MFIL

Finance

Manjushree Financial Institution

Rs. 769.00 +22.50 (+3.01%)

Open: 783
High: 783
Low: 750
Prev close: 746.5
Volume: 95,898
Turnover: 72,772,795
52W high: 938.00
52W low: 545.00

52-week range545.00 – 938.00

NSA Score

Neutral

Buy

Neutral

Sell

Trend · Slightly Bullish 59

Momentum · Neutral 47

Volume · Slightly Bullish 57

Volatility · Neutral 49

Fibonacci Retracement (60-day swing)

Swing High 867.0 · Swing Low 700.0

0	867.0
0.236	827.59
0.382	803.21
0.5	783.5
0.618	763.79
0.786	735.74
1.0	700.0

Pivot Points

817.67

800.33

784.67

751.67

734.33

718.67

Pivot Point

767.33

Indicator	Category	Value	Signal	Why
EMA 13	Moving Averages	751.34	Buy	Price is NPR 17.66 (2.35%) above EMA 13. 13-day Exponential MA. Optimal for NEPSE (30% CAGR in backtest). Reacts fast to price changes.
EMA 20	Moving Averages	750.91	Buy	Price is NPR 18.09 (2.41%) above EMA 20. 20-day EMA. Standard short-term trend filter used by most traders.
EMA 50	Moving Averages	755.91	Buy	Price is NPR 13.09 (1.73%) above EMA 50. 50-day EMA. Medium-term trend. A cross of EMA 13 above EMA 50 is a strong buy signal for NEPSE.
SMA 13	Moving Averages	753.74	Buy	Price is NPR 15.26 (2.02%) above SMA 13. 13-day Simple MA. Research shows this period gives the best risk-adjusted return on NEPSE (Sharpe 1.71).
SMA 20	Moving Averages	752.23	Buy	Price is NPR 16.77 (2.23%) above SMA 20. 20-day SMA. Also the mid-line of Bollinger Bands. Acts as dynamic support/resistance.
SMA 50	Moving Averages	755.13	Buy	Price is NPR 13.87 (1.84%) above SMA 50. 50-day SMA. Institutional-level trend gauge. Widely watched by NEPSE fund managers.
SMA 200	Moving Averages	776.85	Sell	Price is NPR 7.85 (1.01%) below SMA 200. 200-day SMA. The dividing line between bull and bear markets. Price above = long-term bullish. Being below 200 SMA is bearish — historically NEPSE struggles to rally when below this level.
MACD (12,26,9)	Trend	0.90	Buy	MACD line (0.21) is above Signal (-0.69). Histogram: 0.90 (expanding). Bullish momentum is building — MACD crossing above signal is a buy trigger. Note: Standard 12-26-9 parameters tend to underperform buy-and-hold on NEPSE. Check the optimized MACD below.
MACD (34,72,3)	Trend	0.39	Buy	MACD(-7.38) vs Signal(-7.77), Histogram: 0.39. Bullish — momentum favors buyers. These parameters (34,72,3) were validated on frontier markets like Dubai (85% hit ratio) and are better suited for NEPSE's slower cycles than standard MACD.
SuperTrend (7,3)	Trend	786.54	Sell	SuperTrend line is at NPR 786.54 (resistance). Price is NPR 17.54 below the line. Downtrend active — the line acts as resistance overhead. A break above would flip to Buy. SuperTrend works well in trending NEPSE markets driven by herd behavior.
Parabolic SAR	Trend	744.25	Buy	SAR dot is below price at NPR 744.25 (bullish). Acts as a trailing stop — if price drops below 744.25, the trend flips bearish. Good for setting stop-loss levels.
ADX (14)	Trend	57.60	Buy	ADX is 57.6 (Very strong trend). +DI=30.1, -DI=5.8. Bulls dominate — +DI is above -DI. The trend is strong enough to trade with confidence.
Ichimoku Cloud	Trend	756.50	Neutral	Tenkan=756.50, Kijun=762.50 (bearish cross). Price is inside the cloud (indecisive). Mixed signals — wait for clearer direction.
Aroon (25)	Trend	44.00	Neutral	Aroon Up=44, Down=0. No clear trend. Aroon measures how recently the price hit a 25-day high (Up) or low (Down). Values above 70 confirm a trend.
DPO (20)	Trend	16.77	Buy	DPO is 16.77. Positive — price is above its 20-day detrended average, suggesting current cycle is in an upswing. DPO removes long-term trend to show underlying cycles. Useful for timing entries within an existing trend.
RSI (14)	Momentum	60.91	Sell	RSI is 60.9 — overbought (NEPSE-adjusted zone). Standard zones are 70/30 but NEPSE research shows 60/40 zones work better due to strong momentum/herd behavior in Nepal's market. Price may be stretched — a pullback is likely. Consider taking profits. RSI was the 2nd most important feature in ML models predicting NEPSE (arXiv 2026).
Stochastic (14,3,3)	Momentum	33.24	Buy	%K=33.2, %D=23.4. Bullish — %K is above %D, suggesting upward momentum. Stochastic compares closing price to its range over 14 days.
Stochastic RSI	Momentum	53.20	Neutral	StochRSI %K=53.2, %D=34.0. Mid-range — no extreme signal. StochRSI is a momentum indicator of RSI itself, making it more responsive than plain RSI.
CCI (20)	Momentum	82.69	Neutral	CCI is 82.7 (normal range). Between -100 and +100 is normal — no extreme deviation from average price. CCI measures how far price has deviated from its mean. Works well for identifying cyclical stocks in NEPSE.
