MHCL

HydroPower

Molung Hydropower Company Limited

Rs. 274.10 +0.10 (+0.04%)

Open: 270
High: 279.89
Low: 270
Prev close: 274
Volume: 1,941
Turnover: 532,664
52W high: 445.00
52W low: 261.00

52-week range261.00 – 445.00

NSA Score

Sell

Buy

Neutral

Sell

Trend · Slightly Bearish 40

Momentum · Neutral 53

Volume · Slightly Bearish 43

Volatility · Neutral 45

Fibonacci Retracement (60-day swing)

Swing High 344.1 · Swing Low 261.0

0	344.1
0.236	324.49
0.382	312.36
0.5	302.55
0.618	292.74
0.786	278.78
1.0	261.0

Pivot Points

289.23

284.57

279.33

269.43

264.77

259.53

Pivot Point

274.67

Indicator	Category	Value	Signal	Why
EMA 13	Moving Averages	280.63	Sell	Price is NPR 6.53 (2.33%) below EMA 13. 13-day Exponential MA. Optimal for NEPSE (30% CAGR in backtest). Reacts fast to price changes.
EMA 20	Moving Averages	283.41	Sell	Price is NPR 9.31 (3.28%) below EMA 20. 20-day EMA. Standard short-term trend filter used by most traders.
EMA 50	Moving Averages	295.08	Sell	Price is NPR 20.98 (7.11%) below EMA 50. 50-day EMA. Medium-term trend. A cross of EMA 13 above EMA 50 is a strong buy signal for NEPSE.
SMA 13	Moving Averages	283.23	Sell	Price is NPR 9.13 (3.22%) below SMA 13. 13-day Simple MA. Research shows this period gives the best risk-adjusted return on NEPSE (Sharpe 1.71).
SMA 20	Moving Averages	285.09	Sell	Price is NPR 10.99 (3.85%) below SMA 20. 20-day SMA. Also the mid-line of Bollinger Bands. Acts as dynamic support/resistance.
SMA 50	Moving Averages	295.18	Sell	Price is NPR 21.08 (7.14%) below SMA 50. 50-day SMA. Institutional-level trend gauge. Widely watched by NEPSE fund managers.
SMA 200	Moving Averages	347.32	Sell	Price is NPR 73.22 (21.08%) below SMA 200. 200-day SMA. The dividing line between bull and bear markets. Price above = long-term bullish. Being below 200 SMA is bearish — historically NEPSE struggles to rally when below this level.
MACD (12,26,9)	Trend	-0.86	Sell	MACD line (-5.51) is below Signal (-4.64). Histogram: -0.86 (expanding). Bearish pressure — MACD below signal suggests selling momentum. Note: Standard 12-26-9 parameters tend to underperform buy-and-hold on NEPSE. Check the optimized MACD below.
MACD (34,72,3)	Trend	-0.08	Sell	MACD(-14.60) vs Signal(-14.52), Histogram: -0.08. Bearish — sellers in control. These parameters (34,72,3) were validated on frontier markets like Dubai (85% hit ratio) and are better suited for NEPSE's slower cycles than standard MACD.
SuperTrend (7,3)	Trend	297.61	Sell	SuperTrend line is at NPR 297.61 (resistance). Price is NPR 23.51 below the line. Downtrend active — the line acts as resistance overhead. A break above would flip to Buy. SuperTrend works well in trending NEPSE markets driven by herd behavior.
Parabolic SAR	Trend	281.96	Buy	SAR dot is below price at NPR 281.96 (bullish). Acts as a trailing stop — if price drops below 281.96, the trend flips bearish. Good for setting stop-loss levels.
ADX (14)	Trend	11.95	Buy	ADX is 12.0 (Weak/absent trend). +DI=21.0, -DI=18.5. Bulls dominate — +DI is above -DI. The trend is weak — range-bound strategies may work better than trend-following.
Ichimoku Cloud	Trend	280.55	Sell	Tenkan=280.55, Kijun=283.25 (bearish cross). Price is below the cloud (bearish). All signals align bearish — consider reducing positions.
Aroon (25)	Trend	52.00	Neutral	Aroon Up=52, Down=0. No clear trend. Aroon measures how recently the price hit a 25-day high (Up) or low (Down). Values above 70 confirm a trend.
DPO (20)	Trend	8.01	Buy	DPO is 8.01. Positive — price is above its 20-day detrended average, suggesting current cycle is in an upswing. DPO removes long-term trend to show underlying cycles. Useful for timing entries within an existing trend.
RSI (14)	Momentum	37.51	Buy	RSI is 37.5 — oversold (NEPSE-adjusted zone). Standard zones are 70/30 but NEPSE research shows 60/40 zones work better due to strong momentum/herd behavior in Nepal's market. Price may be undervalued — look for reversal confirmation before buying. RSI was the 2nd most important feature in ML models predicting NEPSE (arXiv 2026).
Stochastic (14,3,3)	Momentum	14.13	Buy	%K=14.1, %D=12.3. Oversold — price is near the bottom of its 14-day range. Watch for %K crossing above %D for a buy entry.
Stochastic RSI	Momentum	1.44	Buy	StochRSI %K=1.4. Oversold — momentum is deeply stretched to the downside. A rise above 20 would confirm a buy signal.
CCI (20)	Momentum	-89.37	Neutral	CCI is -89.4 (normal range). Between -100 and +100 is normal — no extreme deviation from average price. CCI measures how far price has deviated from its mean. Works well for identifying cyclical stocks in NEPSE.
