NCCD86

Bond

9.5% NCC Debenture 2086

Rs. 1121.90 -28.10 (-2.44%)

Open: 1121.9
High: 1121.9
Low: 1121.9
Prev close: 1150
Volume: --
Turnover: 33,657
52W high: 1299.00
52W low: 1052.00

52-week range1052.00 – 1299.00

NSA Score

Neutral

Buy

Neutral

Sell

Trend · Slightly Bearish 39

Momentum · Neutral 53

Volume · Neutral 54

Volatility · Slightly Bearish 44

Fibonacci Retracement (60-day swing)

Swing High 1299.0 · Swing Low 1052.0

0	1299.0
0.236	1240.71
0.382	1204.65
0.5	1175.5
0.618	1146.35
0.786	1104.86
1.0	1052.0

Pivot Points

1121.9

Pivot Point

1121.9

Indicator	Category	Value	Signal	Why
EMA 13	Moving Averages	1141.98	Sell	Price is NPR 20.08 (1.76%) below EMA 13. 13-day Exponential MA. Optimal for NEPSE (30% CAGR in backtest). Reacts fast to price changes.
EMA 20	Moving Averages	1145.73	Sell	Price is NPR 23.83 (2.08%) below EMA 20. 20-day EMA. Standard short-term trend filter used by most traders.
EMA 50	Moving Averages	1152.73	Sell	Price is NPR 30.83 (2.67%) below EMA 50. 50-day EMA. Medium-term trend. A cross of EMA 13 above EMA 50 is a strong buy signal for NEPSE.
SMA 13	Moving Averages	1142.61	Sell	Price is NPR 20.71 (1.81%) below SMA 13. 13-day Simple MA. Research shows this period gives the best risk-adjusted return on NEPSE (Sharpe 1.71).
SMA 20	Moving Averages	1139.15	Sell	Price is NPR 17.24 (1.51%) below SMA 20. 20-day SMA. Also the mid-line of Bollinger Bands. Acts as dynamic support/resistance.
SMA 50	Moving Averages	1153.33	Sell	Price is NPR 31.43 (2.73%) below SMA 50. 50-day SMA. Institutional-level trend gauge. Widely watched by NEPSE fund managers.
SMA 200	Moving Averages	—	—	Not enough data to compute. 200-day SMA. The dividing line between bull and bear markets. Price above = long-term bullish.
MACD (12,26,9)	Trend	-1.36	Sell	MACD line (-7.22) is below Signal (-5.86). Histogram: -1.36 (expanding). Bearish pressure — MACD below signal suggests selling momentum. Note: Standard 12-26-9 parameters tend to underperform buy-and-hold on NEPSE. Check the optimized MACD below.
MACD (34,72,3)	Trend	—	—	Insufficient data. This MACD uses longer periods (34,72,3) optimized for frontier markets like NEPSE.
SuperTrend (7,3)	Trend	1086.69	Buy	SuperTrend line is at NPR 1086.69 (support). Price is NPR 35.21 above the line. Uptrend confirmed — the line acts as trailing support. A break below would flip to Sell. SuperTrend works well in trending NEPSE markets driven by herd behavior.
Parabolic SAR	Trend	1088.21	Buy	SAR dot is below price at NPR 1088.21 (bullish). Acts as a trailing stop — if price drops below 1088.21, the trend flips bearish. Good for setting stop-loss levels.
ADX (14)	Trend	11.08	Buy	ADX is 11.1 (Weak/absent trend). +DI=43.2, -DI=37.7. Bulls dominate — +DI is above -DI. The trend is weak — range-bound strategies may work better than trend-following.
Ichimoku Cloud	Trend	1176.00	Neutral	Tenkan=1176.00, Kijun=1182.00 (bearish cross). Price is inside the cloud (indecisive). Mixed signals — wait for clearer direction.
Aroon (25)	Trend	-24.00	Neutral	Aroon Up=16, Down=40. No clear trend. Aroon measures how recently the price hit a 25-day high (Up) or low (Down). Values above 70 confirm a trend.
DPO (20)	Trend	-29.15	Sell	DPO is -29.14. Negative — price is below its detrended average, suggesting a cyclical downturn. DPO removes long-term trend to show underlying cycles. Useful for timing entries within an existing trend.
RSI (14)	Momentum	46.59	Neutral	RSI is 46.6 — neutral zone. Standard zones are 70/30 but NEPSE research shows 60/40 zones work better due to strong momentum/herd behavior in Nepal's market. No extreme reading — RSI is not giving a strong signal on its own. Use with other indicators. RSI was the 2nd most important feature in ML models predicting NEPSE (arXiv 2026).
Stochastic (14,3,3)	Momentum	27.51	Sell	%K=27.5, %D=30.1. Bearish — %K is below %D, suggesting downward pressure. Stochastic compares closing price to its range over 14 days.
Stochastic RSI	Momentum	30.35	Neutral	StochRSI %K=30.3, %D=32.5. Mid-range — no extreme signal. StochRSI is a momentum indicator of RSI itself, making it more responsive than plain RSI.
CCI (20)	Momentum	-32.88	Neutral	CCI is -32.9 (normal range). Between -100 and +100 is normal — no extreme deviation from average price. CCI measures how far price has deviated from its mean. Works well for identifying cyclical stocks in NEPSE.
Williams %R (14)	Momentum	-83.87	Buy	Williams %R is -83.9. Oversold zone (below -80). Price is near the bottom of its 14-day range. May bounce — but confirm with other indicators before buying.
