NIFRAGED

Bond

Nifra Green Energy Debenture 6% - 2088/89

Rs. 1100.20 +15.20 (+1.40%) No trades today · last traded 2026-10-08

Open: 1085.0
High: 1100.2
Low: 1085.0
Prev close: 1085.0
Volume: 577
Turnover: 632,130
52W high: 1200.20
52W low: 986.00

52-week range986.00 – 1200.20

Nifra Green Energy Debenture 6% - 2088/89 (NIFRAGED) is listed on the Nepal Stock Exchange (NEPSE) in the Bond sector. NIFRAGED last traded on 2026-10-08, when its price was Rs 1,100.20 (+1.40%), with 577 shares traded. Over the past year it has traded between Rs 986.00 and Rs 1,200.20. Its SA Score is 50 out of 100 (Neutral): of 39 technical indicators, 21 point to buy, 8 to sell and 10 are neutral.

SA Score

Neutral

Buy

Neutral

Sell

Trend · Slightly Bullish 69

Momentum · Neutral 47

Volume · Neutral 45

Volatility · Neutral 51

Fibonacci Retracement (60-day swing)

Swing High 1114.4 · Swing Low 1000.1

0	1114.4
0.236	1087.43
0.382	1070.74
0.5	1057.25
0.618	1043.76
0.786	1024.56
1.0	1000.1

