NBLD87

Bond

8.5% Nepal Bank Debenture 2087

Rs. 1120.00 +25.00 (+2.28%)

Open: 1120
High: 1120
Low: 1120
Prev close: 1095
Volume: --
Turnover: 28,000
52W high: 1225.00
52W low: 1060.00

52-week range1060.00 – 1225.00

NSA Score

Sell

Buy

Neutral

Sell

Trend · Slightly Bullish 62

Momentum · Slightly Bearish 36

Volume · Slightly Bearish 40

Volatility · Slightly Bearish 41

Fibonacci Retracement (60-day swing)

Swing High 1225.0 · Swing Low 1060.0

0	1225.0
0.236	1186.06
0.382	1161.97
0.5	1142.5
0.618	1123.03
0.786	1095.31
1.0	1060.0

Pivot Points

1120.0

Pivot Point

1120.0

Indicator	Category	Value	Signal	Why
EMA 13	Moving Averages	1092.52	Buy	Price is NPR 27.48 (2.52%) above EMA 13. 13-day Exponential MA. Optimal for NEPSE (30% CAGR in backtest). Reacts fast to price changes.
EMA 20	Moving Averages	1092.25	Buy	Price is NPR 27.75 (2.54%) above EMA 20. 20-day EMA. Standard short-term trend filter used by most traders.
EMA 50	Moving Averages	1096.35	Buy	Price is NPR 23.65 (2.16%) above EMA 50. 50-day EMA. Medium-term trend. A cross of EMA 13 above EMA 50 is a strong buy signal for NEPSE.
SMA 13	Moving Averages	1084.97	Buy	Price is NPR 35.03 (3.23%) above SMA 13. 13-day Simple MA. Research shows this period gives the best risk-adjusted return on NEPSE (Sharpe 1.71).
SMA 20	Moving Averages	1084.49	Buy	Price is NPR 35.52 (3.28%) above SMA 20. 20-day SMA. Also the mid-line of Bollinger Bands. Acts as dynamic support/resistance.
SMA 50	Moving Averages	1100.13	Buy	Price is NPR 19.87 (1.81%) above SMA 50. 50-day SMA. Institutional-level trend gauge. Widely watched by NEPSE fund managers.
SMA 200	Moving Averages	—	—	Not enough data to compute. 200-day SMA. The dividing line between bull and bear markets. Price above = long-term bullish.
MACD (12,26,9)	Trend	4.63	Buy	MACD line (-0.17) is above Signal (-4.80). Histogram: 4.63 (expanding). Bullish momentum is building — MACD crossing above signal is a buy trigger. Note: Standard 12-26-9 parameters tend to underperform buy-and-hold on NEPSE. Check the optimized MACD below.
MACD (34,72,3)	Trend	0.64	Buy	MACD(-4.94) vs Signal(-5.58), Histogram: 0.64. Bullish — momentum favors buyers. These parameters (34,72,3) were validated on frontier markets like Dubai (85% hit ratio) and are better suited for NEPSE's slower cycles than standard MACD.
SuperTrend (7,3)	Trend	1070.31	Buy	SuperTrend line is at NPR 1070.31 (support). Price is NPR 49.69 above the line. Uptrend confirmed — the line acts as trailing support. A break below would flip to Sell. SuperTrend works well in trending NEPSE markets driven by herd behavior.
Parabolic SAR	Trend	1096.77	Buy	SAR dot is below price at NPR 1096.77 (bullish). Acts as a trailing stop — if price drops below 1096.77, the trend flips bearish. Good for setting stop-loss levels.
ADX (14)	Trend	16.23	Buy	ADX is 16.2 (Weak/absent trend). +DI=48.9, -DI=25.5. Bulls dominate — +DI is above -DI. The trend is weak — range-bound strategies may work better than trend-following.
Ichimoku Cloud	Trend	1090.00	Neutral	Tenkan=1090.00, Kijun=1142.50 (bearish cross). Price is above the cloud (bullish). Mixed signals — wait for clearer direction.
Aroon (25)	Trend	-64.00	Sell	Aroon Up=16, Down=80. Strong downtrend — recent new lows with no new highs. Selling pressure dominates.
DPO (20)	Trend	-4.49	Sell	DPO is -4.49. Negative — price is below its detrended average, suggesting a cyclical downturn. DPO removes long-term trend to show underlying cycles. Useful for timing entries within an existing trend.
RSI (14)	Momentum	56.24	Neutral	RSI is 56.2 — neutral zone. Standard zones are 70/30 but NEPSE research shows 60/40 zones work better due to strong momentum/herd behavior in Nepal's market. No extreme reading — RSI is not giving a strong signal on its own. Use with other indicators. RSI was the 2nd most important feature in ML models predicting NEPSE (arXiv 2026).
Stochastic (14,3,3)	Momentum	81.23	Sell	%K=81.2, %D=84.9. Overbought — price is near the top of its 14-day range. A %K crossing below %D here would be a strong sell signal.
Stochastic RSI	Momentum	80.65	Sell	StochRSI %K=80.6. Overbought — more sensitive than regular RSI. A drop below 80 would confirm a sell signal. This is RSI applied to itself, making it faster at catching turning points.
CCI (20)	Momentum	196.86	Sell	CCI is 196.9 (overbought). Above +100 means price is well above its statistical average — potential topping. CCI measures how far price has deviated from its mean. Works well for identifying cyclical stocks in NEPSE.
