PBD93

Bond

6.25% Prime Bank Debenture 2093

Rs. 1136.00 -24.00 (-2.07%)

Open: 1135.09
High: 1140
Low: 1135.09
Prev close: 1160
Volume: --
Turnover: 941,232
52W high: 1160.00
52W low: 996.00

52-week range996.00 – 1160.00

NSA Score

Neutral

Buy

Neutral

Sell

Trend · Bullish 78

Momentum · Neutral 45

Volume · Slightly Bullish 55

Volatility · Neutral 48

Fibonacci Retracement (60-day swing)

Swing High 1160.0 · Swing Low 996.0

0	1160.0
0.236	1121.3
0.382	1097.35
0.5	1078.0
0.618	1058.65
0.786	1031.1
1.0	996.0

Pivot Points

1143.87

1141.93

1138.97

1134.07

1132.13

1129.17

Pivot Point

1137.03

Indicator	Category	Value	Signal	Why
EMA 13	Moving Averages	1111.69	Buy	Price is NPR 24.31 (2.19%) above EMA 13. 13-day Exponential MA. Optimal for NEPSE (30% CAGR in backtest). Reacts fast to price changes.
EMA 20	Moving Averages	1089.25	Buy	Price is NPR 46.76 (4.29%) above EMA 20. 20-day EMA. Standard short-term trend filter used by most traders.
EMA 50	Moving Averages	—	—	Not enough data to compute. 50-day EMA. Medium-term trend. A cross of EMA 13 above EMA 50 is a strong buy signal for NEPSE.
SMA 13	Moving Averages	1117.68	Buy	Price is NPR 18.32 (1.64%) above SMA 13. 13-day Simple MA. Research shows this period gives the best risk-adjusted return on NEPSE (Sharpe 1.71).
SMA 20	Moving Averages	1089.25	Buy	Price is NPR 46.76 (4.29%) above SMA 20. 20-day SMA. Also the mid-line of Bollinger Bands. Acts as dynamic support/resistance.
SMA 50	Moving Averages	—	—	Not enough data to compute. 50-day SMA. Institutional-level trend gauge. Widely watched by NEPSE fund managers.
SMA 200	Moving Averages	—	—	Not enough data to compute. 200-day SMA. The dividing line between bull and bear markets. Price above = long-term bullish.
MACD (12,26,9)	Trend	—	—	Insufficient data. MACD measures the relationship between two EMAs to identify trend changes.
MACD (34,72,3)	Trend	—	—	Insufficient data. This MACD uses longer periods (34,72,3) optimized for frontier markets like NEPSE.
SuperTrend (7,3)	Trend	994.90	Buy	SuperTrend line is at NPR 994.90 (support). Price is NPR 141.1 above the line. Uptrend confirmed — the line acts as trailing support. A break below would flip to Sell. SuperTrend works well in trending NEPSE markets driven by herd behavior.
Parabolic SAR	Trend	1065.42	Buy	SAR dot is below price at NPR 1065.42 (bullish). Acts as a trailing stop — if price drops below 1065.42, the trend flips bearish. Good for setting stop-loss levels.
ADX (14)	Trend	—	—	ADX measures how strong the current trend is (not direction). Above 25 = strong trend, below 20 = no trend.
Ichimoku Cloud	Trend	—	—	Ichimoku Cloud is a complete trend system showing support, resistance, momentum and trend direction in one view.
Aroon (25)	Trend	—	—	Aroon identifies whether a security is trending and how strong the trend is by measuring time since the last high/low.
DPO (20)	Trend	-21.25	Sell	DPO is -21.25. Negative — price is below its detrended average, suggesting a cyclical downturn. DPO removes long-term trend to show underlying cycles. Useful for timing entries within an existing trend.
RSI (14)	Momentum	60.55	Sell	RSI is 60.6 — overbought (NEPSE-adjusted zone). Standard zones are 70/30 but NEPSE research shows 60/40 zones work better due to strong momentum/herd behavior in Nepal's market. Price may be stretched — a pullback is likely. Consider taking profits. RSI was the 2nd most important feature in ML models predicting NEPSE (arXiv 2026).
Stochastic (14,3,3)	Momentum	86.18	Sell	%K=86.2, %D=85.0. Overbought — price is near the top of its 14-day range. A %K crossing below %D here would be a strong sell signal.
Stochastic RSI	Momentum	—	—	Stochastic RSI applies the Stochastic formula to RSI values. More sensitive than regular RSI for catching early reversals.
CCI (20)	Momentum	84.48	Neutral	CCI is 84.5 (normal range). Between -100 and +100 is normal — no extreme deviation from average price. CCI measures how far price has deviated from its mean. Works well for identifying cyclical stocks in NEPSE.
