SHIVM

Manu.& Pro.

Shivam Cements Ltd

Rs. 686.00 +4.30 (+0.63%)

Open: 682
High: 690
Low: 680
Prev close: 681.7
Volume: 128,777
Turnover: 88,465,634
52W high: 737.10
52W low: 524.74

52-week range524.74 – 737.10

NSA Score

Neutral

Buy

Neutral

Sell

Trend · Slightly Bullish 65

Momentum · Slightly Bullish 59

Volume · Neutral 52

Volatility · Slightly Bullish 57

Fibonacci Retracement (60-day swing)

Swing High 737.1 · Swing Low 599.5

0	737.1
0.236	704.63
0.382	684.54
0.5	668.3
0.618	652.06
0.786	628.95
1.0	599.5

Pivot Points

700.67

695.33

690.67

680.67

675.33

670.67

Pivot Point

685.33

Indicator	Category	Value	Signal	Why
EMA 13	Moving Averages	680.08	Buy	Price is NPR 5.92 (0.87%) above EMA 13. 13-day Exponential MA. Optimal for NEPSE (30% CAGR in backtest). Reacts fast to price changes.
EMA 20	Moving Averages	676.84	Buy	Price is NPR 9.16 (1.35%) above EMA 20. 20-day EMA. Standard short-term trend filter used by most traders.
EMA 50	Moving Averages	664.57	Buy	Price is NPR 21.43 (3.22%) above EMA 50. 50-day EMA. Medium-term trend. A cross of EMA 13 above EMA 50 is a strong buy signal for NEPSE.
SMA 13	Moving Averages	684.35	Buy	Price is NPR 1.65 (0.24%) above SMA 13. 13-day Simple MA. Research shows this period gives the best risk-adjusted return on NEPSE (Sharpe 1.71).
SMA 20	Moving Averages	680.70	Buy	Price is NPR 5.3 (0.78%) above SMA 20. 20-day SMA. Also the mid-line of Bollinger Bands. Acts as dynamic support/resistance.
SMA 50	Moving Averages	656.77	Buy	Price is NPR 29.23 (4.45%) above SMA 50. 50-day SMA. Institutional-level trend gauge. Widely watched by NEPSE fund managers.
SMA 200	Moving Averages	646.31	Buy	Price is NPR 39.7 (6.14%) above SMA 200. 200-day SMA. The dividing line between bull and bear markets. Price above = long-term bullish.
MACD (12,26,9)	Trend	-2.04	Sell	MACD line (6.74) is below Signal (8.78). Histogram: -2.04 (expanding). Bearish pressure — MACD below signal suggests selling momentum. Note: Standard 12-26-9 parameters tend to underperform buy-and-hold on NEPSE. Check the optimized MACD below.
MACD (34,72,3)	Trend	0.15	Buy	MACD(9.59) vs Signal(9.44), Histogram: 0.15. Bullish — momentum favors buyers. These parameters (34,72,3) were validated on frontier markets like Dubai (85% hit ratio) and are better suited for NEPSE's slower cycles than standard MACD.
SuperTrend (7,3)	Trend	653.14	Buy	SuperTrend line is at NPR 653.14 (support). Price is NPR 32.86 above the line. Uptrend confirmed — the line acts as trailing support. A break below would flip to Sell. SuperTrend works well in trending NEPSE markets driven by herd behavior.
Parabolic SAR	Trend	682.23	Buy	SAR dot is below price at NPR 682.23 (bullish). Acts as a trailing stop — if price drops below 682.23, the trend flips bearish. Good for setting stop-loss levels.
ADX (14)	Trend	34.27	Buy	ADX is 34.3 (Strong trend). +DI=28.0, -DI=21.1. Bulls dominate — +DI is above -DI. The trend is strong enough to trade with confidence.
Ichimoku Cloud	Trend	667.70	Neutral	Tenkan=667.70, Kijun=687.75 (bearish cross). Price is above the cloud (bullish). Mixed signals — wait for clearer direction.
Aroon (25)	Trend	-24.00	Neutral	Aroon Up=64, Down=88. No clear trend. Aroon measures how recently the price hit a 25-day high (Up) or low (Down). Values above 70 confirm a trend.
DPO (20)	Trend	6.30	Buy	DPO is 6.30. Positive — price is above its 20-day detrended average, suggesting current cycle is in an upswing. DPO removes long-term trend to show underlying cycles. Useful for timing entries within an existing trend.
RSI (14)	Momentum	58.04	Neutral	RSI is 58.0 — neutral zone. Standard zones are 70/30 but NEPSE research shows 60/40 zones work better due to strong momentum/herd behavior in Nepal's market. No extreme reading — RSI is not giving a strong signal on its own. Use with other indicators. RSI was the 2nd most important feature in ML models predicting NEPSE (arXiv 2026).
Stochastic (14,3,3)	Momentum	41.71	Buy	%K=41.7, %D=36.2. Bullish — %K is above %D, suggesting upward momentum. Stochastic compares closing price to its range over 14 days.
Stochastic RSI	Momentum	20.94	Neutral	StochRSI %K=20.9, %D=13.0. Mid-range — no extreme signal. StochRSI is a momentum indicator of RSI itself, making it more responsive than plain RSI.
CCI (20)	Momentum	28.75	Neutral	CCI is 28.7 (normal range). Between -100 and +100 is normal — no extreme deviation from average price. CCI measures how far price has deviated from its mean. Works well for identifying cyclical stocks in NEPSE.
