ICFCD89

Bond

8% ICFC Finance Limited Debenture 2089

Rs. 1125.00 +4.91 (+0.44%)

Open: 1113.09
High: 1125
Low: 1113.09
Prev close: 1120.09
Volume: --
Turnover: 55,953
52W high: 1144.00
52W low: 1000.00

52-week range1000.00 – 1144.00

NSA Score

Buy

Neutral

Sell

Trend · Bullish 74

Momentum · Neutral 46

Volume · Slightly Bullish 63

Volatility · Neutral 54

Fibonacci Retracement (60-day swing)

Swing High 1144.0 · Swing Low 1064.2

0	1144.0
0.236	1125.17
0.382	1113.52
0.5	1104.1
0.618	1094.68
0.786	1081.28
1.0	1064.2

Pivot Points

1140.87

1132.93

1128.97

1117.07

1109.13

1105.17

Pivot Point

1121.03

Indicator	Category	Value	Signal	Why
EMA 13	Moving Averages	1111.54	Buy	Price is NPR 13.46 (1.21%) above EMA 13. 13-day Exponential MA. Optimal for NEPSE (30% CAGR in backtest). Reacts fast to price changes.
EMA 20	Moving Averages	1107.03	Buy	Price is NPR 17.97 (1.62%) above EMA 20. 20-day EMA. Standard short-term trend filter used by most traders.
EMA 50	Moving Averages	1100.40	Buy	Price is NPR 24.6 (2.24%) above EMA 50. 50-day EMA. Medium-term trend. A cross of EMA 13 above EMA 50 is a strong buy signal for NEPSE.
SMA 13	Moving Averages	1106.79	Buy	Price is NPR 18.21 (1.65%) above SMA 13. 13-day Simple MA. Research shows this period gives the best risk-adjusted return on NEPSE (Sharpe 1.71).
SMA 20	Moving Averages	1102.77	Buy	Price is NPR 22.23 (2.02%) above SMA 20. 20-day SMA. Also the mid-line of Bollinger Bands. Acts as dynamic support/resistance.
SMA 50	Moving Averages	1096.54	Buy	Price is NPR 28.46 (2.6%) above SMA 50. 50-day SMA. Institutional-level trend gauge. Widely watched by NEPSE fund managers.
SMA 200	Moving Averages	—	—	Not enough data to compute. 200-day SMA. The dividing line between bull and bear markets. Price above = long-term bullish.
MACD (12,26,9)	Trend	3.19	Buy	MACD line (7.76) is above Signal (4.56). Histogram: 3.19 (expanding). Bullish momentum is building — MACD crossing above signal is a buy trigger. Note: Standard 12-26-9 parameters tend to underperform buy-and-hold on NEPSE. Check the optimized MACD below.
MACD (34,72,3)	Trend	0.62	Buy	MACD(4.50) vs Signal(3.88), Histogram: 0.62. Bullish — momentum favors buyers. These parameters (34,72,3) were validated on frontier markets like Dubai (85% hit ratio) and are better suited for NEPSE's slower cycles than standard MACD.
SuperTrend (7,3)	Trend	1076.97	Buy	SuperTrend line is at NPR 1076.97 (support). Price is NPR 48.03 above the line. Uptrend confirmed — the line acts as trailing support. A break below would flip to Sell. SuperTrend works well in trending NEPSE markets driven by herd behavior.
Parabolic SAR	Trend	1082.14	Buy	SAR dot is below price at NPR 1082.14 (bullish). Acts as a trailing stop — if price drops below 1082.14, the trend flips bearish. Good for setting stop-loss levels.
ADX (14)	Trend	29.06	Buy	ADX is 29.1 (Strong trend). +DI=35.4, -DI=11.0. Bulls dominate — +DI is above -DI. The trend is strong enough to trade with confidence.
Ichimoku Cloud	Trend	1116.35	Buy	Tenkan=1116.35, Kijun=1104.90 (bullish cross). Price is above the cloud (bullish). All signals align bullish — Tenkan above Kijun and price above cloud is the strongest Ichimoku buy signal.
Aroon (25)	Trend	68.00	Buy	Aroon Up=92, Down=24. Strong uptrend — the stock recently hit a new 25-day high and hasn't made a new low recently. Momentum clearly favors buyers.
DPO (20)	Trend	-9.77	Sell	DPO is -9.77. Negative — price is below its detrended average, suggesting a cyclical downturn. DPO removes long-term trend to show underlying cycles. Useful for timing entries within an existing trend.
RSI (14)	Momentum	59.33	Neutral	RSI is 59.3 — neutral zone. Standard zones are 70/30 but NEPSE research shows 60/40 zones work better due to strong momentum/herd behavior in Nepal's market. No extreme reading — RSI is not giving a strong signal on its own. Use with other indicators. RSI was the 2nd most important feature in ML models predicting NEPSE (arXiv 2026).
Stochastic (14,3,3)	Momentum	76.78	Buy	%K=76.8, %D=74.9. Bullish — %K is above %D, suggesting upward momentum. Stochastic compares closing price to its range over 14 days.
Stochastic RSI	Momentum	69.64	Neutral	StochRSI %K=69.6, %D=83.6. Mid-range — no extreme signal. StochRSI is a momentum indicator of RSI itself, making it more responsive than plain RSI.
CCI (20)	Momentum	125.19	Sell	CCI is 125.2 (overbought). Above +100 means price is well above its statistical average — potential topping. CCI measures how far price has deviated from its mean. Works well for identifying cyclical stocks in NEPSE.
