PBLD87

Bond

8.5% Prabhu Bank Debenture 2087

Rs. 1140.00 +5.00 (+0.44%)

Open: 1135
High: 1140
Low: 1135
Prev close: 1135
Volume: --
Turnover: 170,875
52W high: 1150.00
52W low: 1043.00

52-week range1043.00 – 1150.00

NSA Score

Neutral

Buy

Neutral

Sell

Trend · Slightly Bullish 62

Momentum · Slightly Bearish 41

Volume · Bullish 71

Volatility · Neutral 48

Fibonacci Retracement (60-day swing)

Swing High 1150.0 · Swing Low 1043.0

0	1150.0
0.236	1124.75
0.382	1109.13
0.5	1096.5
0.618	1083.87
0.786	1065.9
1.0	1043.0

Pivot Points

1146.67

1143.33

1141.67

1136.67

1133.33

1131.67

Pivot Point

1138.33

Indicator	Category	Value	Signal	Why
EMA 13	Moving Averages	1113.53	Buy	Price is NPR 26.47 (2.38%) above EMA 13. 13-day Exponential MA. Optimal for NEPSE (30% CAGR in backtest). Reacts fast to price changes.
EMA 20	Moving Averages	1109.71	Buy	Price is NPR 30.29 (2.73%) above EMA 20. 20-day EMA. Standard short-term trend filter used by most traders.
EMA 50	Moving Averages	1105.05	Buy	Price is NPR 34.95 (3.16%) above EMA 50. 50-day EMA. Medium-term trend. A cross of EMA 13 above EMA 50 is a strong buy signal for NEPSE.
SMA 13	Moving Averages	1109.08	Buy	Price is NPR 30.92 (2.79%) above SMA 13. 13-day Simple MA. Research shows this period gives the best risk-adjusted return on NEPSE (Sharpe 1.71).
SMA 20	Moving Averages	1109.01	Buy	Price is NPR 30.99 (2.79%) above SMA 20. 20-day SMA. Also the mid-line of Bollinger Bands. Acts as dynamic support/resistance.
SMA 50	Moving Averages	1098.80	Buy	Price is NPR 41.2 (3.75%) above SMA 50. 50-day SMA. Institutional-level trend gauge. Widely watched by NEPSE fund managers.
SMA 200	Moving Averages	—	—	Not enough data to compute. 200-day SMA. The dividing line between bull and bear markets. Price above = long-term bullish.
MACD (12,26,9)	Trend	3.46	Buy	MACD line (6.61) is above Signal (3.15). Histogram: 3.46 (expanding). Bullish momentum is building — MACD crossing above signal is a buy trigger. Note: Standard 12-26-9 parameters tend to underperform buy-and-hold on NEPSE. Check the optimized MACD below.
MACD (34,72,3)	Trend	0.81	Buy	MACD(2.65) vs Signal(1.84), Histogram: 0.81. Bullish — momentum favors buyers. These parameters (34,72,3) were validated on frontier markets like Dubai (85% hit ratio) and are better suited for NEPSE's slower cycles than standard MACD.
SuperTrend (7,3)	Trend	1083.55	Buy	SuperTrend line is at NPR 1083.55 (support). Price is NPR 56.45 above the line. Uptrend confirmed — the line acts as trailing support. A break below would flip to Sell. SuperTrend works well in trending NEPSE markets driven by herd behavior.
Parabolic SAR	Trend	1070.10	Buy	SAR dot is below price at NPR 1070.10 (bullish). Acts as a trailing stop — if price drops below 1070.10, the trend flips bearish. Good for setting stop-loss levels.
ADX (14)	Trend	8.64	Buy	ADX is 8.6 (Weak/absent trend). +DI=45.2, -DI=33.9. Bulls dominate — +DI is above -DI. The trend is weak — range-bound strategies may work better than trend-following.
Ichimoku Cloud	Trend	1105.05	Neutral	Tenkan=1105.05, Kijun=1110.05 (bearish cross). Price is above the cloud (bullish). Mixed signals — wait for clearer direction.
Aroon (25)	Trend	-32.00	Neutral	Aroon Up=40, Down=72. No clear trend. Aroon measures how recently the price hit a 25-day high (Up) or low (Down). Values above 70 confirm a trend.
DPO (20)	Trend	-8.01	Sell	DPO is -8.01. Negative — price is below its detrended average, suggesting a cyclical downturn. DPO removes long-term trend to show underlying cycles. Useful for timing entries within an existing trend.
RSI (14)	Momentum	57.41	Neutral	RSI is 57.4 — neutral zone. Standard zones are 70/30 but NEPSE research shows 60/40 zones work better due to strong momentum/herd behavior in Nepal's market. No extreme reading — RSI is not giving a strong signal on its own. Use with other indicators. RSI was the 2nd most important feature in ML models predicting NEPSE (arXiv 2026).
Stochastic (14,3,3)	Momentum	87.48	Sell	%K=87.5, %D=65.9. Overbought — price is near the top of its 14-day range. A %K crossing below %D here would be a strong sell signal.
Stochastic RSI	Momentum	82.92	Sell	StochRSI %K=82.9. Overbought — more sensitive than regular RSI. A drop below 80 would confirm a sell signal. This is RSI applied to itself, making it faster at catching turning points.
CCI (20)	Momentum	116.06	Sell	CCI is 116.1 (overbought). Above +100 means price is well above its statistical average — potential topping. CCI measures how far price has deviated from its mean. Works well for identifying cyclical stocks in NEPSE.