Williams %R (14)	Momentum	-51.77	Neutral	Williams %R is -51.8. Mid-range — no extreme reading. Ranges from 0 to -100 where -50 is the midpoint.
ROC (12)	Momentum	0.28	Buy	ROC is 0.28%. Price has gained 0.28% over the last 12 days. Positive momentum — buyers have been in control recently.
TRIX (15)	Momentum	0.21	Buy	TRIX is 0.2092. Positive — triple-smoothed momentum confirms uptrend. TRIX filters out minor price fluctuations by applying three rounds of smoothing. Good for confirming the major trend direction and filtering noise in NEPSE's often-volatile daily movements.
Awesome Oscillator	Momentum	7.62	Buy	AO is 7.62. Positive — short-term momentum (5-bar) exceeds long-term (34-bar), indicating bullish pressure. Watch for zero-line crossovers — crossing above zero is a buy, below is a sell. Twin peaks divergence is also a strong signal.
Ultimate Osc (7,14,28)	Momentum	55.51	Neutral	UO is 55.5. Mid-range. The Ultimate Oscillator blends 7, 14, and 28-day periods to reduce false signals that plague single-period oscillators.
PPO (12,26)	Momentum	1.23	Buy	PPO is 1.23%, Histogram: -0.86. Positive — 12-day EMA is above 26-day EMA in percentage terms, confirming upward momentum. PPO is like MACD but expressed as a percentage, making it easier to compare across different price levels.
Coppock Curve	Momentum	1.23	Buy	Coppock is 1.23. Positive — originally designed to identify long-term buying opportunities. A turn from negative to positive is historically one of the most reliable buy signals. This indicator was designed for monthly charts but works on daily data too. Best for identifying major trend changes in NEPSE.
10d Rolling Mean	Momentum	682.35	Buy	10-day rolling mean is NPR 682.35. Price is NPR 3.65 above. This was the #1 most predictive feature in XGBoost ML models for NEPSE (arXiv 2026). Price above the 10-day mean suggests short-term bullish momentum.
ATR (14)	Volatility	16.46	—	ATR is NPR 16.46 (2.4% of price). This means the stock typically moves NPR 16.46 per day. Moderate volatility — normal trading conditions. Use ATR to set stop-losses: a common approach is 2x ATR (NPR 32.93) below entry.
Bollinger %B	Volatility	0.62	Neutral	BB %B is 0.62 (band position 62%). Bandwidth: 6.31%. Price is within normal range of the bands.
BB/KC Squeeze	Volatility		—	SQUEEZE ACTIVE — Bollinger Bands are inside Keltner Channels. This means volatility is very low and a big move is coming. Prepare for a breakout. The Squeeze indicator is widely used to anticipate explosive moves. When the squeeze releases, the direction of the breakout determines whether to go long or short.
5d Rolling Vol	Volatility	1.22	—	5-day rolling volatility is 1.22%. Normal (1-2%) — typical daily fluctuation. This was the 5th most important ML feature for predicting NEPSE returns.
Mass Index	Volatility	24.88	—	Mass Index is 24.88. Below 27 — no reversal bulge detected. Mass Index identifies trend reversals by measuring the range between high and low prices.
Ulcer Index	Volatility	2.52	—	Ulcer Index is 2.52 (low drawdown stress). It measures downside volatility by tracking the depth and duration of drawdowns from recent highs. Lower is better — values below 5 indicate a smooth uptrend, above 10 suggests painful drawdowns.
Donchian (20)	Volatility	737.10	Neutral	Price is at 48.2% of the 20-day Donchian Channel (Upper: 737.10, Lower: 638.40). Mid-channel — no extreme position. Donchian channels show the highest high and lowest low over 20 days.
MFI (14)	Volume	65.35	Neutral	MFI is 65.3. Normal range. Money Flow Index combines price and volume to measure buying/selling pressure. Unlike RSI which only uses price, MFI factors in volume for stronger signals.
CMF (20)	Volume	-0.21	Sell	CMF is -0.2137. Negative — money is flowing OUT of the stock ({strength} distribution). Sellers dominate with volume support. CMF above +0.1 or below -0.1 is a strong signal. Near zero means balanced buying/selling.
OBV Trend	Volume	—	Buy	OBV is rising over the last 20 days. Rising OBV confirms price increases are backed by volume — the uptrend is healthy. OBV adds volume on up-days and subtracts on down-days. The direction matters more than the absolute number.
VWAP	Volume	685.33	Buy	VWAP is NPR 685.33. Price is NPR 0.67 above VWAP. Price above VWAP means the average buyer is in profit — bullish. Institutional traders often use VWAP as a benchmark.
Elder Force (13)	Volume	316467.02	Buy	EFI is 316,467. Positive — buying force (price change x volume) exceeds selling force. Large positive values mean strong institutional buying. Elder Force Index combines price direction with volume to measure the force behind moves.