NMBD89/90

Bond

NMB Debenture 10.75%-2089/90

Rs. 1415.00 +5.00 (+0.35%)

Open: 1415
High: 1415
Low: 1415
Prev close: 1410
Volume: --
Turnover: 141,500
52W high: 1460.00
52W low: 1192.00

52-week range1192.00 – 1460.00

NSA Score

Neutral

Buy

Neutral

Sell

Trend · Bullish 70

Momentum · Neutral 52

Volume · Neutral 46

Volatility · Neutral 51

Fibonacci Retracement (60-day swing)

Swing High 1460.0 · Swing Low 1192.0

0	1460.0
0.236	1396.75
0.382	1357.62
0.5	1326.0
0.618	1294.38
0.786	1249.35
1.0	1192.0

Pivot Points

1415.0

Pivot Point

1415.0

Indicator	Category	Value	Signal	Why
EMA 13	Moving Averages	1340.06	Buy	Price is NPR 74.94 (5.59%) above EMA 13. 13-day Exponential MA. Optimal for NEPSE (30% CAGR in backtest). Reacts fast to price changes.
EMA 20	Moving Averages	1329.68	Buy	Price is NPR 85.32 (6.42%) above EMA 20. 20-day EMA. Standard short-term trend filter used by most traders.
EMA 50	Moving Averages	1298.11	Buy	Price is NPR 116.89 (9.0%) above EMA 50. 50-day EMA. Medium-term trend. A cross of EMA 13 above EMA 50 is a strong buy signal for NEPSE.
SMA 13	Moving Averages	1343.89	Buy	Price is NPR 71.11 (5.29%) above SMA 13. 13-day Simple MA. Research shows this period gives the best risk-adjusted return on NEPSE (Sharpe 1.71).
SMA 20	Moving Averages	1321.98	Buy	Price is NPR 93.02 (7.04%) above SMA 20. 20-day SMA. Also the mid-line of Bollinger Bands. Acts as dynamic support/resistance.
SMA 50	Moving Averages	1297.80	Buy	Price is NPR 117.2 (9.03%) above SMA 50. 50-day SMA. Institutional-level trend gauge. Widely watched by NEPSE fund managers.
SMA 200	Moving Averages	—	—	Not enough data to compute. 200-day SMA. The dividing line between bull and bear markets. Price above = long-term bullish.
MACD (12,26,9)	Trend	6.48	Buy	MACD line (18.77) is above Signal (12.29). Histogram: 6.48 (expanding). Bullish momentum is building — MACD crossing above signal is a buy trigger. Note: Standard 12-26-9 parameters tend to underperform buy-and-hold on NEPSE. Check the optimized MACD below.
MACD (34,72,3)	Trend	—	—	Insufficient data. This MACD uses longer periods (34,72,3) optimized for frontier markets like NEPSE.
SuperTrend (7,3)	Trend	1264.78	Buy	SuperTrend line is at NPR 1264.78 (support). Price is NPR 150.22 above the line. Uptrend confirmed — the line acts as trailing support. A break below would flip to Sell. SuperTrend works well in trending NEPSE markets driven by herd behavior.
Parabolic SAR	Trend	1239.13	Buy	SAR dot is below price at NPR 1239.13 (bullish). Acts as a trailing stop — if price drops below 1239.13, the trend flips bearish. Good for setting stop-loss levels.
ADX (14)	Trend	21.28	Buy	ADX is 21.3 (Developing trend). +DI=58.2, -DI=35.3. Bulls dominate — +DI is above -DI. The trend is weak — range-bound strategies may work better than trend-following.
Ichimoku Cloud	Trend	—	—	Ichimoku Cloud is a complete trend system showing support, resistance, momentum and trend direction in one view.
Aroon (25)	Trend	36.00	Neutral	Aroon Up=64, Down=28. No clear trend. Aroon measures how recently the price hit a 25-day high (Up) or low (Down). Values above 70 confirm a trend.
DPO (20)	Trend	-17.98	Sell	DPO is -17.98. Negative — price is below its detrended average, suggesting a cyclical downturn. DPO removes long-term trend to show underlying cycles. Useful for timing entries within an existing trend.
RSI (14)	Momentum	58.32	Neutral	RSI is 58.3 — neutral zone. Standard zones are 70/30 but NEPSE research shows 60/40 zones work better due to strong momentum/herd behavior in Nepal's market. No extreme reading — RSI is not giving a strong signal on its own. Use with other indicators. RSI was the 2nd most important feature in ML models predicting NEPSE (arXiv 2026).
Stochastic (14,3,3)	Momentum	78.20	Buy	%K=78.2, %D=53.3. Bullish — %K is above %D, suggesting upward momentum. Stochastic compares closing price to its range over 14 days.
Stochastic RSI	Momentum	62.55	Neutral	StochRSI %K=62.6, %D=43.7. Mid-range — no extreme signal. StochRSI is a momentum indicator of RSI itself, making it more responsive than plain RSI.
CCI (20)	Momentum	103.97	Sell	CCI is 104.0 (overbought). Above +100 means price is well above its statistical average — potential topping. CCI measures how far price has deviated from its mean. Works well for identifying cyclical stocks in NEPSE.
Williams %R (14)	Momentum	-18.99	Sell	Williams %R is -19.0. Overbought zone (above -20). Price is near the top of its 14-day range. Often signals a short-term pullback is coming.
