NMBD2085

Bond

10 % NMB DEBENTURE 2085

Rs. 1105.00 +2.91 (+0.26%)

Open: 1105
High: 1105
Low: 1105
Prev close: 1102.09
Volume: --
Turnover: 44,200
52W high: 1211.00
52W low: 1102.10

52-week range1102.10 – 1211.00

10 % NMB DEBENTURE 2085 (NMBD2085) is listed on the Nepal Stock Exchange (NEPSE) in the Bond sector. At the latest close, the NMBD2085 share price was Rs 1,105.00 (+0.26%). Over the past year it has traded between Rs 1,102.10 and Rs 1,211.00. Its SA Score is 37 out of 100 (Sell): of 39 technical indicators, 8 point to buy, 17 to sell and 14 are neutral.

SA Score

Sell

Buy

Neutral

Sell

Trend · Slightly Bearish 38

Momentum · Slightly Bullish 56

Volume · Slightly Bearish 44

Volatility · Neutral 48

Fibonacci Retracement (60-day swing)

Swing High 1211.0 · Swing Low 1102.1

0	1211.0
0.236	1185.3
0.382	1169.4
0.5	1156.55
0.618	1143.7
0.786	1125.4
1.0	1102.1

Pivot Points

1105.0

Pivot Point

1105.0

Indicator	Category	Value	Signal	Why
EMA 13	Moving Averages	1140.90	Sell	Price is NPR 35.9 (3.15%) below EMA 13. 13-day Exponential MA. Optimal for NEPSE (30% CAGR in backtest). Reacts fast to price changes.
EMA 20	Moving Averages	1146.58	Sell	Price is NPR 41.58 (3.63%) below EMA 20. 20-day EMA. Standard short-term trend filter used by most traders.
EMA 50	Moving Averages	—	—	Not enough data to compute. 50-day EMA. Medium-term trend. A cross of EMA 13 above EMA 50 is a strong buy signal for NEPSE.
SMA 13	Moving Averages	1148.60	Sell	Price is NPR 43.6 (3.8%) below SMA 13. 13-day Simple MA. Research shows this period gives the best risk-adjusted return on NEPSE (Sharpe 1.71).
SMA 20	Moving Averages	1153.74	Sell	Price is NPR 48.74 (4.22%) below SMA 20. 20-day SMA. Also the mid-line of Bollinger Bands. Acts as dynamic support/resistance.
SMA 50	Moving Averages	—	—	Not enough data to compute. 50-day SMA. Institutional-level trend gauge. Widely watched by NEPSE fund managers.
SMA 200	Moving Averages	—	—	Not enough data to compute. 200-day SMA. The dividing line between bull and bear markets. Price above = long-term bullish.
MACD (12,26,9)	Trend	-9.18	Sell	MACD line (-9.37) is below Signal (-0.19). Histogram: -9.18 (expanding). Bearish pressure — MACD below signal suggests selling momentum. Note: Standard 12-26-9 parameters tend to underperform buy-and-hold on NEPSE. Check the optimized MACD below.
MACD (34,72,3)	Trend	—	—	Insufficient data. This MACD uses longer periods (34,72,3) optimized for frontier markets like NEPSE.
SuperTrend (7,3)	Trend	1082.55	Buy	SuperTrend line is at NPR 1082.55 (support). Price is NPR 22.45 above the line. Uptrend confirmed — the line acts as trailing support. A break below would flip to Sell. SuperTrend works well in trending NEPSE markets driven by herd behavior.
Parabolic SAR	Trend	1130.39	Buy	SAR dot is below price at NPR 1130.39 (bullish). Acts as a trailing stop — if price drops below 1130.39, the trend flips bearish. Good for setting stop-loss levels.
ADX (14)	Trend	12.62	Sell	ADX is 12.6 (Weak/absent trend). +DI=31.2, -DI=42.8. Bears dominate — -DI is above +DI. The trend is weak — range-bound strategies may work better than trend-following.
Ichimoku Cloud	Trend	—	—	Ichimoku Cloud is a complete trend system showing support, resistance, momentum and trend direction in one view.
Aroon (25)	Trend	-28.00	Neutral	Aroon Up=68, Down=96. No clear trend. Aroon measures how recently the price hit a 25-day high (Up) or low (Down). Values above 70 confirm a trend.
DPO (20)	Trend	-23.74	Sell	DPO is -23.74. Negative — price is below its detrended average, suggesting a cyclical downturn. DPO removes long-term trend to show underlying cycles. Useful for timing entries within an existing trend.
RSI (14)	Momentum	41.21	Neutral	RSI is 41.2 — neutral zone. Standard zones are 70/30 but NEPSE research shows 60/40 zones work better due to strong momentum/herd behavior in Nepal's market. No extreme reading — RSI is not giving a strong signal on its own. Use with other indicators. RSI was the 2nd most important feature in ML models predicting NEPSE (arXiv 2026).
Stochastic (14,3,3)	Momentum	6.75	Buy	%K=6.7, %D=13.2. Oversold — price is near the bottom of its 14-day range. Watch for %K crossing above %D for a buy entry.
Stochastic RSI	Momentum	3.87	Buy	StochRSI %K=3.9. Oversold — momentum is deeply stretched to the downside. A rise above 20 would confirm a buy signal.
CCI (20)	Momentum	-153.54	Buy	CCI is -153.5 (oversold). Below -100 means price is well below average — potential bottoming. CCI measures how far price has deviated from its mean. Works well for identifying cyclical stocks in NEPSE.