Williams %R (14)	Momentum	0.00	Sell	Williams %R is 0.0. Overbought zone (above -20). Price is near the top of its 14-day range. Often signals a short-term pullback is coming.
ROC (12)	Momentum	3.70	Buy	ROC is 3.70%. Price has gained 3.70% over the last 12 days. Positive momentum — buyers have been in control recently.
TRIX (15)	Momentum	-0.07	Sell	TRIX is -0.0724. Negative — triple-smoothed momentum confirms downtrend. TRIX filters out minor price fluctuations by applying three rounds of smoothing. Good for confirming the major trend direction and filtering noise in NEPSE's often-volatile daily movements.
Awesome Oscillator	Momentum	6.12	Buy	AO is 6.12. Positive — short-term momentum (5-bar) exceeds long-term (34-bar), indicating bullish pressure. Watch for zero-line crossovers — crossing above zero is a buy, below is a sell. Twin peaks divergence is also a strong signal.
Ultimate Osc (7,14,28)	Momentum	67.24	Neutral	UO is 67.2. Mid-range. The Ultimate Oscillator blends 7, 14, and 28-day periods to reduce false signals that plague single-period oscillators.
PPO (12,26)	Momentum	-0.92	Sell	PPO is -0.92%, Histogram: 0.23. Negative — short-term EMA is below long-term, indicating downward pressure. PPO is like MACD but expressed as a percentage, making it easier to compare across different price levels.
Coppock Curve	Momentum	0.95	Buy	Coppock is 0.95. Positive — originally designed to identify long-term buying opportunities. A turn from negative to positive is historically one of the most reliable buy signals. This indicator was designed for monthly charts but works on daily data too. Best for identifying major trend changes in NEPSE.
10d Rolling Mean	Momentum	1086.46	Buy	10-day rolling mean is NPR 1086.46. Price is NPR 33.54 above. This was the #1 most predictive feature in XGBoost ML models for NEPSE (arXiv 2026). Price above the 10-day mean suggests short-term bullish momentum.
ATR (14)	Volatility	18.87	—	ATR is NPR 18.87 (1.68% of price). This means the stock typically moves NPR 18.87 per day. Moderate volatility — normal trading conditions. Use ATR to set stop-losses: a common approach is 2x ATR (NPR 37.74) below entry.
Bollinger %B	Volatility	1.05	Sell	BB %B is 1.05 — price has broken ABOVE the upper band. This is rare and usually means the stock is stretched. Bandwidth: 5.92%. A pullback toward the middle band is likely.
BB/KC Squeeze	Volatility		—	No squeeze — Bollinger Bands are outside Keltner Channels, normal volatility conditions. The Squeeze indicator is widely used to anticipate explosive moves. When the squeeze releases, the direction of the breakout determines whether to go long or short.
5d Rolling Vol	Volatility	1.80	—	5-day rolling volatility is 1.80%. Normal (1-2%) — typical daily fluctuation. This was the 5th most important ML feature for predicting NEPSE returns.
Mass Index	Volatility	22.18	—	Mass Index is 22.18. Below 27 — no reversal bulge detected. Mass Index identifies trend reversals by measuring the range between high and low prices.
Ulcer Index	Volatility	8.05	—	Ulcer Index is 8.05 (moderate drawdown stress). It measures downside volatility by tracking the depth and duration of drawdowns from recent highs. Lower is better — values below 5 indicate a smooth uptrend, above 10 suggests painful drawdowns.
Donchian (20)	Volatility	1120.00	Sell	Price is at 100.0% of the 20-day Donchian Channel (Upper: 1120.00, Lower: 1060.00). Near the top of the channel — a breakout above could signal continuation, but also overbought risk.
MFI (14)	Volume	78.10	Neutral	MFI is 78.1. Normal range. Money Flow Index combines price and volume to measure buying/selling pressure. Unlike RSI which only uses price, MFI factors in volume for stronger signals.
CMF (20)	Volume	-0.43	Sell	CMF is -0.4264. Negative — money is flowing OUT of the stock ({strength} distribution). Sellers dominate with volume support. CMF above +0.1 or below -0.1 is a strong signal. Near zero means balanced buying/selling.
OBV Trend	Volume	—	Sell	OBV is falling over the last 20 days. Falling OBV suggests volume is declining or moving to sellers — bearish divergence if price is still rising. OBV adds volume on up-days and subtracts on down-days. The direction matters more than the absolute number.
VWAP	Volume	1120.00	Sell	VWAP is NPR 1120.00. Price is NPR 0.0 below VWAP. Price below VWAP means the average buyer is at a loss — bearish. VWAP acts as resistance.
Elder Force (13)	Volume	359097.77	Buy	EFI is 359,098. Positive — buying force (price change x volume) exceeds selling force. Large positive values mean strong institutional buying. Elder Force Index combines price direction with volume to measure the force behind moves.