ICFCD88

Bond

9% ICFC Finance Limited Debenture 2088

Rs. 1170.00 -35.00 (-2.90%)

Open: 1170
High: 1170
Low: 1170
Prev close: 1205
Volume: --
Turnover: 29,250
52W high: 1216.00
52W low: 1083.90

52-week range1083.90 – 1216.00

NSA Score

Buy

Neutral

Sell

Trend · Bullish 73

Momentum · Slightly Bearish 44

Volume · Slightly Bullish 58

Volatility · Neutral 47

Fibonacci Retracement (60-day swing)

Swing High 1215.0 · Swing Low 1091.1

0	1215.0
0.236	1185.76
0.382	1167.67
0.5	1153.05
0.618	1138.43
0.786	1117.61
1.0	1091.1

Pivot Points

1170.0

Pivot Point

1170.0

Indicator	Category	Value	Signal	Why
EMA 13	Moving Averages	1148.04	Buy	Price is NPR 21.96 (1.91%) above EMA 13. 13-day Exponential MA. Optimal for NEPSE (30% CAGR in backtest). Reacts fast to price changes.
EMA 20	Moving Averages	1142.36	Buy	Price is NPR 27.64 (2.42%) above EMA 20. 20-day EMA. Standard short-term trend filter used by most traders.
EMA 50	Moving Averages	1139.26	Buy	Price is NPR 30.74 (2.7%) above EMA 50. 50-day EMA. Medium-term trend. A cross of EMA 13 above EMA 50 is a strong buy signal for NEPSE.
SMA 13	Moving Averages	1142.35	Buy	Price is NPR 27.65 (2.42%) above SMA 13. 13-day Simple MA. Research shows this period gives the best risk-adjusted return on NEPSE (Sharpe 1.71).
SMA 20	Moving Averages	1132.18	Buy	Price is NPR 37.83 (3.34%) above SMA 20. 20-day SMA. Also the mid-line of Bollinger Bands. Acts as dynamic support/resistance.
SMA 50	Moving Averages	1136.02	Buy	Price is NPR 33.98 (2.99%) above SMA 50. 50-day SMA. Institutional-level trend gauge. Widely watched by NEPSE fund managers.
SMA 200	Moving Averages	—	—	Not enough data to compute. 200-day SMA. The dividing line between bull and bear markets. Price above = long-term bullish.
MACD (12,26,9)	Trend	6.73	Buy	MACD line (9.12) is above Signal (2.39). Histogram: 6.73 (expanding). Bullish momentum is building — MACD crossing above signal is a buy trigger. Note: Standard 12-26-9 parameters tend to underperform buy-and-hold on NEPSE. Check the optimized MACD below.
MACD (34,72,3)	Trend	1.23	Buy	MACD(-1.39) vs Signal(-2.62), Histogram: 1.23. Bullish — momentum favors buyers. These parameters (34,72,3) were validated on frontier markets like Dubai (85% hit ratio) and are better suited for NEPSE's slower cycles than standard MACD.
SuperTrend (7,3)	Trend	1089.14	Buy	SuperTrend line is at NPR 1089.14 (support). Price is NPR 80.86 above the line. Uptrend confirmed — the line acts as trailing support. A break below would flip to Sell. SuperTrend works well in trending NEPSE markets driven by herd behavior.
Parabolic SAR	Trend	1105.53	Buy	SAR dot is below price at NPR 1105.53 (bullish). Acts as a trailing stop — if price drops below 1105.53, the trend flips bearish. Good for setting stop-loss levels.
ADX (14)	Trend	15.66	Buy	ADX is 15.7 (Weak/absent trend). +DI=44.2, -DI=17.7. Bulls dominate — +DI is above -DI. The trend is weak — range-bound strategies may work better than trend-following.
Ichimoku Cloud	Trend	1162.20	Buy	Tenkan=1162.20, Kijun=1148.05 (bullish cross). Price is above the cloud (bullish). All signals align bullish — Tenkan above Kijun and price above cloud is the strongest Ichimoku buy signal.
Aroon (25)	Trend	72.00	Buy	Aroon Up=96, Down=24. Strong uptrend — the stock recently hit a new 25-day high and hasn't made a new low recently. Momentum clearly favors buyers.
DPO (20)	Trend	-12.18	Sell	DPO is -12.18. Negative — price is below its detrended average, suggesting a cyclical downturn. DPO removes long-term trend to show underlying cycles. Useful for timing entries within an existing trend.
RSI (14)	Momentum	56.78	Neutral	RSI is 56.8 — neutral zone. Standard zones are 70/30 but NEPSE research shows 60/40 zones work better due to strong momentum/herd behavior in Nepal's market. No extreme reading — RSI is not giving a strong signal on its own. Use with other indicators. RSI was the 2nd most important feature in ML models predicting NEPSE (arXiv 2026).
Stochastic (14,3,3)	Momentum	81.74	Sell	%K=81.7, %D=82.6. Overbought — price is near the top of its 14-day range. A %K crossing below %D here would be a strong sell signal.
Stochastic RSI	Momentum	74.74	Neutral	StochRSI %K=74.7, %D=73.9. Mid-range — no extreme signal. StochRSI is a momentum indicator of RSI itself, making it more responsive than plain RSI.
CCI (20)	Momentum	169.43	Sell	CCI is 169.4 (overbought). Above +100 means price is well above its statistical average — potential topping. CCI measures how far price has deviated from its mean. Works well for identifying cyclical stocks in NEPSE.
