PBD84

Bond

10.15% Prime Debenture 2084

Rs. 1037.09 -12.91 (-1.23%)

Open: 1038
High: 1038
Low: 1037.09
Prev close: 1050
Volume: --
Turnover: 25,937
52W high: 1182.00
52W low: 1037.10

52-week range1037.10 – 1182.00

10.15% Prime Debenture 2084 (PBD84) is listed on the Nepal Stock Exchange (NEPSE) in the Bond sector. At the latest close, the PBD84 share price was Rs 1,037.09 (-1.23%). Over the past year it has traded between Rs 1,037.10 and Rs 1,182.00. Its SA Score is 31 out of 100 (Sell): of 39 technical indicators, 10 point to buy, 16 to sell and 13 are neutral.

SA Score

Sell

Buy

Neutral

Sell

Trend · Slightly Bearish 34

Momentum · Neutral 51

Volume · Slightly Bearish 43

Volatility · Slightly Bearish 43

Fibonacci Retracement (60-day swing)

Swing High 1182.0 · Swing Low 1037.1

0	1182.0
0.236	1147.8
0.382	1126.65
0.5	1109.55
0.618	1092.45
0.786	1068.11
1.0	1037.1

Pivot Points

1038.6

1038.3

1037.7

1036.8

1036.5

1035.9

Pivot Point

1037.4

Indicator	Category	Value	Signal	Why
EMA 13	Moving Averages	1066.75	Sell	Price is NPR 29.65 (2.78%) below EMA 13. 13-day Exponential MA. Optimal for NEPSE (30% CAGR in backtest). Reacts fast to price changes.
EMA 20	Moving Averages	1075.13	Sell	Price is NPR 38.03 (3.54%) below EMA 20. 20-day EMA. Standard short-term trend filter used by most traders.
EMA 50	Moving Averages	1099.01	Sell	Price is NPR 61.91 (5.63%) below EMA 50. 50-day EMA. Medium-term trend. A cross of EMA 13 above EMA 50 is a strong buy signal for NEPSE.
SMA 13	Moving Averages	1073.03	Sell	Price is NPR 35.93 (3.35%) below SMA 13. 13-day Simple MA. Research shows this period gives the best risk-adjusted return on NEPSE (Sharpe 1.71).
SMA 20	Moving Averages	1077.88	Sell	Price is NPR 40.78 (3.78%) below SMA 20. 20-day SMA. Also the mid-line of Bollinger Bands. Acts as dynamic support/resistance.
SMA 50	Moving Averages	1107.63	Sell	Price is NPR 70.53 (6.37%) below SMA 50. 50-day SMA. Institutional-level trend gauge. Widely watched by NEPSE fund managers.
SMA 200	Moving Averages	—	—	Not enough data to compute. 200-day SMA. The dividing line between bull and bear markets. Price above = long-term bullish.
MACD (12,26,9)	Trend	-3.36	Sell	MACD line (-15.26) is below Signal (-11.90). Histogram: -3.36 (expanding). Bearish pressure — MACD below signal suggests selling momentum. Note: Standard 12-26-9 parameters tend to underperform buy-and-hold on NEPSE. Check the optimized MACD below.
MACD (34,72,3)	Trend	—	—	Insufficient data. This MACD uses longer periods (34,72,3) optimized for frontier markets like NEPSE.
SuperTrend (7,3)	Trend	1095.17	Sell	SuperTrend line is at NPR 1095.17 (resistance). Price is NPR 58.07 below the line. Downtrend active — the line acts as resistance overhead. A break above would flip to Buy. SuperTrend works well in trending NEPSE markets driven by herd behavior.
Parabolic SAR	Trend	1077.77	Buy	SAR dot is below price at NPR 1077.77 (bullish). Acts as a trailing stop — if price drops below 1077.77, the trend flips bearish. Good for setting stop-loss levels.
ADX (14)	Trend	11.64	Buy	ADX is 11.6 (Weak/absent trend). +DI=42.7, -DI=41.9. Bulls dominate — +DI is above -DI. The trend is weak — range-bound strategies may work better than trend-following.
Ichimoku Cloud	Trend	1069.55	Neutral	Tenkan=1069.55, Kijun=1093.05 (bearish cross). Price is inside the cloud (indecisive). Mixed signals — wait for clearer direction.
Aroon (25)	Trend	-56.00	Neutral	Aroon Up=44, Down=100. No clear trend. Aroon measures how recently the price hit a 25-day high (Up) or low (Down). Values above 70 confirm a trend.
DPO (20)	Trend	7.13	Buy	DPO is 7.12. Positive — price is above its 20-day detrended average, suggesting current cycle is in an upswing. DPO removes long-term trend to show underlying cycles. Useful for timing entries within an existing trend.
RSI (14)	Momentum	40.44	Neutral	RSI is 40.4 — neutral zone. Standard zones are 70/30 but NEPSE research shows 60/40 zones work better due to strong momentum/herd behavior in Nepal's market. No extreme reading — RSI is not giving a strong signal on its own. Use with other indicators. RSI was the 2nd most important feature in ML models predicting NEPSE (arXiv 2026).
Stochastic (14,3,3)	Momentum	15.66	Buy	%K=15.7, %D=14.8. Oversold — price is near the bottom of its 14-day range. Watch for %K crossing above %D for a buy entry.
Stochastic RSI	Momentum	38.22	Neutral	StochRSI %K=38.2, %D=31.1. Mid-range — no extreme signal. StochRSI is a momentum indicator of RSI itself, making it more responsive than plain RSI.
CCI (20)	Momentum	-153.63	Buy	CCI is -153.6 (oversold). Below -100 means price is well below average — potential bottoming. CCI measures how far price has deviated from its mean. Works well for identifying cyclical stocks in NEPSE.
