SIPD

HydroPower

Shikhar Power Development Limited

Rs. 528.20 -8.80 (-1.64%)

Open: 534
High: 549
Low: 526
Prev close: 537
Volume: 24,843
Turnover: 13,314,889
52W high: 1216.80
52W low: 284.30

52-week range284.30 – 1216.80

NSA Score

Sell

Buy

Neutral

Sell

Trend · Slightly Bearish 30

Momentum · Neutral 50

Volume · Bearish 29

Volatility · Slightly Bearish 44

Fibonacci Retracement (60-day swing)

Swing High 757.0 · Swing Low 514.0

0	757.0
0.236	699.65
0.382	664.17
0.5	635.5
0.618	606.83
0.786	566.0
1.0	514.0

Pivot Points

565.8

557.4

542.8

519.8

511.4

496.8

Pivot Point

534.4

Indicator	Category	Value	Signal	Why
EMA 13	Moving Averages	551.16	Sell	Price is NPR 22.96 (4.17%) below EMA 13. 13-day Exponential MA. Optimal for NEPSE (30% CAGR in backtest). Reacts fast to price changes.
EMA 20	Moving Averages	562.73	Sell	Price is NPR 34.53 (6.14%) below EMA 20. 20-day EMA. Standard short-term trend filter used by most traders.
EMA 50	Moving Averages	601.53	Sell	Price is NPR 73.33 (12.19%) below EMA 50. 50-day EMA. Medium-term trend. A cross of EMA 13 above EMA 50 is a strong buy signal for NEPSE.
SMA 13	Moving Averages	549.63	Sell	Price is NPR 21.43 (3.9%) below SMA 13. 13-day Simple MA. Research shows this period gives the best risk-adjusted return on NEPSE (Sharpe 1.71).
SMA 20	Moving Averages	567.41	Sell	Price is NPR 39.2 (6.91%) below SMA 20. 20-day SMA. Also the mid-line of Bollinger Bands. Acts as dynamic support/resistance.
SMA 50	Moving Averages	615.39	Sell	Price is NPR 87.19 (14.17%) below SMA 50. 50-day SMA. Institutional-level trend gauge. Widely watched by NEPSE fund managers.
SMA 200	Moving Averages	—	—	Not enough data to compute. 200-day SMA. The dividing line between bull and bear markets. Price above = long-term bullish.
MACD (12,26,9)	Trend	-0.88	Sell	MACD line (-22.36) is below Signal (-21.48). Histogram: -0.88 (expanding). Bearish pressure — MACD below signal suggests selling momentum. Note: Standard 12-26-9 parameters tend to underperform buy-and-hold on NEPSE. Check the optimized MACD below.
MACD (34,72,3)	Trend	-0.46	Sell	MACD(-44.02) vs Signal(-43.56), Histogram: -0.46. Bearish — sellers in control. These parameters (34,72,3) were validated on frontier markets like Dubai (85% hit ratio) and are better suited for NEPSE's slower cycles than standard MACD.
SuperTrend (7,3)	Trend	603.54	Sell	SuperTrend line is at NPR 603.54 (resistance). Price is NPR 75.34 below the line. Downtrend active — the line acts as resistance overhead. A break above would flip to Buy. SuperTrend works well in trending NEPSE markets driven by herd behavior.
Parabolic SAR	Trend	582.38	Buy	SAR dot is below price at NPR 582.38 (bullish). Acts as a trailing stop — if price drops below 582.38, the trend flips bearish. Good for setting stop-loss levels.
ADX (14)	Trend	22.28	Sell	ADX is 22.3 (Developing trend). +DI=13.6, -DI=21.8. Bears dominate — -DI is above +DI. The trend is weak — range-bound strategies may work better than trend-following.
Ichimoku Cloud	Trend	539.50	Sell	Tenkan=539.50, Kijun=577.20 (bearish cross). Price is below the cloud (bearish). All signals align bearish — consider reducing positions.
Aroon (25)	Trend	-44.00	Sell	Aroon Up=28, Down=72. Strong downtrend — recent new lows with no new highs. Selling pressure dominates.
DPO (20)	Trend	-3.51	Sell	DPO is -3.50. Negative — price is below its detrended average, suggesting a cyclical downturn. DPO removes long-term trend to show underlying cycles. Useful for timing entries within an existing trend.
RSI (14)	Momentum	29.66	Buy	RSI is 29.7 — heavily oversold. Standard zones are 70/30 but NEPSE research shows 60/40 zones work better due to strong momentum/herd behavior in Nepal's market. Price may be undervalued — look for reversal confirmation before buying. RSI was the 2nd most important feature in ML models predicting NEPSE (arXiv 2026).
Stochastic (14,3,3)	Momentum	22.84	Sell	%K=22.8, %D=23.6. Bearish — %K is below %D, suggesting downward pressure. Stochastic compares closing price to its range over 14 days.
Stochastic RSI	Momentum	38.09	Neutral	StochRSI %K=38.1, %D=39.6. Mid-range — no extreme signal. StochRSI is a momentum indicator of RSI itself, making it more responsive than plain RSI.
CCI (20)	Momentum	-91.28	Neutral	CCI is -91.3 (normal range). Between -100 and +100 is normal — no extreme deviation from average price. CCI measures how far price has deviated from its mean. Works well for identifying cyclical stocks in NEPSE.
