NIFRAUR85/86

Bond

NIFRA Uraj Rinpatra7%-2085/86

Rs. 1070.00 +40.00 (+3.88%)

Open: 1060.9
High: 1070
Low: 1060.9
Prev close: 1030
Volume: --
Turnover: 126,096
52W high: 1128.00
52W low: 1010.00

52-week range1010.00 – 1128.00

NSA Score

Neutral

Buy

Neutral

Sell

Trend · Slightly Bullish 63

Momentum · Slightly Bearish 36

Volume · Slightly Bullish 68

Volatility · Neutral 50

Fibonacci Retracement (60-day swing)

Swing High 1128.0 · Swing Low 1010.0

0	1128.0
0.236	1100.15
0.382	1082.92
0.5	1069.0
0.618	1055.08
0.786	1035.25
1.0	1010.0

Pivot Points

1082.13

1076.07

1073.03

1063.93

1057.87

1054.83

Pivot Point

1066.97

Indicator	Category	Value	Signal	Why
EMA 13	Moving Averages	1043.67	Buy	Price is NPR 26.33 (2.52%) above EMA 13. 13-day Exponential MA. Optimal for NEPSE (30% CAGR in backtest). Reacts fast to price changes.
EMA 20	Moving Averages	1046.71	Buy	Price is NPR 23.29 (2.23%) above EMA 20. 20-day EMA. Standard short-term trend filter used by most traders.
EMA 50	Moving Averages	—	—	Not enough data to compute. 50-day EMA. Medium-term trend. A cross of EMA 13 above EMA 50 is a strong buy signal for NEPSE.
SMA 13	Moving Averages	1043.72	Buy	Price is NPR 26.28 (2.52%) above SMA 13. 13-day Simple MA. Research shows this period gives the best risk-adjusted return on NEPSE (Sharpe 1.71).
SMA 20	Moving Averages	1048.94	Buy	Price is NPR 21.06 (2.01%) above SMA 20. 20-day SMA. Also the mid-line of Bollinger Bands. Acts as dynamic support/resistance.
SMA 50	Moving Averages	—	—	Not enough data to compute. 50-day SMA. Institutional-level trend gauge. Widely watched by NEPSE fund managers.
SMA 200	Moving Averages	—	—	Not enough data to compute. 200-day SMA. The dividing line between bull and bear markets. Price above = long-term bullish.
MACD (12,26,9)	Trend	0.17	Buy	MACD line (-6.24) is above Signal (-6.40). Histogram: 0.17 (narrowing). Bullish momentum is building — MACD crossing above signal is a buy trigger. Note: Standard 12-26-9 parameters tend to underperform buy-and-hold on NEPSE. Check the optimized MACD below.
MACD (34,72,3)	Trend	—	—	Insufficient data. This MACD uses longer periods (34,72,3) optimized for frontier markets like NEPSE.
SuperTrend (7,3)	Trend	1004.62	Buy	SuperTrend line is at NPR 1004.62 (support). Price is NPR 65.38 above the line. Uptrend confirmed — the line acts as trailing support. A break below would flip to Sell. SuperTrend works well in trending NEPSE markets driven by herd behavior.
Parabolic SAR	Trend	1010.00	Buy	SAR dot is below price at NPR 1010.00 (bullish). Acts as a trailing stop — if price drops below 1010.00, the trend flips bearish. Good for setting stop-loss levels.
ADX (14)	Trend	13.57	Buy	ADX is 13.6 (Weak/absent trend). +DI=50.7, -DI=37.9. Bulls dominate — +DI is above -DI. The trend is weak — range-bound strategies may work better than trend-following.
Ichimoku Cloud	Trend	—	—	Ichimoku Cloud is a complete trend system showing support, resistance, momentum and trend direction in one view.
Aroon (25)	Trend	-80.00	Sell	Aroon Up=0, Down=80. Strong downtrend — recent new lows with no new highs. Selling pressure dominates.
DPO (20)	Trend	16.06	Buy	DPO is 16.06. Positive — price is above its 20-day detrended average, suggesting current cycle is in an upswing. DPO removes long-term trend to show underlying cycles. Useful for timing entries within an existing trend.
RSI (14)	Momentum	54.54	Neutral	RSI is 54.5 — neutral zone. Standard zones are 70/30 but NEPSE research shows 60/40 zones work better due to strong momentum/herd behavior in Nepal's market. No extreme reading — RSI is not giving a strong signal on its own. Use with other indicators. RSI was the 2nd most important feature in ML models predicting NEPSE (arXiv 2026).
Stochastic (14,3,3)	Momentum	64.36	Buy	%K=64.4, %D=42.1. Bullish — %K is above %D, suggesting upward momentum. Stochastic compares closing price to its range over 14 days.
Stochastic RSI	Momentum	79.42	Neutral	StochRSI %K=79.4, %D=59.0. Mid-range — no extreme signal. StochRSI is a momentum indicator of RSI itself, making it more responsive than plain RSI.
CCI (20)	Momentum	79.04	Neutral	CCI is 79.0 (normal range). Between -100 and +100 is normal — no extreme deviation from average price. CCI measures how far price has deviated from its mean. Works well for identifying cyclical stocks in NEPSE.
Williams %R (14)	Momentum	0.00	Sell	Williams %R is 0.0. Overbought zone (above -20). Price is near the top of its 14-day range. Often signals a short-term pullback is coming.