Williams %R (14)	Momentum	-40.23	Neutral	Williams %R is -40.2. Mid-range — no extreme reading. Ranges from 0 to -100 where -50 is the midpoint.
ROC (12)	Momentum	4.37	Buy	ROC is 4.37%. Price has gained 4.37% over the last 12 days. Positive momentum — buyers have been in control recently.
TRIX (15)	Momentum	0.02	Buy	TRIX is 0.0230. Positive — triple-smoothed momentum confirms uptrend. TRIX filters out minor price fluctuations by applying three rounds of smoothing. Good for confirming the major trend direction and filtering noise in NEPSE's often-volatile daily movements.
Awesome Oscillator	Momentum	18.31	Buy	AO is 18.31. Positive — short-term momentum (5-bar) exceeds long-term (34-bar), indicating bullish pressure. Watch for zero-line crossovers — crossing above zero is a buy, below is a sell. Twin peaks divergence is also a strong signal.
Ultimate Osc (7,14,28)	Momentum	65.88	Neutral	UO is 65.9. Mid-range. The Ultimate Oscillator blends 7, 14, and 28-day periods to reduce false signals that plague single-period oscillators.
PPO (12,26)	Momentum	1.00	Buy	PPO is 1.00%, Histogram: 0.78. Positive — 12-day EMA is above 26-day EMA in percentage terms, confirming upward momentum. PPO is like MACD but expressed as a percentage, making it easier to compare across different price levels.
Coppock Curve	Momentum	7.00	Buy	Coppock is 7.00. Positive — originally designed to identify long-term buying opportunities. A turn from negative to positive is historically one of the most reliable buy signals. This indicator was designed for monthly charts but works on daily data too. Best for identifying major trend changes in NEPSE.
10d Rolling Mean	Momentum	1148.05	Buy	10-day rolling mean is NPR 1148.05. Price is NPR 21.95 above. This was the #1 most predictive feature in XGBoost ML models for NEPSE (arXiv 2026). Price above the 10-day mean suggests short-term bullish momentum.
ATR (14)	Volatility	23.08	—	ATR is NPR 23.08 (1.97% of price). This means the stock typically moves NPR 23.08 per day. Moderate volatility — normal trading conditions. Use ATR to set stop-losses: a common approach is 2x ATR (NPR 46.16) below entry.
Bollinger %B	Volatility	0.89	Sell	BB %B is 0.89 — price is in the upper 20% of the bands. Approaching overbought. Bandwidth: 8.65%.
BB/KC Squeeze	Volatility		—	No squeeze — Bollinger Bands are outside Keltner Channels, normal volatility conditions. The Squeeze indicator is widely used to anticipate explosive moves. When the squeeze releases, the direction of the breakout determines whether to go long or short.
5d Rolling Vol	Volatility	2.81	—	5-day rolling volatility is 2.81%. Elevated (>2%) — above-normal swings. Be cautious with position sizes. This was the 5th most important ML feature for predicting NEPSE returns.
Mass Index	Volatility	24.85	—	Mass Index is 24.85. Below 27 — no reversal bulge detected. Mass Index identifies trend reversals by measuring the range between high and low prices.
Ulcer Index	Volatility	2.71	—	Ulcer Index is 2.71 (low drawdown stress). It measures downside volatility by tracking the depth and duration of drawdowns from recent highs. Lower is better — values below 5 indicate a smooth uptrend, above 10 suggests painful drawdowns.
Donchian (20)	Volatility	1205.00	Neutral	Price is at 69.3% of the 20-day Donchian Channel (Upper: 1205.00, Lower: 1091.10). Mid-channel — no extreme position. Donchian channels show the highest high and lowest low over 20 days.
MFI (14)	Volume	77.27	Neutral	MFI is 77.3. Normal range. Money Flow Index combines price and volume to measure buying/selling pressure. Unlike RSI which only uses price, MFI factors in volume for stronger signals.
CMF (20)	Volume	0.37	Buy	CMF is 0.3669. Positive — money is flowing INTO the stock ({strength} accumulation). Buyers are in control with volume backing them. CMF above +0.1 or below -0.1 is a strong signal. Near zero means balanced buying/selling.
OBV Trend	Volume	—	Buy	OBV is rising over the last 20 days. Rising OBV confirms price increases are backed by volume — the uptrend is healthy. OBV adds volume on up-days and subtracts on down-days. The direction matters more than the absolute number.
VWAP	Volume	1170.00	Sell	VWAP is NPR 1170.00. Price is NPR 0.0 below VWAP. Price below VWAP means the average buyer is at a loss — bearish. VWAP acts as resistance.
Elder Force (13)	Volume	5155.44	Buy	EFI is 5,155. Positive — buying force (price change x volume) exceeds selling force. Large positive values mean strong institutional buying. Elder Force Index combines price direction with volume to measure the force behind moves.