Williams %R (14)	Momentum	-82.89	Buy	Williams %R is -82.9. Oversold zone (below -80). Price is near the bottom of its 14-day range. May bounce — but confirm with other indicators before buying.
ROC (12)	Momentum	-7.51	Sell	ROC is -7.51%. Price has lost 7.51% over the last 12 days. Negative momentum — selling pressure over the past 12 trading sessions. Strong momentum (>5%) suggests trend acceleration.
TRIX (15)	Momentum	-0.52	Sell	TRIX is -0.5199. Negative — triple-smoothed momentum confirms downtrend. TRIX filters out minor price fluctuations by applying three rounds of smoothing. Good for confirming the major trend direction and filtering noise in NEPSE's often-volatile daily movements.
Awesome Oscillator	Momentum	-48.04	Sell	AO is -48.04. Negative — long-term momentum exceeds short-term, indicating bearish pressure. Watch for zero-line crossovers — crossing above zero is a buy, below is a sell. Twin peaks divergence is also a strong signal.
Ultimate Osc (7,14,28)	Momentum	54.30	Neutral	UO is 54.3. Mid-range. The Ultimate Oscillator blends 7, 14, and 28-day periods to reduce false signals that plague single-period oscillators.
PPO (12,26)	Momentum	-4.23	Sell	PPO is -4.23%, Histogram: -0.66. Negative — short-term EMA is below long-term, indicating downward pressure. PPO is like MACD but expressed as a percentage, making it easier to compare across different price levels.
Coppock Curve	Momentum	-17.96	Sell	Coppock is -17.96. Negative — long-term momentum is bearish. Wait for it to turn positive before considering long positions. This indicator was designed for monthly charts but works on daily data too. Best for identifying major trend changes in NEPSE.
10d Rolling Mean	Momentum	544.03	Sell	10-day rolling mean is NPR 544.03. Price is NPR 15.83 below. This was the #1 most predictive feature in XGBoost ML models for NEPSE (arXiv 2026). Price below the 10-day mean suggests short-term bearish momentum.
ATR (14)	Volatility	26.99	—	ATR is NPR 26.99 (5.11% of price). This means the stock typically moves NPR 26.99 per day. High volatility (>3%) — wider stop-losses needed, larger position risk. Use ATR to set stop-losses: a common approach is 2x ATR (NPR 53.98) below entry.
Bollinger %B	Volatility	0.14	Buy	BB %B is 0.14 — price is in the lower 20% of the bands. Approaching oversold. Bandwidth: 19.33%.
BB/KC Squeeze	Volatility		—	No squeeze — Bollinger Bands are outside Keltner Channels, normal volatility conditions. The Squeeze indicator is widely used to anticipate explosive moves. When the squeeze releases, the direction of the breakout determines whether to go long or short.
5d Rolling Vol	Volatility	0.66	—	5-day rolling volatility is 0.66%. Very low (<1%) — market is calm. Breakout may be imminent. This was the 5th most important ML feature for predicting NEPSE returns.
Mass Index	Volatility	24.00	—	Mass Index is 24.00. Below 27 — no reversal bulge detected. Mass Index identifies trend reversals by measuring the range between high and low prices.
Ulcer Index	Volatility	9.19	—	Ulcer Index is 9.19 (moderate drawdown stress). It measures downside volatility by tracking the depth and duration of drawdowns from recent highs. Lower is better — values below 5 indicate a smooth uptrend, above 10 suggests painful drawdowns.
Donchian (20)	Volatility	640.40	Buy	Price is at 11.2% of the 20-day Donchian Channel (Upper: 640.40, Lower: 514.00). Near the bottom — potential support area. A break below could signal a new downtrend.
MFI (14)	Volume	34.81	Neutral	MFI is 34.8. Normal range. Money Flow Index combines price and volume to measure buying/selling pressure. Unlike RSI which only uses price, MFI factors in volume for stronger signals.
CMF (20)	Volume	-0.14	Sell	CMF is -0.1424. Negative — money is flowing OUT of the stock ({strength} distribution). Sellers dominate with volume support. CMF above +0.1 or below -0.1 is a strong signal. Near zero means balanced buying/selling.
OBV Trend	Volume	—	Sell	OBV is falling over the last 20 days. Falling OBV suggests volume is declining or moving to sellers — bearish divergence if price is still rising. OBV adds volume on up-days and subtracts on down-days. The direction matters more than the absolute number.
VWAP	Volume	534.40	Sell	VWAP is NPR 534.40. Price is NPR 6.2 below VWAP. Price below VWAP means the average buyer is at a loss — bearish. VWAP acts as resistance.
Elder Force (13)	Volume	-64940.11	Sell	EFI is -64,940. Negative — selling force exceeds buying force. Large negative values indicate aggressive selling. Elder Force Index combines price direction with volume to measure the force behind moves.