Medium-term trend. A cross of EMA 13 above EMA 50 is a strong buy signal for NEPSE.
SMA 13	Moving Averages	1288.73	Buy	Price is NPR 11.27 (0.87%) above SMA 13. 13-day Simple MA. Research shows this period gives the best risk-adjusted return on NEPSE (Sharpe 1.71).
SMA 20	Moving Averages	1259.62	Buy	Price is NPR 40.38 (3.21%) above SMA 20. 20-day SMA. Also the mid-line of Bollinger Bands. Acts as dynamic support/resistance.
SMA 50	Moving Averages	1205.38	Buy	Price is NPR 94.62 (7.85%) above SMA 50. 50-day SMA. Institutional-level trend gauge. Widely watched by NEPSE fund managers.
SMA 200	Moving Averages	1171.40	Buy	Price is NPR 128.6 (10.98%) above SMA 200. 200-day SMA. The dividing line between bull and bear markets. Price above = long-term bullish.
MACD (12,26,9)	Trend	-1.83	Sell	MACD line (25.59) is below Signal (27.43). Histogram: -1.83 (expanding). Bearish pressure — MACD below signal suggests selling momentum. Note: Standard 12-26-9 parameters tend to underperform buy-and-hold on NEPSE. Check the optimized MACD below.
MACD (34,72,3)	Trend	0.82	Buy	MACD(30.69) vs Signal(29.87), Histogram: 0.82. Bullish — momentum favors buyers. These parameters (34,72,3) were validated on frontier markets like Dubai (85% hit ratio) and are better suited for NEPSE's slower cycles than standard MACD.
SuperTrend (7,3)	Trend	1236.05	Buy	SuperTrend line is at NPR 1236.05 (support). Price is NPR 63.95 above the line. Uptrend confirmed — the line acts as trailing support. A break below would flip to Sell. SuperTrend works well in trending NEPSE markets driven by herd behavior.
Parabolic SAR	Trend	1277.35	Buy	SAR dot is below price at NPR 1277.35 (bullish). Acts as a trailing stop — if price drops below 1277.35, the trend flips bearish. Good for setting stop-loss levels.
ADX (14)	Trend	41.86	Buy	ADX is 41.9 (Strong trend). +DI=35.7, -DI=15.3. Bulls dominate — +DI is above -DI. The trend is strong enough to trade with confidence.
Ichimoku Cloud	Trend	1298.00	Buy	Tenkan=1298.00, Kijun=1256.70 (bullish cross). Price is above the cloud (bullish). All signals align bullish — Tenkan above Kijun and price above cloud is the strongest Ichimoku buy signal.
Aroon (25)	Trend	64.00	Neutral	Aroon Up=64, Down=0. No clear trend. Aroon measures how recently the price hit a 25-day high (Up) or low (Down). Values above 70 confirm a trend.
DPO (20)	Trend	18.68	Buy	DPO is 18.68. Positive — price is above its 20-day detrended average, suggesting current cycle is in an upswing. DPO removes long-term trend to show underlying cycles. Useful for timing entries within an existing trend.
RSI (14)	Momentum	65.97	Sell	RSI is 66.0 — overbought (NEPSE-adjusted zone). Standard zones are 70/30 but NEPSE research shows 60/40 zones work better due to strong momentum/herd behavior in Nepal's market. Price may be stretched — a pullback is likely. Consider taking profits. RSI was the 2nd most important feature in ML models predicting NEPSE (arXiv 2026).
Stochastic (14,3,3)	Momentum	46.00	Buy	%K=46.0, %D=43.9. Bullish — %K is above %D, suggesting upward momentum. Stochastic compares closing price to its range over 14 days.
Stochastic RSI	Momentum	15.16	Buy	StochRSI %K=15.2. Oversold — momentum is deeply stretched to the downside. A rise above 20 would confirm a buy signal.
CCI (20)	Momentum	54.00	Neutral	CCI is 54.0 (normal range). Between -100 and +100 is normal — no extreme deviation from average price. CCI measures how far price has deviated from its mean. Works well for identifying cyclical stocks in NEPSE.
Williams %R (14)	Momentum	-41.66	Neutral	Williams %R is -41.7. Mid-range — no extreme reading. Ranges from 0 to -100 where -50 is the midpoint.
ROC (12)	Momentum	1.25	Buy	ROC is 1.25%. Price has gained 1.25% over the last 12 days. Positive momentum — buyers have been in control recently.
