KBSH

HydroPower

Kutheli Bukhari Small Hydropower Limited

Rs. 970.00 +45.40 (+4.91%)

Open: 950
High: 994
Low: 950
Prev close: 924.6
Volume: 55,755
Turnover: 54,407,802
52W high: 1768.00
52W low: 758.10

52-week range758.10 – 1768.00

NSA Score

Neutral

Buy

Neutral

Sell

Trend · Slightly Bullish 67

Momentum · Slightly Bearish 37

Volume · Slightly Bullish 68

Volatility · Slightly Bearish 34

Fibonacci Retracement (60-day swing)

Swing High 1300.0 · Swing Low 758.1

0	1300.0
0.236	1172.11
0.382	1092.99
0.5	1029.05
0.618	965.11
0.786	874.07
1.0	758.1

Pivot Points

1036.67

1015.33

992.67

948.67

927.33

904.67

Pivot Point

971.33

Indicator	Category	Value	Signal	Why
EMA 13	Moving Averages	848.79	Buy	Price is NPR 121.21 (14.28%) above EMA 13. 13-day Exponential MA. Optimal for NEPSE (30% CAGR in backtest). Reacts fast to price changes.
EMA 20	Moving Averages	847.32	Buy	Price is NPR 122.68 (14.48%) above EMA 20. 20-day EMA. Standard short-term trend filter used by most traders.
EMA 50	Moving Averages	927.35	Buy	Price is NPR 42.65 (4.6%) above EMA 50. 50-day EMA. Medium-term trend. A cross of EMA 13 above EMA 50 is a strong buy signal for NEPSE.
SMA 13	Moving Averages	829.75	Buy	Price is NPR 140.25 (16.9%) above SMA 13. 13-day Simple MA. Research shows this period gives the best risk-adjusted return on NEPSE (Sharpe 1.71).
SMA 20	Moving Averages	830.33	Buy	Price is NPR 139.67 (16.82%) above SMA 20. 20-day SMA. Also the mid-line of Bollinger Bands. Acts as dynamic support/resistance.
SMA 50	Moving Averages	882.02	Buy	Price is NPR 87.98 (9.97%) above SMA 50. 50-day SMA. Institutional-level trend gauge. Widely watched by NEPSE fund managers.
SMA 200	Moving Averages	1402.51	Sell	Price is NPR 432.51 (30.84%) below SMA 200. 200-day SMA. The dividing line between bull and bear markets. Price above = long-term bullish. Being below 200 SMA is bearish — historically NEPSE struggles to rally when below this level.
MACD (12,26,9)	Trend	21.37	Buy	MACD line (-5.10) is above Signal (-26.47). Histogram: 21.37 (expanding). Bullish momentum is building — MACD crossing above signal is a buy trigger. Note: Standard 12-26-9 parameters tend to underperform buy-and-hold on NEPSE. Check the optimized MACD below.
MACD (34,72,3)	Trend	5.27	Buy	MACD(-129.61) vs Signal(-134.87), Histogram: 5.27. Bullish — momentum favors buyers. These parameters (34,72,3) were validated on frontier markets like Dubai (85% hit ratio) and are better suited for NEPSE's slower cycles than standard MACD.
SuperTrend (7,3)	Trend	845.76	Buy	SuperTrend line is at NPR 845.76 (support). Price is NPR 124.24 above the line. Uptrend confirmed — the line acts as trailing support. A break below would flip to Sell. SuperTrend works well in trending NEPSE markets driven by herd behavior.
Parabolic SAR	Trend	783.87	Buy	SAR dot is below price at NPR 783.87 (bullish). Acts as a trailing stop — if price drops below 783.87, the trend flips bearish. Good for setting stop-loss levels.
ADX (14)	Trend	16.87	Buy	ADX is 16.9 (Weak/absent trend). +DI=43.3, -DI=15.9. Bulls dominate — +DI is above -DI. The trend is weak — range-bound strategies may work better than trend-following.
Ichimoku Cloud	Trend	887.50	Neutral	Tenkan=887.50, Kijun=876.05 (bullish cross). Price is below the cloud (bearish). Mixed signals — wait for clearer direction.
Aroon (25)	Trend	72.00	Buy	Aroon Up=100, Down=28. Strong uptrend — the stock recently hit a new 25-day high and hasn't made a new low recently. Momentum clearly favors buyers.
DPO (20)	Trend	-11.73	Sell	DPO is -11.73. Negative — price is below its detrended average, suggesting a cyclical downturn. DPO removes long-term trend to show underlying cycles. Useful for timing entries within an existing trend.
RSI (14)	Momentum	69.58	Sell	RSI is 69.6 — overbought (NEPSE-adjusted zone). Standard zones are 70/30 but NEPSE research shows 60/40 zones work better due to strong momentum/herd behavior in Nepal's market. Price may be stretched — a pullback is likely. Consider taking profits. RSI was the 2nd most important feature in ML models predicting NEPSE (arXiv 2026).
Stochastic (14,3,3)	Momentum	71.93	Buy	%K=71.9, %D=46.8. Bullish — %K is above %D, suggesting upward momentum. Stochastic compares closing price to its range over 14 days.
Stochastic RSI	Momentum	85.31	Sell	StochRSI %K=85.3. Overbought — more sensitive than regular RSI. A drop below 80 would confirm a sell signal. This is RSI applied to itself, making it faster at catching turning points.
CCI (20)	Momentum	319.02	Sell	CCI is 319.0 (extreme overbought). Above +100 means price is well above its statistical average — potential topping. CCI measures how far price has deviated from its mean. Works well for identifying cyclical stocks in NEPSE.