Williams %R (14)	Momentum	0.00	Sell	Williams %R is 0.0. Overbought zone (above -20). Price is near the top of its 14-day range. Often signals a short-term pullback is coming.
ROC (12)	Momentum	0.45	Buy	ROC is 0.45%. Price has gained 0.45% over the last 12 days. Positive momentum — buyers have been in control recently.
TRIX (15)	Momentum	0.04	Buy	TRIX is 0.0429. Positive — triple-smoothed momentum confirms uptrend. TRIX filters out minor price fluctuations by applying three rounds of smoothing. Good for confirming the major trend direction and filtering noise in NEPSE's often-volatile daily movements.
Awesome Oscillator	Momentum	12.59	Buy	AO is 12.59. Positive — short-term momentum (5-bar) exceeds long-term (34-bar), indicating bullish pressure. Watch for zero-line crossovers — crossing above zero is a buy, below is a sell. Twin peaks divergence is also a strong signal.
Ultimate Osc (7,14,28)	Momentum	66.07	Neutral	UO is 66.1. Mid-range. The Ultimate Oscillator blends 7, 14, and 28-day periods to reduce false signals that plague single-period oscillators.
PPO (12,26)	Momentum	0.17	Buy	PPO is 0.17%, Histogram: -0.19. Positive — 12-day EMA is above 26-day EMA in percentage terms, confirming upward momentum. PPO is like MACD but expressed as a percentage, making it easier to compare across different price levels.
Coppock Curve	Momentum	0.77	Buy	Coppock is 0.77. Positive — originally designed to identify long-term buying opportunities. A turn from negative to positive is historically one of the most reliable buy signals. This indicator was designed for monthly charts but works on daily data too. Best for identifying major trend changes in NEPSE.
10d Rolling Mean	Momentum	1108.22	Buy	10-day rolling mean is NPR 1108.22. Price is NPR 31.78 above. This was the #1 most predictive feature in XGBoost ML models for NEPSE (arXiv 2026). Price above the 10-day mean suggests short-term bullish momentum.
ATR (14)	Volatility	20.08	—	ATR is NPR 20.08 (1.76% of price). This means the stock typically moves NPR 20.08 per day. Moderate volatility — normal trading conditions. Use ATR to set stop-losses: a common approach is 2x ATR (NPR 40.17) below entry.
Bollinger %B	Volatility	0.86	Sell	BB %B is 0.86 — price is in the upper 20% of the bands. Approaching overbought. Bandwidth: 7.73%.
BB/KC Squeeze	Volatility		—	No squeeze — Bollinger Bands are outside Keltner Channels, normal volatility conditions. The Squeeze indicator is widely used to anticipate explosive moves. When the squeeze releases, the direction of the breakout determines whether to go long or short.
5d Rolling Vol	Volatility	1.75	—	5-day rolling volatility is 1.75%. Normal (1-2%) — typical daily fluctuation. This was the 5th most important ML feature for predicting NEPSE returns.
Mass Index	Volatility	22.98	—	Mass Index is 22.98. Below 27 — no reversal bulge detected. Mass Index identifies trend reversals by measuring the range between high and low prices.
Ulcer Index	Volatility	4.03	—	Ulcer Index is 4.03 (low drawdown stress). It measures downside volatility by tracking the depth and duration of drawdowns from recent highs. Lower is better — values below 5 indicate a smooth uptrend, above 10 suggests painful drawdowns.
Donchian (20)	Volatility	1150.00	Sell	Price is at 87.5% of the 20-day Donchian Channel (Upper: 1150.00, Lower: 1070.10). Near the top of the channel — a breakout above could signal continuation, but also overbought risk.
MFI (14)	Volume	94.74	Sell	MFI is 94.7. Overbought — heavy buying volume has driven the indicator above 80. Smart money may start selling. MFI is like RSI but weighted by volume, making it more reliable for confirming price moves.
CMF (20)	Volume	0.51	Buy	CMF is 0.5072. Positive — money is flowing INTO the stock ({strength} accumulation). Buyers are in control with volume backing them. CMF above +0.1 or below -0.1 is a strong signal. Near zero means balanced buying/selling.
OBV Trend	Volume	—	Buy	OBV is rising over the last 20 days. Rising OBV confirms price increases are backed by volume — the uptrend is healthy. OBV adds volume on up-days and subtracts on down-days. The direction matters more than the absolute number.
VWAP	Volume	1138.33	Buy	VWAP is NPR 1138.33. Price is NPR 1.67 above VWAP. Price above VWAP means the average buyer is in profit — bullish. Institutional traders often use VWAP as a benchmark.
Elder Force (13)	Volume	101497.11	Buy	EFI is 101,497. Positive — buying force (price change x volume) exceeds selling force. Large positive values mean strong institutional buying. Elder Force Index combines price direction with volume to measure the force behind moves.