ROC (12)	Momentum	0.35	Buy	ROC is 0.35%. Price has gained 0.35% over the last 12 days. Positive momentum — buyers have been in control recently.
TRIX (15)	Momentum	-0.07	Sell	TRIX is -0.0712. Negative — triple-smoothed momentum confirms downtrend. TRIX filters out minor price fluctuations by applying three rounds of smoothing. Good for confirming the major trend direction and filtering noise in NEPSE's often-volatile daily movements.
Awesome Oscillator	Momentum	-28.77	Sell	AO is -28.77. Negative — long-term momentum exceeds short-term, indicating bearish pressure. Watch for zero-line crossovers — crossing above zero is a buy, below is a sell. Twin peaks divergence is also a strong signal.
Ultimate Osc (7,14,28)	Momentum	32.31	Neutral	UO is 32.3. Mid-range. The Ultimate Oscillator blends 7, 14, and 28-day periods to reduce false signals that plague single-period oscillators.
PPO (12,26)	Momentum	-0.91	Sell	PPO is -0.91%, Histogram: 0.57. Negative — short-term EMA is below long-term, indicating downward pressure. PPO is like MACD but expressed as a percentage, making it easier to compare across different price levels.
Coppock Curve	Momentum	2.22	Buy	Coppock is 2.22. Positive — originally designed to identify long-term buying opportunities. A turn from negative to positive is historically one of the most reliable buy signals. This indicator was designed for monthly charts but works on daily data too. Best for identifying major trend changes in NEPSE.
10d Rolling Mean	Momentum	1152.09	Sell	10-day rolling mean is NPR 1152.09. Price is NPR 30.19 below. This was the #1 most predictive feature in XGBoost ML models for NEPSE (arXiv 2026). Price below the 10-day mean suggests short-term bearish momentum.
ATR (14)	Volatility	34.29	—	ATR is NPR 34.29 (3.06% of price). This means the stock typically moves NPR 34.29 per day. High volatility (>3%) — wider stop-losses needed, larger position risk. Use ATR to set stop-losses: a common approach is 2x ATR (NPR 68.58) below entry.
Bollinger %B	Volatility	0.40	Neutral	BB %B is 0.40 (band position 40%). Bandwidth: 14.88%. Price is within normal range of the bands.
BB/KC Squeeze	Volatility		—	No squeeze — Bollinger Bands are outside Keltner Channels, normal volatility conditions. The Squeeze indicator is widely used to anticipate explosive moves. When the squeeze releases, the direction of the breakout determines whether to go long or short.
5d Rolling Vol	Volatility	2.47	—	5-day rolling volatility is 2.47%. Elevated (>2%) — above-normal swings. Be cautious with position sizes. This was the 5th most important ML feature for predicting NEPSE returns.
Mass Index	Volatility	22.34	—	Mass Index is 22.34. Below 27 — no reversal bulge detected. Mass Index identifies trend reversals by measuring the range between high and low prices.
Ulcer Index	Volatility	10.85	—	Ulcer Index is 10.85 (high drawdown stress — significant pain for holders). It measures downside volatility by tracking the depth and duration of drawdowns from recent highs. Lower is better — values below 5 indicate a smooth uptrend, above 10 suggests painful drawdowns.
Donchian (20)	Volatility	1241.00	Neutral	Price is at 32.3% of the 20-day Donchian Channel (Upper: 1241.00, Lower: 1065.00). Mid-channel — no extreme position. Donchian channels show the highest high and lowest low over 20 days.
MFI (14)	Volume	98.80	Sell	MFI is 98.8. Overbought — heavy buying volume has driven the indicator above 80. Smart money may start selling. MFI is like RSI but weighted by volume, making it more reliable for confirming price moves.
CMF (20)	Volume	0.07	Buy	CMF is 0.0680. Positive — money is flowing INTO the stock ({strength} accumulation). Buyers are in control with volume backing them. CMF above +0.1 or below -0.1 is a strong signal. Near zero means balanced buying/selling.
OBV Trend	Volume	—	Buy	OBV is rising over the last 20 days. Rising OBV confirms price increases are backed by volume — the uptrend is healthy. OBV adds volume on up-days and subtracts on down-days. The direction matters more than the absolute number.
VWAP	Volume	1121.90	Sell	VWAP is NPR 1121.90. Price is NPR 0.0 below VWAP. Price below VWAP means the average buyer is at a loss — bearish. VWAP acts as resistance.
Elder Force (13)	Volume	129980.51	Buy	EFI is 129,981. Positive — buying force (price change x volume) exceeds selling force. Large positive values mean strong institutional buying. Elder Force Index combines price direction with volume to measure the force behind moves.