Williams %R (14)	Momentum	-11.27	Sell	Williams %R is -11.3. Overbought zone (above -20). Price is near the top of its 14-day range. Often signals a short-term pullback is coming.
ROC (12)	Momentum	15.82	Buy	ROC is 15.82%. Price has gained 15.82% over the last 12 days. Positive momentum — buyers have been in control recently. Strong momentum (>5%) suggests trend acceleration.
TRIX (15)	Momentum	-0.42	Sell	TRIX is -0.4230. Negative — triple-smoothed momentum confirms downtrend. TRIX filters out minor price fluctuations by applying three rounds of smoothing. Good for confirming the major trend direction and filtering noise in NEPSE's often-volatile daily movements.
Awesome Oscillator	Momentum	-0.20	Sell	AO is -0.20. Negative — long-term momentum exceeds short-term, indicating bearish pressure. Watch for zero-line crossovers — crossing above zero is a buy, below is a sell. Twin peaks divergence is also a strong signal.
Ultimate Osc (7,14,28)	Momentum	71.86	Sell	UO is 71.9. Overbought (>70). Combines three timeframes (7, 14, 28 days) for a more reliable overbought reading than single-period oscillators.
PPO (12,26)	Momentum	0.43	Buy	PPO is 0.43%, Histogram: 1.85. Positive — 12-day EMA is above 26-day EMA in percentage terms, confirming upward momentum. PPO is like MACD but expressed as a percentage, making it easier to compare across different price levels.
Coppock Curve	Momentum	5.94	Buy	Coppock is 5.94. Positive — originally designed to identify long-term buying opportunities. A turn from negative to positive is historically one of the most reliable buy signals. This indicator was designed for monthly charts but works on daily data too. Best for identifying major trend changes in NEPSE.
10d Rolling Mean	Momentum	832.36	Buy	10-day rolling mean is NPR 832.36. Price is NPR 137.64 above. This was the #1 most predictive feature in XGBoost ML models for NEPSE (arXiv 2026). Price above the 10-day mean suggests short-term bullish momentum.
ATR (14)	Volatility	40.18	—	ATR is NPR 40.18 (4.14% of price). This means the stock typically moves NPR 40.18 per day. High volatility (>3%) — wider stop-losses needed, larger position risk. Use ATR to set stop-losses: a common approach is 2x ATR (NPR 80.35) below entry.
Bollinger %B	Volatility	1.30	Sell	BB %B is 1.30 — price has broken ABOVE the upper band. This is rare and usually means the stock is stretched. Bandwidth: 21.11%. A pullback toward the middle band is likely.
BB/KC Squeeze	Volatility		—	No squeeze — Bollinger Bands are outside Keltner Channels, normal volatility conditions. The Squeeze indicator is widely used to anticipate explosive moves. When the squeeze releases, the direction of the breakout determines whether to go long or short.
5d Rolling Vol	Volatility	6.63	—	5-day rolling volatility is 6.63%. Elevated (>2%) — above-normal swings. Be cautious with position sizes. This was the 5th most important ML feature for predicting NEPSE returns.
Mass Index	Volatility	22.64	—	Mass Index is 22.64. Below 27 — no reversal bulge detected. Mass Index identifies trend reversals by measuring the range between high and low prices.
Ulcer Index	Volatility	5.93	—	Ulcer Index is 5.93 (moderate drawdown stress). It measures downside volatility by tracking the depth and duration of drawdowns from recent highs. Lower is better — values below 5 indicate a smooth uptrend, above 10 suggests painful drawdowns.
Donchian (20)	Volatility	994.00	Sell	Price is at 89.8% of the 20-day Donchian Channel (Upper: 994.00, Lower: 758.10). Near the top of the channel — a breakout above could signal continuation, but also overbought risk.
MFI (14)	Volume	87.74	Sell	MFI is 87.7. Overbought — heavy buying volume has driven the indicator above 80. Smart money may start selling. MFI is like RSI but weighted by volume, making it more reliable for confirming price moves.
CMF (20)	Volume	0.20	Buy	CMF is 0.1978. Positive — money is flowing INTO the stock ({strength} accumulation). Buyers are in control with volume backing them. CMF above +0.1 or below -0.1 is a strong signal. Near zero means balanced buying/selling.
OBV Trend	Volume	—	Buy	OBV is rising over the last 20 days. Rising OBV confirms price increases are backed by volume — the uptrend is healthy. OBV adds volume on up-days and subtracts on down-days. The direction matters more than the absolute number.
VWAP	Volume	971.33	Sell	VWAP is NPR 971.33. Price is NPR 1.33 below VWAP. Price below VWAP means the average buyer is at a loss — bearish. VWAP acts as resistance.
Elder Force (13)	Volume	1205150.64	Buy	EFI is 1,205,151. Positive — buying force (price change x volume) exceeds selling force. Large positive values mean strong institutional buying. Elder Force Index combines price direction with volume to measure the force behind moves.