Williams %R (14)	Momentum	-28.22	Neutral	Williams %R is -28.2. Mid-range — no extreme reading. Ranges from 0 to -100 where -50 is the midpoint.
ROC (12)	Momentum	3.20	Buy	ROC is 3.20%. Price has gained 3.20% over the last 12 days. Positive momentum — buyers have been in control recently.
TRIX (15)	Momentum	0.06	Buy	TRIX is 0.0577. Positive — triple-smoothed momentum confirms uptrend. TRIX filters out minor price fluctuations by applying three rounds of smoothing. Good for confirming the major trend direction and filtering noise in NEPSE's often-volatile daily movements.
Awesome Oscillator	Momentum	20.60	Buy	AO is 20.60. Positive — short-term momentum (5-bar) exceeds long-term (34-bar), indicating bullish pressure. Watch for zero-line crossovers — crossing above zero is a buy, below is a sell. Twin peaks divergence is also a strong signal.
Ultimate Osc (7,14,28)	Momentum	59.71	Neutral	UO is 59.7. Mid-range. The Ultimate Oscillator blends 7, 14, and 28-day periods to reduce false signals that plague single-period oscillators.
PPO (12,26)	Momentum	0.66	Buy	PPO is 0.66%, Histogram: 0.26. Positive — 12-day EMA is above 26-day EMA in percentage terms, confirming upward momentum. PPO is like MACD but expressed as a percentage, making it easier to compare across different price levels.
Coppock Curve	Momentum	4.20	Buy	Coppock is 4.20. Positive — originally designed to identify long-term buying opportunities. A turn from negative to positive is historically one of the most reliable buy signals. This indicator was designed for monthly charts but works on daily data too. Best for identifying major trend changes in NEPSE.
10d Rolling Mean	Momentum	1111.92	Buy	10-day rolling mean is NPR 1111.92. Price is NPR 13.08 above. This was the #1 most predictive feature in XGBoost ML models for NEPSE (arXiv 2026). Price above the 10-day mean suggests short-term bullish momentum.
ATR (14)	Volatility	16.01	—	ATR is NPR 16.01 (1.42% of price). This means the stock typically moves NPR 16.01 per day. Low volatility (<1.5%) — calm market, tighter stop-losses work. Use ATR to set stop-losses: a common approach is 2x ATR (NPR 32.02) below entry.
Bollinger %B	Volatility	0.90	Sell	BB %B is 0.90 — price is in the upper 20% of the bands. Approaching overbought. Bandwidth: 4.98%.
BB/KC Squeeze	Volatility		—	SQUEEZE ACTIVE — Bollinger Bands are inside Keltner Channels. This means volatility is very low and a big move is coming. Prepare for a breakout. The Squeeze indicator is widely used to anticipate explosive moves. When the squeeze releases, the direction of the breakout determines whether to go long or short.
5d Rolling Vol	Volatility	1.56	—	5-day rolling volatility is 1.56%. Normal (1-2%) — typical daily fluctuation. This was the 5th most important ML feature for predicting NEPSE returns.
Mass Index	Volatility	25.94	—	Mass Index is 25.94. Below 27 — no reversal bulge detected. Mass Index identifies trend reversals by measuring the range between high and low prices.
Ulcer Index	Volatility	1.12	—	Ulcer Index is 1.11 (low drawdown stress). It measures downside volatility by tracking the depth and duration of drawdowns from recent highs. Lower is better — values below 5 indicate a smooth uptrend, above 10 suggests painful drawdowns.
Donchian (20)	Volatility	1144.00	Neutral	Price is at 75.7% of the 20-day Donchian Channel (Upper: 1144.00, Lower: 1065.80). Mid-channel — no extreme position. Donchian channels show the highest high and lowest low over 20 days.
MFI (14)	Volume	85.97	Sell	MFI is 86.0. Overbought — heavy buying volume has driven the indicator above 80. Smart money may start selling. MFI is like RSI but weighted by volume, making it more reliable for confirming price moves.
CMF (20)	Volume	0.42	Buy	CMF is 0.4220. Positive — money is flowing INTO the stock ({strength} accumulation). Buyers are in control with volume backing them. CMF above +0.1 or below -0.1 is a strong signal. Near zero means balanced buying/selling.
OBV Trend	Volume	—	Buy	OBV is rising over the last 20 days. Rising OBV confirms price increases are backed by volume — the uptrend is healthy. OBV adds volume on up-days and subtracts on down-days. The direction matters more than the absolute number.
VWAP	Volume	1121.03	Buy	VWAP is NPR 1121.03. Price is NPR 3.97 above VWAP. Price above VWAP means the average buyer is in profit — bullish. Institutional traders often use VWAP as a benchmark.
Elder Force (13)	Volume	5691.83	Buy	EFI is 5,692. Positive — buying force (price change x volume) exceeds selling force. Large positive values mean strong institutional buying. Elder Force Index combines price direction with volume to measure the force behind moves.