NICFC

Mutual Fund

NIC Asia Flexi CAP Fund

Rs. 9.11 +0.25 (+2.82%)

Open: 8.86
High: 9.15
Low: 8.8
Prev close: 8.86
Volume: --
Turnover: 24,566
52W high: 9.89
52W low: 8.36

52-week range8.36 – 9.89

NSA Score

Neutral

Buy

Neutral

Sell

Trend · Slightly Bullish 58

Momentum · Slightly Bearish 44

Volume · Slightly Bullish 61

Volatility · Slightly Bearish 44

Fibonacci Retracement (60-day swing)

Swing High 9.5 · Swing Low 8.44

0	9.5
0.236	9.25
0.382	9.1
0.5	8.97
0.618	8.84
0.786	8.67
1.0	8.44

Pivot Points

9.62

9.38

9.27

8.92

8.68

8.57

Pivot Point

9.03

Indicator	Category	Value	Signal	Why
EMA 13	Moving Averages	8.94	Buy	Price is NPR 0.21 (2.35%) above EMA 13. 13-day Exponential MA. Optimal for NEPSE (30% CAGR in backtest). Reacts fast to price changes.
EMA 20	Moving Averages	8.93	Buy	Price is NPR 0.22 (2.46%) above EMA 20. 20-day EMA. Standard short-term trend filter used by most traders.
EMA 50	Moving Averages	9.00	Buy	Price is NPR 0.15 (1.67%) above EMA 50. 50-day EMA. Medium-term trend. A cross of EMA 13 above EMA 50 is a strong buy signal for NEPSE.
SMA 13	Moving Averages	8.95	Buy	Price is NPR 0.2 (2.24%) above SMA 13. 13-day Simple MA. Research shows this period gives the best risk-adjusted return on NEPSE (Sharpe 1.71).
SMA 20	Moving Averages	8.89	Buy	Price is NPR 0.26 (2.93%) above SMA 20. 20-day SMA. Also the mid-line of Bollinger Bands. Acts as dynamic support/resistance.
SMA 50	Moving Averages	9.00	Buy	Price is NPR 0.15 (1.67%) above SMA 50. 50-day SMA. Institutional-level trend gauge. Widely watched by NEPSE fund managers.
SMA 200	Moving Averages	9.19	Sell	Price is NPR 0.04 (0.44%) below SMA 200. 200-day SMA. The dividing line between bull and bear markets. Price above = long-term bullish. Being below 200 SMA is bearish — historically NEPSE struggles to rally when below this level.
MACD (12,26,9)	Trend	0.02	Buy	MACD line (0.00) is above Signal (-0.02). Histogram: 0.02 (narrowing). Bullish momentum is building — MACD crossing above signal is a buy trigger. Note: Standard 12-26-9 parameters tend to underperform buy-and-hold on NEPSE. Check the optimized MACD below.
MACD (34,72,3)	Trend	0.00	Buy	MACD(-0.09) vs Signal(-0.10), Histogram: 0.00. Bullish — momentum favors buyers. These parameters (34,72,3) were validated on frontier markets like Dubai (85% hit ratio) and are better suited for NEPSE's slower cycles than standard MACD.
SuperTrend (7,3)	Trend	9.23	Sell	SuperTrend line is at NPR 9.23 (resistance). Price is NPR 0.08 below the line. Downtrend active — the line acts as resistance overhead. A break above would flip to Buy. SuperTrend works well in trending NEPSE markets driven by herd behavior.
Parabolic SAR	Trend	8.76	Buy	SAR dot is below price at NPR 8.76 (bullish). Acts as a trailing stop — if price drops below 8.76, the trend flips bearish. Good for setting stop-loss levels.
ADX (14)	Trend	11.59	Sell	ADX is 11.6 (Weak/absent trend). +DI=23.0, -DI=24.8. Bears dominate — -DI is above +DI. The trend is weak — range-bound strategies may work better than trend-following.
Ichimoku Cloud	Trend	8.94	Neutral	Tenkan=8.94, Kijun=8.79 (bullish cross). Price is inside the cloud (indecisive). Mixed signals — wait for clearer direction.
Aroon (25)	Trend	56.00	Neutral	Aroon Up=100, Down=44. No clear trend. Aroon measures how recently the price hit a 25-day high (Up) or low (Down). Values above 70 confirm a trend.
DPO (20)	Trend	0.02	Buy	DPO is 0.02. Positive — price is above its 20-day detrended average, suggesting current cycle is in an upswing. DPO removes long-term trend to show underlying cycles. Useful for timing entries within an existing trend.
RSI (14)	Momentum	57.23	Neutral	RSI is 57.2 — neutral zone. Standard zones are 70/30 but NEPSE research shows 60/40 zones work better due to strong momentum/herd behavior in Nepal's market. No extreme reading — RSI is not giving a strong signal on its own. Use with other indicators. RSI was the 2nd most important feature in ML models predicting NEPSE (arXiv 2026).
Stochastic (14,3,3)	Momentum	71.36	Buy	%K=71.4, %D=66.0. Bullish — %K is above %D, suggesting upward momentum. Stochastic compares closing price to its range over 14 days.
Stochastic RSI	Momentum	36.97	Neutral	StochRSI %K=37.0, %D=31.7. Mid-range — no extreme signal. StochRSI is a momentum indicator of RSI itself, making it more responsive than plain RSI.
CCI (20)	Momentum	127.56	Sell	CCI is 127.6 (overbought). Above +100 means price is well above its statistical average — potential topping. CCI measures how far price has deviated from its mean. Works well for identifying cyclical stocks in NEPSE.