Williams %R (14)	Momentum	-36.07	Neutral	Williams %R is -36.1. Mid-range — no extreme reading. Ranges from 0 to -100 where -50 is the midpoint.
ROC (12)	Momentum	0.52	Buy	ROC is 0.52%. Price has gained 0.52% over the last 12 days. Positive momentum — buyers have been in control recently.
TRIX (15)	Momentum	-0.01	Sell	TRIX is -0.0059. Negative — triple-smoothed momentum confirms downtrend. TRIX filters out minor price fluctuations by applying three rounds of smoothing. Good for confirming the major trend direction and filtering noise in NEPSE's often-volatile daily movements.
Awesome Oscillator	Momentum	1.49	Buy	AO is 1.49. Positive — short-term momentum (5-bar) exceeds long-term (34-bar), indicating bullish pressure. Watch for zero-line crossovers — crossing above zero is a buy, below is a sell. Twin peaks divergence is also a strong signal.
Ultimate Osc (7,14,28)	Momentum	56.03	Neutral	UO is 56.0. Mid-range. The Ultimate Oscillator blends 7, 14, and 28-day periods to reduce false signals that plague single-period oscillators.
PPO (12,26)	Momentum	0.89	Buy	PPO is 0.89%, Histogram: -0.21. Positive — 12-day EMA is above 26-day EMA in percentage terms, confirming upward momentum. PPO is like MACD but expressed as a percentage, making it easier to compare across different price levels.
Coppock Curve	Momentum	-0.62	Sell	Coppock is -0.62. Negative — long-term momentum is bearish. Wait for it to turn positive before considering long positions. This indicator was designed for monthly charts but works on daily data too. Best for identifying major trend changes in NEPSE.
10d Rolling Mean	Momentum	749.98	Buy	10-day rolling mean is NPR 749.98. Price is NPR 19.02 above. This was the #1 most predictive feature in XGBoost ML models for NEPSE (arXiv 2026). Price above the 10-day mean suggests short-term bullish momentum.
ATR (14)	Volatility	30.68	—	ATR is NPR 30.68 (3.99% of price). This means the stock typically moves NPR 30.68 per day. High volatility (>3%) — wider stop-losses needed, larger position risk. Use ATR to set stop-losses: a common approach is 2x ATR (NPR 61.36) below entry.
Bollinger %B	Volatility	0.85	Sell	BB %B is 0.85 — price is in the upper 20% of the bands. Approaching overbought. Bandwidth: 6.44%.
BB/KC Squeeze	Volatility		—	SQUEEZE ACTIVE — Bollinger Bands are inside Keltner Channels. This means volatility is very low and a big move is coming. Prepare for a breakout. The Squeeze indicator is widely used to anticipate explosive moves. When the squeeze releases, the direction of the breakout determines whether to go long or short.
5d Rolling Vol	Volatility	1.37	—	5-day rolling volatility is 1.37%. Normal (1-2%) — typical daily fluctuation. This was the 5th most important ML feature for predicting NEPSE returns.
Mass Index	Volatility	25.42	—	Mass Index is 25.42. Below 27 — no reversal bulge detected. Mass Index identifies trend reversals by measuring the range between high and low prices.
Ulcer Index	Volatility	2.31	—	Ulcer Index is 2.31 (low drawdown stress). It measures downside volatility by tracking the depth and duration of drawdowns from recent highs. Lower is better — values below 5 indicate a smooth uptrend, above 10 suggests painful drawdowns.
Donchian (20)	Volatility	820.00	Neutral	Price is at 51.4% of the 20-day Donchian Channel (Upper: 820.00, Lower: 715.00). Mid-channel — no extreme position. Donchian channels show the highest high and lowest low over 20 days.
MFI (14)	Volume	63.88	Neutral	MFI is 63.9. Normal range. Money Flow Index combines price and volume to measure buying/selling pressure. Unlike RSI which only uses price, MFI factors in volume for stronger signals.
CMF (20)	Volume	0.05	Buy	CMF is 0.0500. Positive — money is flowing INTO the stock ({strength} accumulation). Buyers are in control with volume backing them. CMF above +0.1 or below -0.1 is a strong signal. Near zero means balanced buying/selling.
OBV Trend	Volume	—	Buy	OBV is rising over the last 20 days. Rising OBV confirms price increases are backed by volume — the uptrend is healthy. OBV adds volume on up-days and subtracts on down-days. The direction matters more than the absolute number.
VWAP	Volume	767.33	Buy	VWAP is NPR 767.33. Price is NPR 1.67 above VWAP. Price above VWAP means the average buyer is in profit — bullish. Institutional traders often use VWAP as a benchmark.
Elder Force (13)	Volume	317024.32	Buy	EFI is 317,024. Positive — buying force (price change x volume) exceeds selling force. Large positive values mean strong institutional buying. Elder Force Index combines price direction with volume to measure the force behind moves.