ROC (12)	Momentum	0.47	Buy	ROC is 0.47%. Price has gained 0.47% over the last 12 days. Positive momentum — buyers have been in control recently.
TRIX (15)	Momentum	-0.10	Sell	TRIX is -0.0955. Negative — triple-smoothed momentum confirms downtrend. TRIX filters out minor price fluctuations by applying three rounds of smoothing. Good for confirming the major trend direction and filtering noise in NEPSE's often-volatile daily movements.
Awesome Oscillator	Momentum	-23.38	Sell	AO is -23.38. Negative — long-term momentum exceeds short-term, indicating bearish pressure. Watch for zero-line crossovers — crossing above zero is a buy, below is a sell. Twin peaks divergence is also a strong signal.
Ultimate Osc (7,14,28)	Momentum	57.53	Neutral	UO is 57.5. Mid-range. The Ultimate Oscillator blends 7, 14, and 28-day periods to reduce false signals that plague single-period oscillators.
PPO (12,26)	Momentum	-0.92	Sell	PPO is -0.92%, Histogram: 0.12. Negative — short-term EMA is below long-term, indicating downward pressure. PPO is like MACD but expressed as a percentage, making it easier to compare across different price levels.
Coppock Curve	Momentum	-4.38	Sell	Coppock is -4.38. Negative — long-term momentum is bearish. Wait for it to turn positive before considering long positions. This indicator was designed for monthly charts but works on daily data too. Best for identifying major trend changes in NEPSE.
10d Rolling Mean	Momentum	1038.83	Buy	10-day rolling mean is NPR 1038.83. Price is NPR 31.17 above. This was the #1 most predictive feature in XGBoost ML models for NEPSE (arXiv 2026). Price above the 10-day mean suggests short-term bullish momentum.
ATR (14)	Volatility	19.05	—	ATR is NPR 19.05 (1.78% of price). This means the stock typically moves NPR 19.05 per day. Moderate volatility — normal trading conditions. Use ATR to set stop-losses: a common approach is 2x ATR (NPR 38.09) below entry.
Bollinger %B	Volatility	0.78	Neutral	BB %B is 0.78 (band position 78%). Bandwidth: 7.23%. Price is within normal range of the bands.
BB/KC Squeeze	Volatility		—	No squeeze — Bollinger Bands are outside Keltner Channels, normal volatility conditions. The Squeeze indicator is widely used to anticipate explosive moves. When the squeeze releases, the direction of the breakout determines whether to go long or short.
5d Rolling Vol	Volatility	2.53	—	5-day rolling volatility is 2.53%. Elevated (>2%) — above-normal swings. Be cautious with position sizes. This was the 5th most important ML feature for predicting NEPSE returns.
Mass Index	Volatility	20.21	—	Mass Index is 20.21. Below 27 — no reversal bulge detected. Mass Index identifies trend reversals by measuring the range between high and low prices.
Ulcer Index	Volatility	3.39	—	Ulcer Index is 3.39 (low drawdown stress). It measures downside volatility by tracking the depth and duration of drawdowns from recent highs. Lower is better — values below 5 indicate a smooth uptrend, above 10 suggests painful drawdowns.
Donchian (20)	Volatility	1071.00	Sell	Price is at 98.4% of the 20-day Donchian Channel (Upper: 1071.00, Lower: 1010.00). Near the top of the channel — a breakout above could signal continuation, but also overbought risk.
MFI (14)	Volume	56.54	Neutral	MFI is 56.5. Normal range. Money Flow Index combines price and volume to measure buying/selling pressure. Unlike RSI which only uses price, MFI factors in volume for stronger signals.
CMF (20)	Volume	0.24	Buy	CMF is 0.2354. Positive — money is flowing INTO the stock ({strength} accumulation). Buyers are in control with volume backing them. CMF above +0.1 or below -0.1 is a strong signal. Near zero means balanced buying/selling.
OBV Trend	Volume	—	Buy	OBV is rising over the last 20 days. Rising OBV confirms price increases are backed by volume — the uptrend is healthy. OBV adds volume on up-days and subtracts on down-days. The direction matters more than the absolute number.
VWAP	Volume	1066.97	Buy	VWAP is NPR 1066.97. Price is NPR 3.03 above VWAP. Price above VWAP means the average buyer is in profit — bullish. Institutional traders often use VWAP as a benchmark.
Elder Force (13)	Volume	725.42	Buy	EFI is 725. Positive — buying force (price change x volume) exceeds selling force. Large positive values mean strong institutional buying. Elder Force Index combines price direction with volume to measure the force behind moves.