ROC (12)	Momentum	8.43	Buy	ROC is 8.43%. Price has gained 8.43% over the last 12 days. Positive momentum — buyers have been in control recently. Strong momentum (>5%) suggests trend acceleration.
TRIX (15)	Momentum	0.14	Buy	TRIX is 0.1448. Positive — triple-smoothed momentum confirms uptrend. TRIX filters out minor price fluctuations by applying three rounds of smoothing. Good for confirming the major trend direction and filtering noise in NEPSE's often-volatile daily movements.
Awesome Oscillator	Momentum	23.77	Buy	AO is 23.77. Positive — short-term momentum (5-bar) exceeds long-term (34-bar), indicating bullish pressure. Watch for zero-line crossovers — crossing above zero is a buy, below is a sell. Twin peaks divergence is also a strong signal.
Ultimate Osc (7,14,28)	Momentum	55.95	Neutral	UO is 56.0. Mid-range. The Ultimate Oscillator blends 7, 14, and 28-day periods to reduce false signals that plague single-period oscillators.
PPO (12,26)	Momentum	1.90	Buy	PPO is 1.90%, Histogram: 0.25. Positive — 12-day EMA is above 26-day EMA in percentage terms, confirming upward momentum. PPO is like MACD but expressed as a percentage, making it easier to compare across different price levels.
Coppock Curve	Momentum	7.56	Buy	Coppock is 7.56. Positive — originally designed to identify long-term buying opportunities. A turn from negative to positive is historically one of the most reliable buy signals. This indicator was designed for monthly charts but works on daily data too. Best for identifying major trend changes in NEPSE.
10d Rolling Mean	Momentum	1343.76	Buy	10-day rolling mean is NPR 1343.76. Price is NPR 71.24 above. This was the #1 most predictive feature in XGBoost ML models for NEPSE (arXiv 2026). Price above the 10-day mean suggests short-term bullish momentum.
ATR (14)	Volatility	46.67	—	ATR is NPR 46.67 (3.3% of price). This means the stock typically moves NPR 46.67 per day. High volatility (>3%) — wider stop-losses needed, larger position risk. Use ATR to set stop-losses: a common approach is 2x ATR (NPR 93.35) below entry.
Bollinger %B	Volatility	0.80	Neutral	BB %B is 0.80 (band position 80%). Bandwidth: 23.79%. Price is within normal range of the bands.
BB/KC Squeeze	Volatility		—	No squeeze — Bollinger Bands are outside Keltner Channels, normal volatility conditions. The Squeeze indicator is widely used to anticipate explosive moves. When the squeeze releases, the direction of the breakout determines whether to go long or short.
5d Rolling Vol	Volatility	6.57	—	5-day rolling volatility is 6.57%. Elevated (>2%) — above-normal swings. Be cautious with position sizes. This was the 5th most important ML feature for predicting NEPSE returns.
Mass Index	Volatility	29.23	—	Mass Index is 29.23. REVERSAL BULGE — value exceeded 27, which often precedes a trend reversal. Watch for the index to drop back below 26.5 to confirm.
Ulcer Index	Volatility	8.60	—	Ulcer Index is 8.60 (moderate drawdown stress). It measures downside volatility by tracking the depth and duration of drawdowns from recent highs. Lower is better — values below 5 indicate a smooth uptrend, above 10 suggests painful drawdowns.
Donchian (20)	Volatility	1460.00	Sell	Price is at 82.3% of the 20-day Donchian Channel (Upper: 1460.00, Lower: 1206.00). Near the top of the channel — a breakout above could signal continuation, but also overbought risk.
MFI (14)	Volume	6.04	Buy	MFI is 6.0. Oversold — selling pressure with volume is extreme. Potential buying opportunity as selling may be exhausted.
CMF (20)	Volume	-0.21	Sell	CMF is -0.2139. Negative — money is flowing OUT of the stock ({strength} distribution). Sellers dominate with volume support. CMF above +0.1 or below -0.1 is a strong signal. Near zero means balanced buying/selling.
OBV Trend	Volume	—	Sell	OBV is falling over the last 20 days. Falling OBV suggests volume is declining or moving to sellers — bearish divergence if price is still rising. OBV adds volume on up-days and subtracts on down-days. The direction matters more than the absolute number.
VWAP	Volume	1415.00	Sell	VWAP is NPR 1415.00. Price is NPR 0.0 below VWAP. Price below VWAP means the average buyer is at a loss — bearish. VWAP acts as resistance.
Elder Force (13)	Volume	402268.96	Buy	EFI is 402,269. Positive — buying force (price change x volume) exceeds selling force. Large positive values mean strong institutional buying. Elder Force Index combines price direction with volume to measure the force behind moves.