Williams %R (14)	Momentum	-100.00	Buy	Williams %R is -100.0. Oversold zone (below -80). Price is near the bottom of its 14-day range. May bounce — but confirm with other indicators before buying.
ROC (12)	Momentum	-6.57	Sell	ROC is -6.57%. Price has lost 6.57% over the last 12 days. Negative momentum — selling pressure over the past 12 trading sessions. Strong momentum (>5%) suggests trend acceleration.
TRIX (15)	Momentum	-0.16	Sell	TRIX is -0.1617. Negative — triple-smoothed momentum confirms downtrend. TRIX filters out minor price fluctuations by applying three rounds of smoothing. Good for confirming the major trend direction and filtering noise in NEPSE's often-volatile daily movements.
Awesome Oscillator	Momentum	-45.40	Sell	AO is -45.40. Negative — long-term momentum exceeds short-term, indicating bearish pressure. Watch for zero-line crossovers — crossing above zero is a buy, below is a sell. Twin peaks divergence is also a strong signal.
Ultimate Osc (7,14,28)	Momentum	32.21	Neutral	UO is 32.2. Mid-range. The Ultimate Oscillator blends 7, 14, and 28-day periods to reduce false signals that plague single-period oscillators.
PPO (12,26)	Momentum	-1.12	Sell	PPO is -1.12%, Histogram: -0.26. Negative — short-term EMA is below long-term, indicating downward pressure. PPO is like MACD but expressed as a percentage, making it easier to compare across different price levels.
Coppock Curve	Momentum	-6.04	Sell	Coppock is -6.04. Negative — long-term momentum is bearish. Wait for it to turn positive before considering long positions. This indicator was designed for monthly charts but works on daily data too. Best for identifying major trend changes in NEPSE.
10d Rolling Mean	Momentum	1065.44	Sell	10-day rolling mean is NPR 1065.44. Price is NPR 28.34 below. This was the #1 most predictive feature in XGBoost ML models for NEPSE (arXiv 2026). Price below the 10-day mean suggests short-term bearish momentum.
ATR (14)	Volatility	18.99	—	ATR is NPR 18.99 (1.83% of price). This means the stock typically moves NPR 18.99 per day. Moderate volatility — normal trading conditions. Use ATR to set stop-losses: a common approach is 2x ATR (NPR 37.98) below entry.
Bollinger %B	Volatility	0.04	Buy	BB %B is 0.04 — price is in the lower 20% of the bands. Approaching oversold. Bandwidth: 8.23%.
BB/KC Squeeze	Volatility		—	No squeeze — Bollinger Bands are outside Keltner Channels, normal volatility conditions. The Squeeze indicator is widely used to anticipate explosive moves. When the squeeze releases, the direction of the breakout determines whether to go long or short.
5d Rolling Vol	Volatility	2.76	—	5-day rolling volatility is 2.76%. Elevated (>2%) — above-normal swings. Be cautious with position sizes. This was the 5th most important ML feature for predicting NEPSE returns.
Mass Index	Volatility	24.74	—	Mass Index is 24.74. Below 27 — no reversal bulge detected. Mass Index identifies trend reversals by measuring the range between high and low prices.
Ulcer Index	Volatility	4.24	—	Ulcer Index is 4.24 (low drawdown stress). It measures downside volatility by tracking the depth and duration of drawdowns from recent highs. Lower is better — values below 5 indicate a smooth uptrend, above 10 suggests painful drawdowns.
Donchian (20)	Volatility	1149.00	Buy	Price is at 0.0% of the 20-day Donchian Channel (Upper: 1149.00, Lower: 1037.10). Near the bottom — potential support area. A break below could signal a new downtrend.
MFI (14)	Volume	62.84	Neutral	MFI is 62.8. Normal range. Money Flow Index combines price and volume to measure buying/selling pressure. Unlike RSI which only uses price, MFI factors in volume for stronger signals.
CMF (20)	Volume	-0.96	Sell	CMF is -0.9614. Negative — money is flowing OUT of the stock ({strength} distribution). Sellers dominate with volume support. CMF above +0.1 or below -0.1 is a strong signal. Near zero means balanced buying/selling.
OBV Trend	Volume	—	Buy	OBV is rising over the last 20 days. Rising OBV confirms price increases are backed by volume — the uptrend is healthy. OBV adds volume on up-days and subtracts on down-days. The direction matters more than the absolute number.
VWAP	Volume	1037.40	Sell	VWAP is NPR 1037.40. Price is NPR 0.3 below VWAP. Price below VWAP means the average buyer is at a loss — bearish. VWAP acts as resistance.
Elder Force (13)	Volume	8063.43	Buy	EFI is 8,063. Positive — buying force (price change x volume) exceeds selling force. Large positive values mean strong institutional buying. Elder Force Index combines price direction with volume to measure the force behind moves.