Williams %R (14)	Momentum	0.00	Sell	Williams %R is 0.0. Overbought zone (above -20). Price is near the top of its 14-day range. Often signals a short-term pullback is coming.
ROC (12)	Momentum	2.46	Buy	ROC is 2.46%. Price has gained 2.46% over the last 12 days. Positive momentum — buyers have been in control recently.
TRIX (15)	Momentum	-0.03	Sell	TRIX is -0.0300. Negative — triple-smoothed momentum confirms downtrend. TRIX filters out minor price fluctuations by applying three rounds of smoothing. Good for confirming the major trend direction and filtering noise in NEPSE's often-volatile daily movements.
Awesome Oscillator	Momentum	0.07	Buy	AO is 0.07. Positive — short-term momentum (5-bar) exceeds long-term (34-bar), indicating bullish pressure. Watch for zero-line crossovers — crossing above zero is a buy, below is a sell. Twin peaks divergence is also a strong signal.
Ultimate Osc (7,14,28)	Momentum	62.46	Neutral	UO is 62.5. Mid-range. The Ultimate Oscillator blends 7, 14, and 28-day periods to reduce false signals that plague single-period oscillators.
PPO (12,26)	Momentum	0.88	Buy	PPO is 0.88%, Histogram: 0.51. Positive — 12-day EMA is above 26-day EMA in percentage terms, confirming upward momentum. PPO is like MACD but expressed as a percentage, making it easier to compare across different price levels.
Coppock Curve	Momentum	3.15	Buy	Coppock is 3.15. Positive — originally designed to identify long-term buying opportunities. A turn from negative to positive is historically one of the most reliable buy signals. This indicator was designed for monthly charts but works on daily data too. Best for identifying major trend changes in NEPSE.
10d Rolling Mean	Momentum	8.96	Buy	10-day rolling mean is NPR 8.96. Price is NPR 0.19 above. This was the #1 most predictive feature in XGBoost ML models for NEPSE (arXiv 2026). Price above the 10-day mean suggests short-term bullish momentum.
ATR (14)	Volatility	0.21	—	ATR is NPR 0.21 (2.29% of price). This means the stock typically moves NPR 0.21 per day. Moderate volatility — normal trading conditions. Use ATR to set stop-losses: a common approach is 2x ATR (NPR 0.42) below entry.
Bollinger %B	Volatility	1.01	Sell	BB %B is 1.01 — price has broken ABOVE the upper band. This is rare and usually means the stock is stretched. Bandwidth: 5.81%. A pullback toward the middle band is likely.
BB/KC Squeeze	Volatility		—	SQUEEZE ACTIVE — Bollinger Bands are inside Keltner Channels. This means volatility is very low and a big move is coming. Prepare for a breakout. The Squeeze indicator is widely used to anticipate explosive moves. When the squeeze releases, the direction of the breakout determines whether to go long or short.
5d Rolling Vol	Volatility	1.68	—	5-day rolling volatility is 1.68%. Normal (1-2%) — typical daily fluctuation. This was the 5th most important ML feature for predicting NEPSE returns.
Mass Index	Volatility	23.67	—	Mass Index is 23.67. Below 27 — no reversal bulge detected. Mass Index identifies trend reversals by measuring the range between high and low prices.
Ulcer Index	Volatility	2.06	—	Ulcer Index is 2.06 (low drawdown stress). It measures downside volatility by tracking the depth and duration of drawdowns from recent highs. Lower is better — values below 5 indicate a smooth uptrend, above 10 suggests painful drawdowns.
Donchian (20)	Volatility	9.15	Sell	Price is at 100.0% of the 20-day Donchian Channel (Upper: 9.15, Lower: 8.44). Near the top of the channel — a breakout above could signal continuation, but also overbought risk.
MFI (14)	Volume	83.32	Sell	MFI is 83.3. Overbought — heavy buying volume has driven the indicator above 80. Smart money may start selling. MFI is like RSI but weighted by volume, making it more reliable for confirming price moves.
CMF (20)	Volume	0.53	Buy	CMF is 0.5335. Positive — money is flowing INTO the stock ({strength} accumulation). Buyers are in control with volume backing them. CMF above +0.1 or below -0.1 is a strong signal. Near zero means balanced buying/selling.
OBV Trend	Volume	—	Buy	OBV is rising over the last 20 days. Rising OBV confirms price increases are backed by volume — the uptrend is healthy. OBV adds volume on up-days and subtracts on down-days. The direction matters more than the absolute number.
VWAP	Volume	9.03	Buy	VWAP is NPR 9.03. Price is NPR 0.12 above VWAP. Price above VWAP means the average buyer is in profit — bullish. Institutional traders often use VWAP as a benchmark.
Elder Force (13)	Volume	187.95	Buy	EFI is 188. Positive — buying force (price change x volume) exceeds selling force. Large positive values mean strong institutional buying. Elder Force Index combines price direction with volume to measure the force behind moves.