Williams %R (14)	Momentum	-97.34	Buy	Williams %R is -97.3. Oversold zone (below -80). Price is near the bottom of its 14-day range. May bounce — but confirm with other indicators before buying.
ROC (12)	Momentum	-7.45	Sell	ROC is -7.45%. Price has lost 7.45% over the last 12 days. Negative momentum — selling pressure over the past 12 trading sessions. Strong momentum (>5%) suggests trend acceleration.
TRIX (15)	Momentum	-0.03	Sell	TRIX is -0.0344. Negative — triple-smoothed momentum confirms downtrend. TRIX filters out minor price fluctuations by applying three rounds of smoothing. Good for confirming the major trend direction and filtering noise in NEPSE's often-volatile daily movements.
Awesome Oscillator	Momentum	-28.87	Sell	AO is -28.87. Negative — long-term momentum exceeds short-term, indicating bearish pressure. Watch for zero-line crossovers — crossing above zero is a buy, below is a sell. Twin peaks divergence is also a strong signal.
Ultimate Osc (7,14,28)	Momentum	40.85	Neutral	UO is 40.8. Mid-range. The Ultimate Oscillator blends 7, 14, and 28-day periods to reduce false signals that plague single-period oscillators.
PPO (12,26)	Momentum	-0.77	Sell	PPO is -0.77%, Histogram: -0.67. Negative — short-term EMA is below long-term, indicating downward pressure. PPO is like MACD but expressed as a percentage, making it easier to compare across different price levels.
Coppock Curve	Momentum	-5.18	Sell	Coppock is -5.18. Negative — long-term momentum is bearish. Wait for it to turn positive before considering long positions. This indicator was designed for monthly charts but works on daily data too. Best for identifying major trend changes in NEPSE.
10d Rolling Mean	Momentum	1147.68	Sell	10-day rolling mean is NPR 1147.68. Price is NPR 42.68 below. This was the #1 most predictive feature in XGBoost ML models for NEPSE (arXiv 2026). Price below the 10-day mean suggests short-term bearish momentum.
ATR (14)	Volatility	23.42	—	ATR is NPR 23.42 (2.12% of price). This means the stock typically moves NPR 23.42 per day. Moderate volatility — normal trading conditions. Use ATR to set stop-losses: a common approach is 2x ATR (NPR 46.84) below entry.
Bollinger %B	Volatility	0.06	Buy	BB %B is 0.06 — price is in the lower 20% of the bands. Approaching oversold. Bandwidth: 9.59%.
BB/KC Squeeze	Volatility		—	No squeeze — Bollinger Bands are outside Keltner Channels, normal volatility conditions. The Squeeze indicator is widely used to anticipate explosive moves. When the squeeze releases, the direction of the breakout determines whether to go long or short.
5d Rolling Vol	Volatility	1.57	—	5-day rolling volatility is 1.57%. Normal (1-2%) — typical daily fluctuation. This was the 5th most important ML feature for predicting NEPSE returns.
Mass Index	Volatility	37.24	—	Mass Index is 37.24. REVERSAL BULGE — value exceeded 27, which often precedes a trend reversal. Watch for the index to drop back below 26.5 to confirm.
Ulcer Index	Volatility	5.30	—	Ulcer Index is 5.30 (moderate drawdown stress). It measures downside volatility by tracking the depth and duration of drawdowns from recent highs. Lower is better — values below 5 indicate a smooth uptrend, above 10 suggests painful drawdowns.
Donchian (20)	Volatility	1211.00	Buy	Price is at 2.7% of the 20-day Donchian Channel (Upper: 1211.00, Lower: 1102.10). Near the bottom — potential support area. A break below could signal a new downtrend.
MFI (14)	Volume	48.58	Neutral	MFI is 48.6. Normal range. Money Flow Index combines price and volume to measure buying/selling pressure. Unlike RSI which only uses price, MFI factors in volume for stronger signals.
CMF (20)	Volume	-0.04	Sell	CMF is -0.0387. Negative — money is flowing OUT of the stock ({strength} distribution). Sellers dominate with volume support. CMF above +0.1 or below -0.1 is a strong signal. Near zero means balanced buying/selling.
OBV Trend	Volume	—	Sell	OBV is falling over the last 20 days. Falling OBV suggests volume is declining or moving to sellers — bearish divergence if price is still rising. OBV adds volume on up-days and subtracts on down-days. The direction matters more than the absolute number.
VWAP	Volume	1105.00	Sell	VWAP is NPR 1105.00. Price is NPR 0.0 below VWAP. Price below VWAP means the average buyer is at a loss — bearish. VWAP acts as resistance.
Elder Force (13)	Volume	-14066.58	Sell	EFI is -14,067. Negative — selling force exceeds buying force. Large negative values indicate aggressive selling. Elder Force Index combines price direction with volume to measure the force behind moves.