TRIX (15)	Momentum	0.34	Buy	TRIX is 0.3405. Positive — triple-smoothed momentum confirms uptrend. TRIX filters out minor price fluctuations by applying three rounds of smoothing. Good for confirming the major trend direction and filtering noise in NEPSE's often-volatile daily movements.
Awesome Oscillator	Momentum	57.13	Buy	AO is 57.13. Positive — short-term momentum (5-bar) exceeds long-term (34-bar), indicating bullish pressure. Watch for zero-line crossovers — crossing above zero is a buy, below is a sell. Twin peaks divergence is also a strong signal.
Ultimate Osc (7,14,28)	Momentum	38.50	Neutral	UO is 38.5. Mid-range. The Ultimate Oscillator blends 7, 14, and 28-day periods to reduce false signals that plague single-period oscillators.
PPO (12,26)	Momentum	4.04	Buy	PPO is 4.04%, Histogram: 0.21. Positive — 12-day EMA is above 26-day EMA in percentage terms, confirming upward momentum. PPO is like MACD but expressed as a percentage, making it easier to compare across different price levels.
Coppock Curve	Momentum	10.84	Buy	Coppock is 10.84. Positive — originally designed to identify long-term buying opportunities. A turn from negative to positive is historically one of the most reliable buy signals. This indicator was designed for monthly charts but works on daily data too. Best for identifying major trend changes in NEPSE.
10d Rolling Mean	Momentum	1287.92	Buy	10-day rolling mean is NPR 1287.92. Price is NPR 12.08 above. This was the #1 most predictive feature in XGBoost ML models for NEPSE (arXiv 2026). Price above the 10-day mean suggests short-term bullish momentum.
ATR (14)	Volatility	31.31	—	ATR is NPR 31.31 (2.41% of price). This means the stock typically moves NPR 31.31 per day. Moderate volatility — normal trading conditions. Use ATR to set stop-losses: a common approach is 2x ATR (NPR 62.61) below entry.
Bollinger %B	Volatility	0.74	Neutral	BB %B is 0.74 (band position 74%). Bandwidth: 13.52%. Price is within normal range of the bands.
BB/KC Squeeze	Volatility		—	No squeeze — Bollinger Bands are outside Keltner Channels, normal volatility conditions. The Squeeze indicator is widely used to anticipate explosive moves. When the squeeze releases, the direction of the breakout determines whether to go long or short.
5d Rolling Vol	Volatility	1.34	—	5-day rolling volatility is 1.34%. Normal (1-2%) — typical daily fluctuation. This was the 5th most important ML feature for predicting NEPSE returns.
Mass Index	Volatility	27.65	—	Mass Index is 27.65. REVERSAL BULGE — value exceeded 27, which often precedes a trend reversal. Watch for the index to drop back below 26.5 to confirm.
Ulcer Index	Volatility	2.48	—	Ulcer Index is 2.48 (low drawdown stress). It measures downside volatility by tracking the depth and duration of drawdowns from recent highs. Lower is better — values below 5 indicate a smooth uptrend, above 10 suggests painful drawdowns.
Donchian (20)	Volatility	1363.20	Neutral	Price is at 65.5% of the 20-day Donchian Channel (Upper: 1363.20, Lower: 1180.20). Mid-channel — no extreme position. Donchian channels show the highest high and lowest low over 20 days.
MFI (14)	Volume	75.63	Neutral	MFI is 75.6. Normal range. Money Flow Index combines price and volume to measure buying/selling pressure. Unlike RSI which only uses price, MFI factors in volume for stronger signals.
CMF (20)	Volume	0.15	Buy	CMF is 0.1493. Positive — money is flowing INTO the stock ({strength} accumulation). Buyers are in control with volume backing them. CMF above +0.1 or below -0.1 is a strong signal. Near zero means balanced buying/selling.
OBV Trend	Volume	—	Buy	OBV is rising over the last 20 days. Rising OBV confirms price increases are backed by volume — the uptrend is healthy. OBV adds volume on up-days and subtracts on down-days. The direction matters more than the absolute number.
VWAP	Volume	1291.03	Buy	VWAP is NPR 1291.03. Price is NPR 8.97 above VWAP. Price above VWAP means the average buyer is in profit — bullish. Institutional traders often use VWAP as a benchmark.
Elder Force (13)	Volume	1068446.82	Buy	EFI is 1,068,447. Positive — buying force (price change x volume) exceeds selling force. Large positive values mean strong institutional buying. Elder Force Index combines price direction with volume to measure the force behind moves.