NICAD2091

Bond

7% NIC ASIA Debenture 2091

Rs. 1099.00 -1.00 (-0.09%)

Open: 1067
High: 1099
Low: 1067
Prev close: 1100
Volume: --
Turnover: 54,150
52W high: 1115.00
52W low: 1020.00

52-week range1020.00 – 1115.00

7% NIC ASIA Debenture 2091 (NICAD2091) is listed on the Nepal Stock Exchange (NEPSE) in the Bond sector. At the latest close, the NICAD2091 share price was Rs 1,099.00 (-0.09%). Over the past year it has traded between Rs 1,020.00 and Rs 1,115.00. Its SA Score is 62 out of 100 (Buy): of 39 technical indicators, 23 point to buy, 6 to sell and 10 are neutral.

SA Score

Buy

Neutral

Sell

Trend · Slightly Bullish 69

Momentum · Neutral 46

Volume · Slightly Bullish 56

Volatility · Neutral 50

Fibonacci Retracement (60-day swing)

Swing High 1115.0 · Swing Low 1022.3

0	1115.0
0.236	1093.12
0.382	1079.59
0.5	1068.65
0.618	1057.71
0.786	1042.14
1.0	1022.3

Pivot Points

1141.67

1120.33

1109.67

1077.67

1056.33

1045.67

Pivot Point

1088.33

Indicator	Category	Value	Signal	Why
EMA 13	Moving Averages	1081.97	Buy	Price is NPR 17.03 (1.57%) above EMA 13. 13-day Exponential MA. Optimal for NEPSE (30% CAGR in backtest). Reacts fast to price changes.
EMA 20	Moving Averages	1076.60	Buy	Price is NPR 22.4 (2.08%) above EMA 20. 20-day EMA. Standard short-term trend filter used by most traders.
EMA 50	Moving Averages	1068.05	Buy	Price is NPR 30.95 (2.9%) above EMA 50. 50-day EMA. Medium-term trend. A cross of EMA 13 above EMA 50 is a strong buy signal for NEPSE.
SMA 13	Moving Averages	1081.61	Buy	Price is NPR 17.39 (1.61%) above SMA 13. 13-day Simple MA. Research shows this period gives the best risk-adjusted return on NEPSE (Sharpe 1.71).
SMA 20	Moving Averages	1071.48	Buy	Price is NPR 27.53 (2.57%) above SMA 20. 20-day SMA. Also the mid-line of Bollinger Bands. Acts as dynamic support/resistance.
SMA 50	Moving Averages	1064.24	Buy	Price is NPR 34.76 (3.27%) above SMA 50. 50-day SMA. Institutional-level trend gauge. Widely watched by NEPSE fund managers.
SMA 200	Moving Averages	—	—	Not enough data to compute. 200-day SMA. The dividing line between bull and bear markets. Price above = long-term bullish.
MACD (12,26,9)	Trend	3.31	Buy	MACD line (9.33) is above Signal (6.02). Histogram: 3.31 (expanding). Bullish momentum is building — MACD crossing above signal is a buy trigger. Note: Standard 12-26-9 parameters tend to underperform buy-and-hold on NEPSE. Check the optimized MACD below.
MACD (34,72,3)	Trend	0.77	Buy	MACD(4.61) vs Signal(3.84), Histogram: 0.77. Bullish — momentum favors buyers. These parameters (34,72,3) were validated on frontier markets like Dubai (85% hit ratio) and are better suited for NEPSE's slower cycles than standard MACD.
SuperTrend (7,3)	Trend	1047.80	Buy	SuperTrend line is at NPR 1047.80 (support). Price is NPR 51.2 above the line. Uptrend confirmed — the line acts as trailing support. A break below would flip to Sell. SuperTrend works well in trending NEPSE markets driven by herd behavior.
Parabolic SAR	Trend	1043.71	Buy	SAR dot is below price at NPR 1043.71 (bullish). Acts as a trailing stop — if price drops below 1043.71, the trend flips bearish. Good for setting stop-loss levels.
ADX (14)	Trend	13.60	Sell	ADX is 13.6 (Weak/absent trend). +DI=35.4, -DI=48.4. Bears dominate — -DI is above +DI. The trend is weak — range-bound strategies may work better than trend-following.
Ichimoku Cloud	Trend	1072.55	Buy	Tenkan=1072.55, Kijun=1068.65 (bullish cross). Price is above the cloud (bullish). All signals align bullish — Tenkan above Kijun and price above cloud is the strongest Ichimoku buy signal.
Aroon (25)	Trend	24.00	Neutral	Aroon Up=48, Down=24. No clear trend. Aroon measures how recently the price hit a 25-day high (Up) or low (Down). Values above 70 confirm a trend.
DPO (20)	Trend	21.53	Buy	DPO is 21.52. Positive — price is above its 20-day detrended average, suggesting current cycle is in an upswing. DPO removes long-term trend to show underlying cycles. Useful for timing entries within an existing trend.
RSI (14)	Momentum	58.03	Neutral	RSI is 58.0 — neutral zone. Standard zones are 70/30 but NEPSE research shows 60/40 zones work better due to strong momentum/herd behavior in Nepal's market. No extreme reading — RSI is not giving a strong signal on its own. Use with other indicators. RSI was the 2nd most important feature in ML models predicting NEPSE (arXiv 2026).
Stochastic (14,3,3)	Momentum	77.97	Buy	%K=78.0, %D=74.3. Bullish — %K is above %D, suggesting upward momentum. Stochastic compares closing price to its range over 14 days.
Stochastic RSI	Momentum	93.75	Sell	StochRSI %K=93.8. Overbought — more sensitive than regular RSI. A drop below 80 would confirm a sell signal. This is RSI applied to itself, making it faster at catching turning points.