Williams %R (14)	Momentum	-83.96	Buy	Williams %R is -84.0. Oversold zone (below -80). Price is near the bottom of its 14-day range. May bounce — but confirm with other indicators before buying.
ROC (12)	Momentum	-8.63	Sell	ROC is -8.63%. Price has lost 8.63% over the last 12 days. Negative momentum — selling pressure over the past 12 trading sessions. Strong momentum (>5%) suggests trend acceleration.
TRIX (15)	Momentum	-0.22	Sell	TRIX is -0.2153. Negative — triple-smoothed momentum confirms downtrend. TRIX filters out minor price fluctuations by applying three rounds of smoothing. Good for confirming the major trend direction and filtering noise in NEPSE's often-volatile daily movements.
Awesome Oscillator	Momentum	-10.45	Sell	AO is -10.45. Negative — long-term momentum exceeds short-term, indicating bearish pressure. Watch for zero-line crossovers — crossing above zero is a buy, below is a sell. Twin peaks divergence is also a strong signal.
Ultimate Osc (7,14,28)	Momentum	43.70	Neutral	UO is 43.7. Mid-range. The Ultimate Oscillator blends 7, 14, and 28-day periods to reduce false signals that plague single-period oscillators.
PPO (12,26)	Momentum	-0.77	Sell	PPO is -0.77%, Histogram: -0.81. Negative — short-term EMA is below long-term, indicating downward pressure. PPO is like MACD but expressed as a percentage, making it easier to compare across different price levels.
Coppock Curve	Momentum	-8.69	Sell	Coppock is -8.69. Negative — long-term momentum is bearish. Wait for it to turn positive before considering long positions. This indicator was designed for monthly charts but works on daily data too. Best for identifying major trend changes in NEPSE.
10d Rolling Mean	Momentum	279.29	Sell	10-day rolling mean is NPR 279.29. Price is NPR 5.19 below. This was the #1 most predictive feature in XGBoost ML models for NEPSE (arXiv 2026). Price below the 10-day mean suggests short-term bearish momentum.
ATR (14)	Volatility	9.39	—	ATR is NPR 9.39 (3.43% of price). This means the stock typically moves NPR 9.39 per day. High volatility (>3%) — wider stop-losses needed, larger position risk. Use ATR to set stop-losses: a common approach is 2x ATR (NPR 18.78) below entry.
Bollinger %B	Volatility	0.19	Buy	BB %B is 0.18 — price is in the lower 20% of the bands. Approaching oversold. Bandwidth: 12.24%.
BB/KC Squeeze	Volatility		—	No squeeze — Bollinger Bands are outside Keltner Channels, normal volatility conditions. The Squeeze indicator is widely used to anticipate explosive moves. When the squeeze releases, the direction of the breakout determines whether to go long or short.
5d Rolling Vol	Volatility	1.04	—	5-day rolling volatility is 1.04%. Normal (1-2%) — typical daily fluctuation. This was the 5th most important ML feature for predicting NEPSE returns.
Mass Index	Volatility	24.54	—	Mass Index is 24.54. Below 27 — no reversal bulge detected. Mass Index identifies trend reversals by measuring the range between high and low prices.
Ulcer Index	Volatility	6.02	—	Ulcer Index is 6.02 (moderate drawdown stress). It measures downside volatility by tracking the depth and duration of drawdowns from recent highs. Lower is better — values below 5 indicate a smooth uptrend, above 10 suggests painful drawdowns.
Donchian (20)	Volatility	305.50	Buy	Price is at 16.0% of the 20-day Donchian Channel (Upper: 305.50, Lower: 268.10). Near the bottom — potential support area. A break below could signal a new downtrend.
MFI (14)	Volume	31.67	Neutral	MFI is 31.7. Normal range. Money Flow Index combines price and volume to measure buying/selling pressure. Unlike RSI which only uses price, MFI factors in volume for stronger signals.
CMF (20)	Volume	-0.10	Sell	CMF is -0.1031. Negative — money is flowing OUT of the stock ({strength} distribution). Sellers dominate with volume support. CMF above +0.1 or below -0.1 is a strong signal. Near zero means balanced buying/selling.
OBV Trend	Volume	—	Sell	OBV is falling over the last 20 days. Falling OBV suggests volume is declining or moving to sellers — bearish divergence if price is still rising. OBV adds volume on up-days and subtracts on down-days. The direction matters more than the absolute number.
VWAP	Volume	274.67	Sell	VWAP is NPR 274.67. Price is NPR 0.57 below VWAP. Price below VWAP means the average buyer is at a loss — bearish. VWAP acts as resistance.
Elder Force (13)	Volume	-6991.55	Sell	EFI is -6,992. Negative — selling force exceeds buying force. Large negative values indicate aggressive selling. Elder Force Index combines price direction with volume to measure the force behind moves.