Pivot Points

1120.47

1110.33

1105.27

1090.07

1079.93

1074.87

Pivot Point

1095.13

Indicator	Category	Value	Signal	Why
EMA 13	Moving Averages	1062.31	Buy	Price is NPR 37.89 (3.57%) above EMA 13. 13-day Exponential MA. Optimal for NEPSE (30% CAGR in backtest). Reacts fast to price changes.
EMA 20	Moving Averages	1053.38	Buy	Price is NPR 46.82 (4.44%) above EMA 20. 20-day EMA. Standard short-term trend filter used by most traders.
EMA 50	Moving Averages	1043.87	Buy	Price is NPR 56.33 (5.4%) above EMA 50. 50-day EMA. Medium-term trend. A cross of EMA 13 above EMA 50 is a strong buy signal for NEPSE.
SMA 13	Moving Averages	1054.68	Buy	Price is NPR 45.52 (4.32%) above SMA 13. 13-day Simple MA. Research shows this period gives the best risk-adjusted return on NEPSE (Sharpe 1.71).
SMA 20	Moving Averages	1040.95	Buy	Price is NPR 59.25 (5.69%) above SMA 20. 20-day SMA. Also the mid-line of Bollinger Bands. Acts as dynamic support/resistance.
SMA 50	Moving Averages	1040.33	Buy	Price is NPR 59.87 (5.75%) above SMA 50. 50-day SMA. Institutional-level trend gauge. Widely watched by NEPSE fund managers.
SMA 200	Moving Averages	—	—	Not enough data to compute. 200-day SMA. The dividing line between bull and bear markets. Price above = long-term bullish.
MACD (12,26,9)	Trend	8.00	Buy	MACD line (14.85) is above Signal (6.84). Histogram: 8.00 (expanding). Bullish momentum is building — MACD crossing above signal is a buy trigger. Note: Standard 12-26-9 parameters tend to underperform buy-and-hold on NEPSE. Check the optimized MACD below.
MACD (34,72,3)	Trend	1.43	Buy	MACD(3.96) vs Signal(2.53), Histogram: 1.43. Bullish — momentum favors buyers. These parameters (34,72,3) were validated on frontier markets like Dubai (85% hit ratio) and are better suited for NEPSE's slower cycles than standard MACD.
SuperTrend (7,3)	Trend	1051.08	Buy	SuperTrend line is at NPR 1051.08 (support). Price is NPR 49.12 above the line. Uptrend confirmed — the line acts as trailing support. A break below would flip to Sell. SuperTrend works well in trending NEPSE markets driven by herd behavior.
Parabolic SAR	Trend	1028.90	Buy	SAR dot is below price at NPR 1028.90 (bullish). Acts as a trailing stop — if price drops below 1028.90, the trend flips bearish. Good for setting stop-loss levels.
ADX (14)	Trend	17.30	Buy	ADX is 17.3 (Weak/absent trend). +DI=61.8, -DI=28.7. Bulls dominate — +DI is above -DI. The trend is weak — range-bound strategies may work better than trend-following.
Ichimoku Cloud	Trend	1069.70	Neutral	Tenkan=1069.70, Kijun=1057.25 (bullish cross). Price is inside the cloud (indecisive). Mixed signals — wait for clearer direction.
Aroon (25)	Trend	40.00	Neutral	Aroon Up=84, Down=44. No clear trend. Aroon measures how recently the price hit a 25-day high (Up) or low (Down). Values above 70 confirm a trend.
DPO (20)	Trend	-29.85	Sell	DPO is -29.85. Negative — price is below its detrended average, suggesting a cyclical downturn. DPO removes long-term trend to show underlying cycles. Useful for timing entries within an existing trend.
RSI (14)	Momentum	65.60	Sell	RSI is 65.6 — overbought (NEPSE-adjusted zone). Standard zones are 70/30 but NEPSE research shows 60/40 zones work better due to strong momentum/herd behavior in Nepal's market. Price may be stretched — a pullback is likely. Consider taking profits. RSI was the 2nd most important feature in ML models predicting NEPSE (arXiv 2026).
Stochastic (14,3,3)	Momentum	74.88	Buy	%K=74.9, %D=71.3. Bullish — %K is above %D, suggesting upward momentum. Stochastic compares closing price to its range over 14 days.
Stochastic RSI	Momentum	80.94	Sell	StochRSI %K=80.9. Overbought — more sensitive than regular RSI. A drop below 80 would confirm a sell signal. This is RSI applied to itself, making it faster at catching turning points.
CCI (20)	Momentum	142.24	Sell	CCI is 142.2 (overbought). Above +100 means price is well above its statistical average — potential topping. CCI measures how far price has deviated from its mean. Works well for identifying cyclical stocks in NEPSE.
Williams %R (14)	Momentum	-13.60	Sell	Williams %R is -13.6. Overbought zone (above -20). Price is near the top of its 14-day range. Often signals a short-term pullback is coming.
ROC (12)	Momentum	5.76	Buy	ROC is 5.76%. Price has gained 5.76% over the last 12 days. Positive momentum — buyers have been in control recently. Strong momentum (>5%) suggests trend acceleration.
TRIX (15)	Momentum	0.08	Buy	TRIX is 0.0831. Positive — triple-smoothed momentum confirms uptrend. TRIX filters out minor price fluctuations by applying three rounds of smoothing. Good for confirming the major trend direction and filtering noise in NEPSE's often-volatile daily movements.
Awesome Oscillator	Momentum	47.96	Buy	AO is 47.96. Positive — short-term momentum (5-bar) exceeds long-term (34-bar), indicating bullish pressure. Watch for zero-line crossovers — crossing above zero is a buy, below is a sell. Twin peaks divergence is also a strong signal.
Ultimate Osc (7,14,28)	Momentum	65.96	Neutral	UO is 66.0. Mid-range. The Ultimate Oscillator blends 7, 14, and 28-day periods to reduce false signals that plague single-period oscillators.
PPO (12,26)	Momentum	1.72	Buy	PPO is 1.72%, Histogram: 1.11. Positive — 12-day EMA is above 26-day EMA in percentage terms, confirming upward momentum. PPO is like MACD but expressed as a percentage, making it easier to compare across different price levels.
Coppock Curve	Momentum	11.79	Buy	Coppock is 11.79. Positive — originally designed to identify long-term buying opportunities. A turn from negative to positive is historically one of the most reliable buy signals. This indicator was designed for monthly charts but works on daily data too. Best for identifying major trend changes in NEPSE.
10d Rolling Mean	Momentum	1063.43	Buy	10-day rolling mean is NPR 1063.43. Price is NPR 36.77 above. This was the #1 most predictive feature in XGBoost ML models for NEPSE (arXiv 2026). Price above the 10-day mean suggests short-term bullish momentum.
ATR (14)	Volatility	14.59	—	ATR is NPR 14.59 (1.33% of price). This means the stock typically moves NPR 14.59 per day. Low volatility (<1.5%) — calm market, tighter stop-losses work. Use ATR to set stop-losses: a common approach is 2x ATR (NPR 29.18) below entry.
Bollinger %B	Volatility	0.97	Sell	BB %B is 0.97 — price is in the upper 20% of the bands. Approaching overbought. Bandwidth: 12.07%.
BB/KC Squeeze	Volatility		—	No squeeze — Bollinger Bands are outside Keltner Channels, normal volatility conditions. The Squeeze indicator is widely used to anticipate explosive moves. When the squeeze releases, the direction of the breakout determines whether to go long or short.
5d Rolling Vol	Volatility	1.68	—	5-day rolling volatility is 1.68%. Normal (1-2%) — typical daily fluctuation. This was the 5th most important ML feature for predicting NEPSE returns.
Mass Index	Volatility	25.58	—	Mass Index is 25.58. Below 27 — no reversal bulge detected. Mass Index identifies trend reversals by measuring the range between high and low prices.
Ulcer Index	Volatility	1.56	—	Ulcer Index is 1.56 (low drawdown stress). It measures downside volatility by tracking the depth and duration of drawdowns from recent highs. Lower is better — values below 5 indicate a smooth uptrend, above 10 suggests painful drawdowns.
Donchian (20)	Volatility	1114.40	Sell	Price is at 87.6% of the 20-day Donchian Channel (Upper: 1114.40, Lower: 1000.10). Near the top of the channel — a breakout above could signal continuation, but also overbought risk.
MFI (14)	Volume	74.30	Neutral	MFI is 74.3. Normal range. Money Flow Index combines price and volume to measure buying/selling pressure. Unlike RSI which only uses price, MFI factors in volume for stronger signals.
CMF (20)	Volume	-0.23	Sell	CMF is -0.2283. Negative — money is flowing OUT of the stock ({strength} distribution). Sellers dominate with volume support. CMF above +0.1 or below -0.1 is a strong signal. Near zero means balanced buying/selling.
OBV Trend	Volume	—	Buy	OBV is rising over the last 20 days. Rising OBV confirms price increases are backed by volume — the uptrend is healthy. OBV adds volume on up-days and subtracts on down-days. The direction matters more than the absolute number.
VWAP	Volume	1095.13	Buy	VWAP is NPR 1095.13. Price is NPR 5.07 above VWAP. Price above VWAP means the average buyer is in profit — bullish. Institutional traders often use VWAP as a benchmark.
Elder Force (13)	Volume	4253.46	Buy	EFI is 4,253. Positive — buying force (price change x volume) exceeds selling force. Large positive values mean strong institutional buying. Elder Force Index combines price direction with volume to measure the force behind moves.