CCI (20)	Momentum	70.90	Neutral	CCI is 70.9 (normal range). Between -100 and +100 is normal — no extreme deviation from average price. CCI measures how far price has deviated from its mean. Works well for identifying cyclical stocks in NEPSE.
Williams %R (14)	Momentum	-22.89	Neutral	Williams %R is -22.9. Mid-range — no extreme reading. Ranges from 0 to -100 where -50 is the midpoint.
ROC (12)	Momentum	3.56	Buy	ROC is 3.56%. Price has gained 3.56% over the last 12 days. Positive momentum — buyers have been in control recently.
TRIX (15)	Momentum	0.08	Buy	TRIX is 0.0786. Positive — triple-smoothed momentum confirms uptrend. TRIX filters out minor price fluctuations by applying three rounds of smoothing. Good for confirming the major trend direction and filtering noise in NEPSE's often-volatile daily movements.
Awesome Oscillator	Momentum	22.86	Buy	AO is 22.86. Positive — short-term momentum (5-bar) exceeds long-term (34-bar), indicating bullish pressure. Watch for zero-line crossovers — crossing above zero is a buy, below is a sell. Twin peaks divergence is also a strong signal.
Ultimate Osc (7,14,28)	Momentum	85.71	Sell	UO is 85.7. Overbought (>70). Combines three timeframes (7, 14, 28 days) for a more reliable overbought reading than single-period oscillators.
PPO (12,26)	Momentum	1.66	Buy	PPO is 1.66%, Histogram: 0.67. Positive — 12-day EMA is above 26-day EMA in percentage terms, confirming upward momentum. PPO is like MACD but expressed as a percentage, making it easier to compare across different price levels.
Coppock Curve	Momentum	6.52	Buy	Coppock is 6.52. Positive — originally designed to identify long-term buying opportunities. A turn from negative to positive is historically one of the most reliable buy signals. This indicator was designed for monthly charts but works on daily data too. Best for identifying major trend changes in NEPSE.
10d Rolling Mean	Momentum	1081.67	Buy	10-day rolling mean is NPR 1081.67. Price is NPR 17.33 above. This was the #1 most predictive feature in XGBoost ML models for NEPSE (arXiv 2026). Price above the 10-day mean suggests short-term bullish momentum.
ATR (14)	Volatility	19.31	—	ATR is NPR 19.31 (1.76% of price). This means the stock typically moves NPR 19.31 per day. Moderate volatility — normal trading conditions. Use ATR to set stop-losses: a common approach is 2x ATR (NPR 38.62) below entry.
Bollinger %B	Volatility	0.81	Sell	BB %B is 0.81 — price is in the upper 20% of the bands. Approaching overbought. Bandwidth: 8.38%.
BB/KC Squeeze	Volatility		—	No squeeze — Bollinger Bands are outside Keltner Channels, normal volatility conditions. The Squeeze indicator is widely used to anticipate explosive moves. When the squeeze releases, the direction of the breakout determines whether to go long or short.
5d Rolling Vol	Volatility	0.44	—	5-day rolling volatility is 0.44%. Very low (<1%) — market is calm. Breakout may be imminent. This was the 5th most important ML feature for predicting NEPSE returns.
Mass Index	Volatility	25.72	—	Mass Index is 25.72. Below 27 — no reversal bulge detected. Mass Index identifies trend reversals by measuring the range between high and low prices.
Ulcer Index	Volatility	1.61	—	Ulcer Index is 1.61 (low drawdown stress). It measures downside volatility by tracking the depth and duration of drawdowns from recent highs. Lower is better — values below 5 indicate a smooth uptrend, above 10 suggests painful drawdowns.
Donchian (20)	Volatility	1115.00	Sell	Price is at 82.7% of the 20-day Donchian Channel (Upper: 1115.00, Lower: 1022.30). Near the top of the channel — a breakout above could signal continuation, but also overbought risk.
MFI (14)	Volume	90.38	Sell	MFI is 90.4. Overbought — heavy buying volume has driven the indicator above 80. Smart money may start selling. MFI is like RSI but weighted by volume, making it more reliable for confirming price moves.
CMF (20)	Volume	0.33	Buy	CMF is 0.3298. Positive — money is flowing INTO the stock ({strength} accumulation). Buyers are in control with volume backing them. CMF above +0.1 or below -0.1 is a strong signal. Near zero means balanced buying/selling.
OBV Trend	Volume	—	Buy	OBV is rising over the last 20 days. Rising OBV confirms price increases are backed by volume — the uptrend is healthy. OBV adds volume on up-days and subtracts on down-days. The direction matters more than the absolute number.
VWAP	Volume	1088.33	Buy	VWAP is NPR 1088.33. Price is NPR 10.67 above VWAP. Price above VWAP means the average buyer is in profit — bullish. Institutional traders often use VWAP as a benchmark.
Elder Force (13)	Volume	6416.87	Buy	EFI is 6,417. Positive — buying force (price change x volume) exceeds selling force. Large positive values mean strong institutional buying. Elder Force Index combines price direction with volume to measure the force behind moves.