Williams %R (14)	Momentum	-14.63	Sell	Williams %R is -14.6. Overbought zone (above -20). Price is near the top of its 14-day range. Often signals a short-term pullback is coming.
ROC (12)	Momentum	6.19	Buy	ROC is 6.19%. Price has gained 6.19% over the last 12 days. Positive momentum — buyers have been in control recently. Strong momentum (>5%) suggests trend acceleration.
TRIX (15)	Momentum	0.10	Buy	TRIX is 0.1039. Positive — triple-smoothed momentum confirms uptrend. TRIX filters out minor price fluctuations by applying three rounds of smoothing. Good for confirming the major trend direction and filtering noise in NEPSE's often-volatile daily movements.
Awesome Oscillator	Momentum	—	—	Awesome Oscillator compares 5-period and 34-period midpoint SMAs. Positive = bullish momentum, negative = bearish.
Ultimate Osc (7,14,28)	Momentum	—	—	Ultimate Oscillator combines three timeframes (7, 14, 28) to reduce false signals. Above 70 = overbought, below 30 = oversold.
PPO (12,26)	Momentum	—	—	PPO is the percentage difference between two EMAs. Like MACD but normalized — easier to compare across different stocks.
Coppock Curve	Momentum	—	—	Coppock Curve is a long-term momentum indicator originally designed to signal the start of bull markets.
10d Rolling Mean	Momentum	1132.71	Buy	10-day rolling mean is NPR 1132.71. Price is NPR 3.29 above. This was the #1 most predictive feature in XGBoost ML models for NEPSE (arXiv 2026). Price above the 10-day mean suggests short-term bullish momentum.
ATR (14)	Volatility	48.75	—	ATR is NPR 48.75 (4.29% of price). This means the stock typically moves NPR 48.75 per day. High volatility (>3%) — wider stop-losses needed, larger position risk. Use ATR to set stop-losses: a common approach is 2x ATR (NPR 97.50) below entry.
Bollinger %B	Volatility	0.75	Neutral	BB %B is 0.75 (band position 75%). Bandwidth: 17.13%. Price is within normal range of the bands.
BB/KC Squeeze	Volatility		—	SQUEEZE ACTIVE — Bollinger Bands are inside Keltner Channels. This means volatility is very low and a big move is coming. Prepare for a breakout. The Squeeze indicator is widely used to anticipate explosive moves. When the squeeze releases, the direction of the breakout determines whether to go long or short.
5d Rolling Vol	Volatility	2.73	—	5-day rolling volatility is 2.73%. Elevated (>2%) — above-normal swings. Be cautious with position sizes. This was the 5th most important ML feature for predicting NEPSE returns.
Mass Index	Volatility	—	—	Mass Index detects trend reversals by looking at expanding and contracting price ranges. A 'reversal bulge' above 27 then below 26.5 signals a reversal.
Ulcer Index	Volatility	—	—	Ulcer Index measures downside risk by tracking drawdowns from recent peaks. Lower = smoother ride for investors.
Donchian (20)	Volatility	1160.00	Sell	Price is at 85.4% of the 20-day Donchian Channel (Upper: 1160.00, Lower: 996.00). Near the top of the channel — a breakout above could signal continuation, but also overbought risk.
MFI (14)	Volume	63.61	Neutral	MFI is 63.6. Normal range. Money Flow Index combines price and volume to measure buying/selling pressure. Unlike RSI which only uses price, MFI factors in volume for stronger signals.
CMF (20)	Volume	0.25	Buy	CMF is 0.2473. Positive — money is flowing INTO the stock ({strength} accumulation). Buyers are in control with volume backing them. CMF above +0.1 or below -0.1 is a strong signal. Near zero means balanced buying/selling.
OBV Trend	Volume	—	Sell	OBV is falling over the last 20 days. Falling OBV suggests volume is declining or moving to sellers — bearish divergence if price is still rising. OBV adds volume on up-days and subtracts on down-days. The direction matters more than the absolute number.
VWAP	Volume	1137.03	Sell	VWAP is NPR 1137.03. Price is NPR 1.03 below VWAP. Price below VWAP means the average buyer is at a loss — bearish. VWAP acts as resistance.
Elder Force (13)	Volume	142224.15	Buy	EFI is 142,224. Positive — buying force (price change x volume) exceeds selling force. Large positive values mean strong institutional buying. Elder Force Index combines price direction with volume to measure the force behind moves.